经济政策的不确定性如何影响能源政策?金融部门发展的作用

IF 7.9 2区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Energy Strategy Reviews Pub Date : 2024-09-01 DOI:10.1016/j.esr.2024.101523
Xu Mengfeng , Umar Farooq , Mosab I. Tabash , Abdullah A. Aljughaiman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

必须保证能源政策的长期可行性,以实现可持续的经济增长。然而,某些因素的存在会对能源政策造成威胁。因此,本分析探讨了经济政策不确定性(EPU)和金融部门发展对化石燃料能源、可再生能源(REC)和总能源(EGY)的影响。实证分析采用了 CS-ARDL 模型,以 G7 经济体为样本。分析的稳健性通过完全修正的普通最小平方(FMOLS)技术进行检验。系数估算结果表明,所有主要解释变量对化石燃料能源、能源总量和 EGY 都有显著的长期负面影响,对可再生能源也有显著的短期负面影响。研究结果进一步表明,金融发展对化石燃料能源和能源总量有显著的正向影响,而金融发展与可再生能源之间存在显著的负向关系。特别是,分析揭示了金融发展在 EPU-能源政策关系中的调节作用。建议政策制定者应加强金融部门与能源部门之间的合作,以确保能源政策取得成功,并应对不确定的经济形势。本研究有力地证实了探讨 EPU 与能源关系的研究的实证结果,并通过指出 FCD 的调节作用扩展了相关文献。
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How does economic policy uncertainty influence energy policy? The role of financial sector development

It is necessary to warrant the long-term viability of the energy policy for sustainable economic growth. However, certain factors exist that can create a threat to energy policy. In this essence, the current analysis explores the impact of EPU (economic policy uncertainty) and financial sector development on fossil fuel energy, renewable energy (REC), and total energy (EGY). The empirical analysis utilized the CS-ARDL model and focused on a sample comprising G7 economies. The robustness of analysis was examined by employing fully modified ordinary least square (FMOLS) technique. The estimated coefficients outline the significant negative impact of all main explanatory variables on fossil fuel energy and total energy and EGY in the long run and a significant negative impact on renewable energy in the short run. The findings further demonstrate the significant positive impact of financial development on fossil fuel energy and total energy and the significant negative relationship between financial development and renewable energy. Particularly, the analysis discloses the moderating role of financial development in the EPU-energy policy nexus. It is advised to policy officials that they should enhance the cooperation between the financial sector and the energy sector for the success of energy policy and for responding to the uncertain economic situation. This study robust the empirical findings of studies exploring the EPU-energy nexus and extends the literature by pointing out the moderating role of FCD.

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来源期刊
Energy Strategy Reviews
Energy Strategy Reviews Energy-Energy (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
12.80
自引率
4.90%
发文量
167
审稿时长
40 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy Strategy Reviews is a gold open access journal that provides authoritative content on strategic decision-making and vision-sharing related to society''s energy needs. Energy Strategy Reviews publishes: • Analyses • Methodologies • Case Studies • Reviews And by invitation: • Report Reviews • Viewpoints
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