利用地震水平-垂直谱比预测地动参数的深度神经网络模型

IF 3.1 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENGINEERING, CIVIL Earthquake Spectra Pub Date : 2024-09-19 DOI:10.1177/87552930241272612
Da Pan, Hiroyuki Miura
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用日本国立地球科学与抗灾研究所的统一强震数据库和地震水平垂直谱比(EHVR)数据库,提出了一种用于地震地动预测的深度神经网络(DNN)模型。该模型旨在通过纳入 EHVR 来补充场地效应,并利用现有地动预测方程 (GMPE) 作为震源和传播路径效应的基础模型,从而提高预测精度。这种混合方法可预测峰值地面加速度 (PGA)、峰值地面速度 (PGV) 和 5% 阻尼绝对加速度响应谱 (SA)。在对数据库中的训练集和测试集进行分类后,将训练好的 DNN 模型应用于测试集,以评估预测结果的性能。通过测试集中预测值和观测值之间的残差、R 平方(R2)和均方根误差(RMSE)进行的精度评估表明,与传统的基于 V S30s 等代理场地效应的 GMPE 相比,所提出的模型具有更优越的性能,尤其是在预测 SA 的频谱振幅和形状方面。
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Deep-neural-network model for predicting ground motion parameters using earthquake horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratios
This study proposed a deep-neural-network (DNN) model for seismic ground motion prediction by utilizing a unified strong motion database by the National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, and earthquake horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio (EHVR) database in Japan. The model aims to enhance the accuracy of predictions by incorporating the EHVRs for complementing site effects, and utilizing existing ground motion prediction equations (GMPE) as the base model for source and propagation path effects. The hybrid approach enables the prediction of peak ground accelerations (PGAs), peak ground velocities (PGVs), and 5% damped absolute acceleration response spectra (SAs). After classifying the training and test sets from the database, the trained DNN models were applied on the test set to evaluate the performance of the predicted results. The accuracy assessment by the residuals, R-squared ( R2), and root mean square error (RMSE) between the predicted and observed values in the test set revealed the superior performance of the proposed model compared with the traditional GMPE with proxy-based site effects such as V S30s especially in predicting both the spectral amplitude and shape of SAs.
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来源期刊
Earthquake Spectra
Earthquake Spectra 工程技术-工程:地质
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
12.00%
发文量
88
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Earthquake Spectra, the professional peer-reviewed journal of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (EERI), serves as the publication of record for the development of earthquake engineering practice, earthquake codes and regulations, earthquake public policy, and earthquake investigation reports. The journal is published quarterly in both printed and online editions in February, May, August, and November, with additional special edition issues. EERI established Earthquake Spectra with the purpose of improving the practice of earthquake hazards mitigation, preparedness, and recovery — serving the informational needs of the diverse professionals engaged in earthquake risk reduction: civil, geotechnical, mechanical, and structural engineers; geologists, seismologists, and other earth scientists; architects and city planners; public officials; social scientists; and researchers.
期刊最新文献
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