增强农业碳汇可为农民和气候带来益处。

IF 23.6 Q1 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Nature food Pub Date : 2024-09-23 DOI:10.1038/s43016-024-01039-1
Stefan Frank, Andrey Lessa Derci Augustynczik, Petr Havlík, Esther Boere, Tatiana Ermolieva, Oliver Fricko, Fulvio Di Fulvio, Mykola Gusti, Tamas Krisztin, Pekka Lauri, Amanda Palazzo, Michael Wögerer
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摘要

农田固碳虽然长期被忽视,但却具有巨大的减排潜力。在此,我们利用土地利用经济模型预测,到 2050 年,这些方案可提供的累积减排潜力相当于造林 160 美元 2022 吨二氧化碳当量(tCO2e-1),其中大部分位于全球南部。按 160 美元 2022 吨 CO2e-1 计算,农田固碳可为全球生产者带来高达 3,750 亿美元 2022 吨 CO2e-1 的额外收入,并使农业、林业和其他土地利用部门到 2050 年实现净零排放,其经济成本约为 80-120 美元 2022 吨 CO2e-1 。这反过来又会降低整个经济的减缓成本,与不考虑这些方案的减缓情景相比,到本世纪中期,在 1.5 °C 无超观测气候稳定情景下,国内生产总值将增加(+0.6%)。要释放这些潜力,就需要在未来五年内在全世界,包括减排潜力最大的撒哈拉以南非洲地区,部署高效的机构和监测系统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Enhanced agricultural carbon sinks provide benefits for farmers and the climate
Carbon sequestration on agricultural land, albeit long-time neglected, offers substantial mitigation potential. Here we project, using an economic land-use model, that these options offer cumulative mitigation potentials comparable to afforestation by 2050 at 160 USD2022 tCO2 equivalent (tCO2e−1), with most of it located in the Global South. Carbon sequestration on agricultural land could provide producers around the world with additional revenues of up to 375 billion USD2022 at 160 USD2022 tCO2e−1 and allow achievement of net-zero emissions in the agriculture, forestry and other land-use sectors by 2050 already at economic costs of around 80–120 USD2022 tCO2e−1. This would, in turn, decrease economy-wide mitigation costs and increase gross domestic product (+0.6%) by the mid-century in 1.5 °C no-overshoot climate stabilization scenarios compared with mitigation scenarios that do not consider these options. Unlocking these potentials requires the deployment of highly efficient institutions and monitoring systems over the next 5 years across the whole world, including sub-Saharan Africa, where the largest mitigation potential exists. Carbon sequestration on agricultural land holds great promise for combating climate change. This study estimates the mitigation potential of three sequestration practices—soil carbon enhancement, biochar application on cropland and silvo-pastoral systems—while identifying cost-effective mitigation portfolios.
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