区域尺度地震后火灾模拟的端到端框架:2024 年日本能登半岛地震案例研究

IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104859
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地震后的火灾对城市地区的社区仍然是一个重大的威胁性危险。要解决这一关键问题,需要一种适合广泛采用的有效模拟方法。本文通过整合现有文献中的模型和方法,提出了一个在区域范围内模拟地震后火灾的系统化端到端框架。本文总结了相关理论和模型,并将其纳入计算工作流程。该框架包括三个主要特征:(1) 基于地理信息系统的区域建筑数据管理,(2) 基于物理的火灾模拟,以及 (3) 高保真可视化。该框架的实施是按顺序详细介绍的,重点是其实用性和可复制性。工作流程的每个组成部分都具有适应性,可以方便地进行定制和改进,以适应独特的场地特征,或通过引入子模块整合新模型。为了证明拟议框架的实用性,本文介绍了一个基于 2024 年日本能登半岛地震的案例研究。模拟结果与地震灾后火灾现场观察到的实际破坏情况非常吻合,准确率达到 87.8%,这验证了该框架在模拟地震灾后火灾方面的准确性和可靠性。
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An end-to-end framework for fire following earthquake simulation at regional scale: A case study on the 2024 Japan Noto Peninsula earthquake
Fire following earthquakes remains a significant and threatening hazard to communities in urban regions. Addressing this critical issue requires an effective simulation method that is suitable for widespread adoption. This paper presents a systematic end-to-end framework for simulating fire following earthquakes at a regional scale by integrating models and methods available in existing literature. Relevant theories and models are summarized and incorporated into the calculation workflow. The framework encompasses three key features: (1) GIS-based regional building data management, (2) physics-based fire simulation, and (3) high-fidelity visualization. The implementation of the framework is presented in a sequential and detailed manner, with a focus on its practicality and replicability. Each component of the workflow is designed to be adaptable, allowing for easy customization and improvement to accommodate unique site characteristics or the integration of new models through the introduction of sub-modules. To demonstrate the practicality of the proposed framework, a case study based on the recent 2024 Noto Peninsula earthquake in Japan is presented. The simulation results correspond well with the observed actual damage at the fire following earthquake disaster site, with an accuracy of 87.8 %, which validates the framework's accuracy and reliability in simulating fire following earthquakes.
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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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