干扰的无条件随机化检验

Liang Zhong
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摘要

在社会网络或空间实验中,一个单元的结果往往取决于另一个单元的处理结果,这种现象被称为干扰。研究人员感兴趣的不仅是干扰的存在和程度,还有基于距离、相邻单位和连接强度等因素的干扰模式。然而,这些因素的非随机性和单位间的复杂相关性给推断带来了挑战。本文提出了部分空随机化检验(PNRT)框架来解决这些问题。所提出的方法利用随机化检验和成对比较,是有限样本有效的,并且适用于最小网络结构假设。与现有的条件随机化检验不同,PNRT 避免了条件事件的需要,使其更易于实现。模拟证明了该方法的理想功率特性及其对一般干扰情景的适用性。
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Unconditional Randomization Tests for Interference
In social networks or spatial experiments, one unit's outcome often depends on another's treatment, a phenomenon called interference. Researchers are interested in not only the presence and magnitude of interference but also its pattern based on factors like distance, neighboring units, and connection strength. However, the non-random nature of these factors and complex correlations across units pose challenges for inference. This paper introduces the partial null randomization tests (PNRT) framework to address these issues. The proposed method is finite-sample valid and applicable with minimal network structure assumptions, utilizing randomization testing and pairwise comparisons. Unlike existing conditional randomization tests, PNRT avoids the need for conditioning events, making it more straightforward to implement. Simulations demonstrate the method's desirable power properties and its applicability to general interference scenarios.
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