Hari Prakash Sritharan, Harrison Nguyen, Usaid Khalil Allahwala, Ravinay Bhindi
{"title":"COVID-19 大流行期间的心血管症状:间断时间序列分析。","authors":"Hari Prakash Sritharan, Harrison Nguyen, Usaid Khalil Allahwala, Ravinay Bhindi","doi":"10.1093/pubmed/fdae248","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The broader implications of the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on cardiovascular hospitalizations remain unclear. We aimed to assess trends in cardiovascular presentations during the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This multicentre study examined cardiovascular presentations from March 2018 to February 2023. Patients with cardiovascular presentations were identified through administrative health records using ICD-10-AM diagnosis codes. Four key study periods were analysed: T0-pre-pandemic, T1-first lockdown, T2-easing of restrictions and T3-release of restrictions and widespread vaccination. Interrupted time series analysis was used to predict weekly cardiovascular presentations, with the mean difference between actual and predicted numbers assessed for significance.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, 116 518 patients were included across three major public hospitals in Australia. Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower in T1 than predicted, with a mean decline of 13.1% (SD 16.2%; P = 0.004). There was a significant difference between the expected and actual number of most cardiovascular presentations in T2 and T3, apart from a significant reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations during T3 (4.5% [SD 23.7%]; P = 0.007).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower during the initial lockdown phase of the COVID-19 pandemic; this attenuated with easing of social restrictions and widespread vaccination, except for persistent reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations.</p>","PeriodicalId":94107,"journal":{"name":"Journal of public health (Oxford, England)","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Cardiovascular presentations during the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time series analysis.\",\"authors\":\"Hari Prakash Sritharan, Harrison Nguyen, Usaid Khalil Allahwala, Ravinay Bhindi\",\"doi\":\"10.1093/pubmed/fdae248\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><strong>Background: </strong>The broader implications of the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on cardiovascular hospitalizations remain unclear. We aimed to assess trends in cardiovascular presentations during the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>This multicentre study examined cardiovascular presentations from March 2018 to February 2023. Patients with cardiovascular presentations were identified through administrative health records using ICD-10-AM diagnosis codes. Four key study periods were analysed: T0-pre-pandemic, T1-first lockdown, T2-easing of restrictions and T3-release of restrictions and widespread vaccination. Interrupted time series analysis was used to predict weekly cardiovascular presentations, with the mean difference between actual and predicted numbers assessed for significance.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Overall, 116 518 patients were included across three major public hospitals in Australia. Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower in T1 than predicted, with a mean decline of 13.1% (SD 16.2%; P = 0.004). There was a significant difference between the expected and actual number of most cardiovascular presentations in T2 and T3, apart from a significant reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations during T3 (4.5% [SD 23.7%]; P = 0.007).</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower during the initial lockdown phase of the COVID-19 pandemic; this attenuated with easing of social restrictions and widespread vaccination, except for persistent reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":94107,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of public health (Oxford, England)\",\"volume\":\" \",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-26\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of public health (Oxford, England)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdae248\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of public health (Oxford, England)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdae248","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Cardiovascular presentations during the COVID-19 pandemic: an interrupted time series analysis.
Background: The broader implications of the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic on cardiovascular hospitalizations remain unclear. We aimed to assess trends in cardiovascular presentations during the Coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic.
Methods: This multicentre study examined cardiovascular presentations from March 2018 to February 2023. Patients with cardiovascular presentations were identified through administrative health records using ICD-10-AM diagnosis codes. Four key study periods were analysed: T0-pre-pandemic, T1-first lockdown, T2-easing of restrictions and T3-release of restrictions and widespread vaccination. Interrupted time series analysis was used to predict weekly cardiovascular presentations, with the mean difference between actual and predicted numbers assessed for significance.
Results: Overall, 116 518 patients were included across three major public hospitals in Australia. Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower in T1 than predicted, with a mean decline of 13.1% (SD 16.2%; P = 0.004). There was a significant difference between the expected and actual number of most cardiovascular presentations in T2 and T3, apart from a significant reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations during T3 (4.5% [SD 23.7%]; P = 0.007).
Conclusions: Cardiovascular presentations were significantly lower during the initial lockdown phase of the COVID-19 pandemic; this attenuated with easing of social restrictions and widespread vaccination, except for persistent reduction in cardiomyopathy and heart failure presentations.