利用大型语言模型预测软件工程项目的成本和工期

Justin Carpenter, Chia-Ying Wu, Nasir U. Eisty
{"title":"利用大型语言模型预测软件工程项目的成本和工期","authors":"Justin Carpenter, Chia-Ying Wu, Nasir U. Eisty","doi":"arxiv-2409.09617","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Accurate estimation of project costs and durations remains a pivotal\nchallenge in software engineering, directly impacting budgeting and resource\nmanagement. Traditional estimation techniques, although widely utilized, often\nfall short due to their complexity and the dynamic nature of software\ndevelopment projects. This study introduces an innovative approach using Large\nLanguage Models (LLMs) to enhance the accuracy and usability of project cost\npredictions. We explore the efficacy of LLMs against traditional methods and\ncontemporary machine learning techniques, focusing on their potential to\nsimplify the estimation process and provide higher accuracy. Our research is\nstructured around critical inquiries into whether LLMs can outperform existing\nmodels, the ease of their integration into current practices, outperform\ntraditional estimation, and why traditional methods still prevail in industry\nsettings. By applying LLMs to a range of real-world datasets and comparing\ntheir performance to both state-of-the-art and conventional methods, this study\naims to demonstrate that LLMs not only yield more accurate estimates but also\noffer a user-friendly alternative to complex predictive models, potentially\ntransforming project management strategies within the software industry.","PeriodicalId":501278,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Leveraging Large Language Models for Predicting Cost and Duration in Software Engineering Projects\",\"authors\":\"Justin Carpenter, Chia-Ying Wu, Nasir U. Eisty\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.09617\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Accurate estimation of project costs and durations remains a pivotal\\nchallenge in software engineering, directly impacting budgeting and resource\\nmanagement. Traditional estimation techniques, although widely utilized, often\\nfall short due to their complexity and the dynamic nature of software\\ndevelopment projects. This study introduces an innovative approach using Large\\nLanguage Models (LLMs) to enhance the accuracy and usability of project cost\\npredictions. We explore the efficacy of LLMs against traditional methods and\\ncontemporary machine learning techniques, focusing on their potential to\\nsimplify the estimation process and provide higher accuracy. Our research is\\nstructured around critical inquiries into whether LLMs can outperform existing\\nmodels, the ease of their integration into current practices, outperform\\ntraditional estimation, and why traditional methods still prevail in industry\\nsettings. By applying LLMs to a range of real-world datasets and comparing\\ntheir performance to both state-of-the-art and conventional methods, this study\\naims to demonstrate that LLMs not only yield more accurate estimates but also\\noffer a user-friendly alternative to complex predictive models, potentially\\ntransforming project management strategies within the software industry.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501278,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.09617\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.09617","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

准确估算项目成本和工期仍然是软件工程中的一个关键挑战,直接影响到预算编制和资源管理。传统的估算技术虽然得到了广泛应用,但由于其复杂性和软件开发项目的动态性,往往无法达到预期效果。本研究介绍了一种使用大型语言模型(LLM)的创新方法,以提高项目成本预测的准确性和可用性。我们探讨了 LLMs 对传统方法和当代机器学习技术的功效,重点关注 LLMs 在简化估算过程和提供更高精度方面的潜力。我们的研究围绕以下关键问题展开:LLM 是否能够超越现有模型,是否易于集成到当前实践中,是否能够超越传统估算方法,以及为什么传统方法在行业环境中仍然占主导地位。通过将 LLMs 应用于一系列实际数据集,并将其性能与最先进的方法和传统方法进行比较,本研究旨在证明 LLMs 不仅能产生更准确的估算结果,还能提供一种用户友好型方法来替代复杂的预测模型,从而有可能改变软件行业的项目管理策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Leveraging Large Language Models for Predicting Cost and Duration in Software Engineering Projects
Accurate estimation of project costs and durations remains a pivotal challenge in software engineering, directly impacting budgeting and resource management. Traditional estimation techniques, although widely utilized, often fall short due to their complexity and the dynamic nature of software development projects. This study introduces an innovative approach using Large Language Models (LLMs) to enhance the accuracy and usability of project cost predictions. We explore the efficacy of LLMs against traditional methods and contemporary machine learning techniques, focusing on their potential to simplify the estimation process and provide higher accuracy. Our research is structured around critical inquiries into whether LLMs can outperform existing models, the ease of their integration into current practices, outperform traditional estimation, and why traditional methods still prevail in industry settings. By applying LLMs to a range of real-world datasets and comparing their performance to both state-of-the-art and conventional methods, this study aims to demonstrate that LLMs not only yield more accurate estimates but also offer a user-friendly alternative to complex predictive models, potentially transforming project management strategies within the software industry.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊最新文献
Promise and Peril of Collaborative Code Generation Models: Balancing Effectiveness and Memorization Shannon Entropy is better Feature than Category and Sentiment in User Feedback Processing Motivations, Challenges, Best Practices, and Benefits for Bots and Conversational Agents in Software Engineering: A Multivocal Literature Review A Taxonomy of Self-Admitted Technical Debt in Deep Learning Systems Investigating team maturity in an agile automotive reorganization
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1