{"title":"利用大型语言模型预测软件工程项目的成本和工期","authors":"Justin Carpenter, Chia-Ying Wu, Nasir U. Eisty","doi":"arxiv-2409.09617","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Accurate estimation of project costs and durations remains a pivotal\nchallenge in software engineering, directly impacting budgeting and resource\nmanagement. Traditional estimation techniques, although widely utilized, often\nfall short due to their complexity and the dynamic nature of software\ndevelopment projects. This study introduces an innovative approach using Large\nLanguage Models (LLMs) to enhance the accuracy and usability of project cost\npredictions. We explore the efficacy of LLMs against traditional methods and\ncontemporary machine learning techniques, focusing on their potential to\nsimplify the estimation process and provide higher accuracy. Our research is\nstructured around critical inquiries into whether LLMs can outperform existing\nmodels, the ease of their integration into current practices, outperform\ntraditional estimation, and why traditional methods still prevail in industry\nsettings. By applying LLMs to a range of real-world datasets and comparing\ntheir performance to both state-of-the-art and conventional methods, this study\naims to demonstrate that LLMs not only yield more accurate estimates but also\noffer a user-friendly alternative to complex predictive models, potentially\ntransforming project management strategies within the software industry.","PeriodicalId":501278,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Leveraging Large Language Models for Predicting Cost and Duration in Software Engineering Projects\",\"authors\":\"Justin Carpenter, Chia-Ying Wu, Nasir U. Eisty\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2409.09617\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Accurate estimation of project costs and durations remains a pivotal\\nchallenge in software engineering, directly impacting budgeting and resource\\nmanagement. Traditional estimation techniques, although widely utilized, often\\nfall short due to their complexity and the dynamic nature of software\\ndevelopment projects. This study introduces an innovative approach using Large\\nLanguage Models (LLMs) to enhance the accuracy and usability of project cost\\npredictions. We explore the efficacy of LLMs against traditional methods and\\ncontemporary machine learning techniques, focusing on their potential to\\nsimplify the estimation process and provide higher accuracy. Our research is\\nstructured around critical inquiries into whether LLMs can outperform existing\\nmodels, the ease of their integration into current practices, outperform\\ntraditional estimation, and why traditional methods still prevail in industry\\nsettings. By applying LLMs to a range of real-world datasets and comparing\\ntheir performance to both state-of-the-art and conventional methods, this study\\naims to demonstrate that LLMs not only yield more accurate estimates but also\\noffer a user-friendly alternative to complex predictive models, potentially\\ntransforming project management strategies within the software industry.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501278,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.09617\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - CS - Software Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2409.09617","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Leveraging Large Language Models for Predicting Cost and Duration in Software Engineering Projects
Accurate estimation of project costs and durations remains a pivotal
challenge in software engineering, directly impacting budgeting and resource
management. Traditional estimation techniques, although widely utilized, often
fall short due to their complexity and the dynamic nature of software
development projects. This study introduces an innovative approach using Large
Language Models (LLMs) to enhance the accuracy and usability of project cost
predictions. We explore the efficacy of LLMs against traditional methods and
contemporary machine learning techniques, focusing on their potential to
simplify the estimation process and provide higher accuracy. Our research is
structured around critical inquiries into whether LLMs can outperform existing
models, the ease of their integration into current practices, outperform
traditional estimation, and why traditional methods still prevail in industry
settings. By applying LLMs to a range of real-world datasets and comparing
their performance to both state-of-the-art and conventional methods, this study
aims to demonstrate that LLMs not only yield more accurate estimates but also
offer a user-friendly alternative to complex predictive models, potentially
transforming project management strategies within the software industry.