{"title":"全球耕地种植强度对城市扩张的多尺度响应","authors":"Chen Ma , Manchun Li , Penghui Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104138","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><div>Urban expansion(UE) and multiple cropping(MC) are key factors in anthropogenic impacts on global environmental change. However, the multi-scale response patterns of UE and MC have not yet been revealed, and how urbanization affects cropland intensification is still not deeply explored.</div></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><div>This study examines the spatial and temporal trends in global UE and MC and analyses the multi-scale response patterns of both.</div></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><div>The GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform was used to count global cropland cropping intensity (CCI) and impervious surface rasters on an image-by-image basis, while GIS was employed for spatial analyses, and the generalized additive model (GAM) was applied to inscribe variable response trajectories.</div></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSION</h3><div>The global multiple cropping index(MCI) increased significantly (by 4.1 %) over the period 2001–2019, with growth in double- and triple-cropped cropland dominating this change. Double cropping, as a widespread global farming strategy, has led to a shift towards the intensification of agriculture, with countries in the northern hemisphere contributing more. Global UE significantly expands to twice the baseline level at an average annual growth rate of 2. 42 × 10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup> over the period 2001–2019, with the expansion of world-class urban agglomerations in China, the United States and Europe dominates this trend. The spatial clustering of MC and UE has continued to intensify, with high-intensity cropping strategies progressively clustering towards areas of significant UE, and this tendency has a clear decreasing urban-rural gradient effect. The global CCI grows significantly and non-linearly with UE, but an important inflection point in the growth trajectory has occurred under the influence of threshold effects. Developed countries tend to be more flexible in their cropping intensity strategies as they move forward with urbanization. There is a clear increasing effect of the urban-rural gradient in the degree of non-linearity in the response of urbanization and cropping intensity.</div></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><div>The results of the study contribute to the understanding of the complex spatial and temporal coupling mechanisms between UE and MC, and provide useful insights for the development of trade-offs between urbanization and maturity strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":7730,"journal":{"name":"Agricultural Systems","volume":"221 ","pages":"Article 104138"},"PeriodicalIF":6.1000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The multiscale response of global cropland cropping intensity to urban expansion\",\"authors\":\"Chen Ma , Manchun Li , Penghui Jiang\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.agsy.2024.104138\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><h3>CONTEXT</h3><div>Urban expansion(UE) and multiple cropping(MC) are key factors in anthropogenic impacts on global environmental change. However, the multi-scale response patterns of UE and MC have not yet been revealed, and how urbanization affects cropland intensification is still not deeply explored.</div></div><div><h3>OBJECTIVE</h3><div>This study examines the spatial and temporal trends in global UE and MC and analyses the multi-scale response patterns of both.</div></div><div><h3>METHODS</h3><div>The GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform was used to count global cropland cropping intensity (CCI) and impervious surface rasters on an image-by-image basis, while GIS was employed for spatial analyses, and the generalized additive model (GAM) was applied to inscribe variable response trajectories.</div></div><div><h3>RESULTS AND CONCLUSION</h3><div>The global multiple cropping index(MCI) increased significantly (by 4.1 %) over the period 2001–2019, with growth in double- and triple-cropped cropland dominating this change. Double cropping, as a widespread global farming strategy, has led to a shift towards the intensification of agriculture, with countries in the northern hemisphere contributing more. Global UE significantly expands to twice the baseline level at an average annual growth rate of 2. 42 × 10<sup>4</sup> km<sup>2</sup> over the period 2001–2019, with the expansion of world-class urban agglomerations in China, the United States and Europe dominates this trend. The spatial clustering of MC and UE has continued to intensify, with high-intensity cropping strategies progressively clustering towards areas of significant UE, and this tendency has a clear decreasing urban-rural gradient effect. The global CCI grows significantly and non-linearly with UE, but an important inflection point in the growth trajectory has occurred under the influence of threshold effects. Developed countries tend to be more flexible in their cropping intensity strategies as they move forward with urbanization. There is a clear increasing effect of the urban-rural gradient in the degree of non-linearity in the response of urbanization and cropping intensity.</div></div><div><h3>SIGNIFICANCE</h3><div>The results of the study contribute to the understanding of the complex spatial and temporal coupling mechanisms between UE and MC, and provide useful insights for the development of trade-offs between urbanization and maturity strategies.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":7730,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Agricultural Systems\",\"volume\":\"221 \",\"pages\":\"Article 104138\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Agricultural Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"97\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X24002889\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"农林科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Agricultural Systems","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X24002889","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"AGRICULTURE, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
The multiscale response of global cropland cropping intensity to urban expansion
CONTEXT
Urban expansion(UE) and multiple cropping(MC) are key factors in anthropogenic impacts on global environmental change. However, the multi-scale response patterns of UE and MC have not yet been revealed, and how urbanization affects cropland intensification is still not deeply explored.
OBJECTIVE
This study examines the spatial and temporal trends in global UE and MC and analyses the multi-scale response patterns of both.
METHODS
The GEE (Google Earth Engine) platform was used to count global cropland cropping intensity (CCI) and impervious surface rasters on an image-by-image basis, while GIS was employed for spatial analyses, and the generalized additive model (GAM) was applied to inscribe variable response trajectories.
RESULTS AND CONCLUSION
The global multiple cropping index(MCI) increased significantly (by 4.1 %) over the period 2001–2019, with growth in double- and triple-cropped cropland dominating this change. Double cropping, as a widespread global farming strategy, has led to a shift towards the intensification of agriculture, with countries in the northern hemisphere contributing more. Global UE significantly expands to twice the baseline level at an average annual growth rate of 2. 42 × 104 km2 over the period 2001–2019, with the expansion of world-class urban agglomerations in China, the United States and Europe dominates this trend. The spatial clustering of MC and UE has continued to intensify, with high-intensity cropping strategies progressively clustering towards areas of significant UE, and this tendency has a clear decreasing urban-rural gradient effect. The global CCI grows significantly and non-linearly with UE, but an important inflection point in the growth trajectory has occurred under the influence of threshold effects. Developed countries tend to be more flexible in their cropping intensity strategies as they move forward with urbanization. There is a clear increasing effect of the urban-rural gradient in the degree of non-linearity in the response of urbanization and cropping intensity.
SIGNIFICANCE
The results of the study contribute to the understanding of the complex spatial and temporal coupling mechanisms between UE and MC, and provide useful insights for the development of trade-offs between urbanization and maturity strategies.
期刊介绍：
Agricultural Systems is an international journal that deals with interactions - among the components of agricultural systems, among hierarchical levels of agricultural systems, between agricultural and other land use systems, and between agricultural systems and their natural, social and economic environments.
The scope includes the development and application of systems analysis methodologies in the following areas:
Systems approaches in the sustainable intensification of agriculture; pathways for sustainable intensification; crop-livestock integration; farm-level resource allocation; quantification of benefits and trade-offs at farm to landscape levels; integrative, participatory and dynamic modelling approaches for qualitative and quantitative assessments of agricultural systems and decision making;
The interactions between agricultural and non-agricultural landscapes; the multiple services of agricultural systems; food security and the environment;
Global change and adaptation science; transformational adaptations as driven by changes in climate, policy, values and attitudes influencing the design of farming systems;
Development and application of farming systems design tools and methods for impact, scenario and case study analysis; managing the complexities of dynamic agricultural systems; innovation systems and multi stakeholder arrangements that support or promote change and (or) inform policy decisions.
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