全球分析师的建议和错误定价

IF 3.6 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Journal of Banking & Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107296
Vitor Azevedo , Sebastian Müller
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们使用一个包含 45 个国家、380 万个公司月观测数据以及 1994 年至 2019 年期间 222 次回报异常的数据集,研究了分析师建议的价值。与基于美国的证据不同的是,在国际市场上,建议会导致随后出现非常显著的异常回报。此外,分析师似乎并没有加强国际市场的错误定价,因为他们对(异常排名)定价偏低的股票给出了更有利的建议,而且建议与综合异常排名之间的不一致会导致更低而非更高的异常回报。在欠发达和个性化程度较低的市场中,推荐更有价值。我们的研究结果表明,分析师的建议为投资者提供的价值比以前认为的更大。
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Analyst recommendations and mispricing across the globe

We examine the value of analysts’ recommendations using a dataset of 45 countries, 3.8 million firm-month observations, and 222 return anomalies from 1994 to 2019. Unlike U.S.-based evidence, recommendations lead to subsequent highly significant abnormal returns in international markets. Furthermore, analysts do not seem to strengthen mispricing in international markets, as they give more favorable recommendations to (anomaly-ranked) underpriced stocks, and inconsistencies between recommendations and composite anomaly ranks lead to lower, not higher, abnormal returns. Recommendations are more valuable in less developed and less individualistic markets. Our results suggest that analysts’ recommendations provide more value to investors than previously thought.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
5.40%
发文量
262
期刊介绍: The Journal of Banking and Finance (JBF) publishes theoretical and empirical research papers spanning all the major research fields in finance and banking. The aim of the Journal of Banking and Finance is to provide an outlet for the increasing flow of scholarly research concerning financial institutions and the money and capital markets within which they function. The Journal''s emphasis is on theoretical developments and their implementation, empirical, applied, and policy-oriented research in banking and other domestic and international financial institutions and markets. The Journal''s purpose is to improve communications between, and within, the academic and other research communities and policymakers and operational decision makers at financial institutions - private and public, national and international, and their regulators. The Journal is one of the largest Finance journals, with approximately 1500 new submissions per year, mainly in the following areas: Asset Management; Asset Pricing; Banking (Efficiency, Regulation, Risk Management, Solvency); Behavioural Finance; Capital Structure; Corporate Finance; Corporate Governance; Derivative Pricing and Hedging; Distribution Forecasting with Financial Applications; Entrepreneurial Finance; Empirical Finance; Financial Economics; Financial Markets (Alternative, Bonds, Currency, Commodity, Derivatives, Equity, Energy, Real Estate); FinTech; Fund Management; General Equilibrium Models; High-Frequency Trading; Intermediation; International Finance; Hedge Funds; Investments; Liquidity; Market Efficiency; Market Microstructure; Mergers and Acquisitions; Networks; Performance Analysis; Political Risk; Portfolio Optimization; Regulation of Financial Markets and Institutions; Risk Management and Analysis; Systemic Risk; Term Structure Models; Venture Capital.
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