柠檬市场?在创业研究中谨慎应用人工智能的战略方向

Martin Obschonka, Moren Levesque
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摘要

人工智能应用的迅速扩展(例如,使用机器学习、深度学习或大型语言模型作为研究方法)以及大数据可用性的不断提高,有可能为创业学术领域带来有史以来最重大的变革。本文通过强调人工智能革命中创业研究中存在的非生产性知识交流的重大风险,做出了紧迫的元贡献。借鉴阿克洛夫著名的 "柠檬市场"(market-for-lemons)概念,我们发现了该领域演变成当前格局后可能出现的重大知识不对称现象(例如,围绕建构有效性、理论构建和研究相关性的复杂性)。这种不对称尤其根深蒂固,因为我们称之为 "双重黑箱谜题",即公认的人工智能方法的黑箱性质与创业现象的黑箱性质因固有的不确定性而交织在一起。因此,这些不对称可能会导致更多未被发现的次优研究产品,从而共同形成一个柠檬市场,损害该领域的福祉、声誉和影响。然而,重要的是,如果这些风险能够得到缓解,人工智能革命可能会为创业研究带来一个新的黄金时代。我们将讨论采取哪些必要行动,将该领域提升到更高的人工智能复原力水平,同时坚定不移地维护其基本原则和核心价值。
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A Market for Lemons? Strategic Directions for a Vigilant Application of Artificial Intelligence in Entrepreneurship Research
The rapid expansion of AI adoption (e.g., using machine learning, deep learning, or large language models as research methods) and the increasing availability of big data have the potential to bring about the most significant transformation in entrepreneurship scholarship the field has ever witnessed. This article makes a pressing meta-contribution by highlighting a significant risk of unproductive knowledge exchanges in entrepreneurship research amid the AI revolution. It offers strategies to mitigate this risk and provides guidance for future AI-based studies to enhance their collective impact and relevance. Drawing on Akerlof's renowned market-for-lemons concept, we identify the potential for significant knowledge asymmetries emerging from the field's evolution into its current landscape (e.g., complexities around construct validity, theory building, and research relevance). Such asymmetries are particularly deeply ingrained due to what we term the double-black-box puzzle, where the widely recognized black box nature of AI methods intersects with the black box nature of the entrepreneurship phenomenon driven by inherent uncertainty. As a result, these asymmetries could lead to an increase in suboptimal research products that go undetected, collectively creating a market for lemons that undermines the field's well-being, reputation, and impact. However, importantly, if these risks can be mitigated, the AI revolution could herald a new golden era for entrepreneurship research. We discuss the necessary actions to elevate the field to a higher level of AI resilience while steadfastly maintaining its foundational principles and core values.
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