{"title":"数字双胞胎助力光伏发电预测","authors":"Xiaoyu Zhang;Yushuai Li;Tianyi Li;Yonghao Gui;Qiuye Sun;David Wenzhong Gao","doi":"10.35833/MPCE.2023.000351","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.","PeriodicalId":51326,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy","volume":"12 5","pages":"1472-1483"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=10322689","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Digital Twin Empowered PV Power Prediction\",\"authors\":\"Xiaoyu Zhang;Yushuai Li;Tianyi Li;Yonghao Gui;Qiuye Sun;David Wenzhong Gao\",\"doi\":\"10.35833/MPCE.2023.000351\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.\",\"PeriodicalId\":51326,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy\",\"volume\":\"12 5\",\"pages\":\"1472-1483\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-11-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/stamp/stamp.jsp?tp=&arnumber=10322689\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10322689/\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10322689/","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC","Score":null,"Total":0}
The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.
期刊介绍:
Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy (MPCE), commencing from June, 2013, is a newly established, peer-reviewed and quarterly published journal in English. It is the first international power engineering journal originated in mainland China. MPCE publishes original papers, short letters and review articles in the field of modern power systems with focus on smart grid technology and renewable energy integration, etc.