数字双胞胎助力光伏发电预测

IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy Pub Date : 2023-11-17 DOI:10.35833/MPCE.2023.000351
Xiaoyu Zhang;Yushuai Li;Tianyi Li;Yonghao Gui;Qiuye Sun;David Wenzhong Gao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确预测光伏发电量对确保电力系统的经济和安全运行意义重大。为此,本文建立了一个新的数字孪生(DT)授权光伏发电预测框架,该框架能够确保可靠的数据传输,并利用 DT 实现高精度的发电预测。在此框架下,考虑到所收集的光伏数据中可能存在数据污染,采用了生成式对抗网络来还原历史数据集,这为确保从物理空间到数字空间的精确映射提供了先决条件。此外,我们还提出了一种新的由 DT 驱动的光伏功率预测方法。在该方法中,我们建立了一个 DT 模型,其中包括一个反映物理运行机制的数字物理模型和一个捕捉隐藏时空特征的神经网络模型(即卷积和双向长短期记忆模型的并行网络)。所提出的方法可以利用 DT,发挥数字物理模型和神经网络模型的优势,从而提高预测精度。最后,通过一个真实数据集来评估所提出方法的有效性。
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Digital Twin Empowered PV Power Prediction
The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.
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来源期刊
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC-
CiteScore
12.30
自引率
14.30%
发文量
97
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊介绍: Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy (MPCE), commencing from June, 2013, is a newly established, peer-reviewed and quarterly published journal in English. It is the first international power engineering journal originated in mainland China. MPCE publishes original papers, short letters and review articles in the field of modern power systems with focus on smart grid technology and renewable energy integration, etc.
期刊最新文献
Contents Contents Regional Power System Black Start with Run-of-River Hydropower Plant and Battery Energy Storage Power Flow Calculation for VSC-Based AC/DC Hybrid Systems Based on Fast and Flexible Holomorphic Embedding Machine Learning Based Uncertainty-Alleviating Operation Model for Distribution Systems with Energy Storage
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