英格兰蝴蝶数量的变化与极端气候事件密切相关。

IF 8.2 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Science of the Total Environment Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-24 DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176318
Baoying Shan, Bernard De Baets, Niko E C Verhoest
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化通过极端气候事件(ECEs)对生态系统产生重大影响,极端气候事件与各种气候变量有关,可在不同季节发生。然而,以往的研究主要集中于特定季节中的单一类型 ECE。为了填补这一研究空白,我们研究了四种典型的 ECE:干旱、暴雨、热浪和寒潮。英国的蝴蝶是我们的研究对象,因为它们的生命阶段贯穿全年,而且我们可以获得 45 年的数据集,其中包括 57 种蝴蝶。首先,我们分析了蝴蝶数量变化与幼虫教育严重程度之间的相关性,发现不同生命阶段的蝴蝶对幼虫教育的敏感度不同。值得注意的是,数量变化与冬眠、卵和幼虫阶段的热浪严重程度以及幼虫、蛹和成虫阶段的雨夹雪严重程度呈负相关。其次,我们确定了 1950 年至 2020 年期间英格兰最极端的气候事件(MECEs),并将其与所有物种的同步丰度变化联系起来。蝴蝶敏感期的 MECEs 经常(11 个 MECEs 中的 8 个)与蝴蝶数量的同步减少相关联。我们的发现强调了在所有季节中考虑不同类型的 ECE 以深入了解其对生态系统的潜在影响的重要性。我们提请注意,我们的分析主要以数据为导向,对生态生理学的解释有限。
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Butterfly abundance changes in England are well associated with extreme climate events.

Climate change exerts significant impacts on ecosystems through extreme climate events (ECEs), which are linked to various climate variables and can occur in different seasons. However, previous studies predominantly focus on a single type of ECE within specific seasons. We address this research gap by examining four typical types of ECEs: droughts, pluvials, heatwaves, and coldwaves, which are consistently defined and identified on a daily scale using a recently proposed statistical method. Butterflies in England serve as our study subject since their life stages occur throughout the year, and we had access to a 45-year dataset encompassing 57 butterfly species. First, we analyzed the correlation between abundance changes and the severity of ECEs, revealing varying sensitivity to ECEs across different life stages. Notably, abundance changes are negatively correlated with the severity of heatwaves in the hibernation, egg, and larval stages, as well as with the severity of pluvials in the larval, pupal, and adult stages. Second, we identified the most extreme climate events (MECEs) in England in the period from 1950 to 2020 and linked them with synchronized abundance changes for all species. MECEs in the sensitive stages of butterflies are frequently (for eight out of 11 MECEs) associated with synchronized decreases in their abundance. Our findings underscore the importance of considering diverse types of ECEs across all seasons to gain insights into their potential ecosystem effects. We draw attention to the fact that our analyses are primarily data-driven, with limited ecophysiological interpretation.

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来源期刊
Science of the Total Environment
Science of the Total Environment 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
17.60
自引率
10.20%
发文量
8726
审稿时长
2.4 months
期刊介绍: The Science of the Total Environment is an international journal dedicated to scientific research on the environment and its interaction with humanity. It covers a wide range of disciplines and seeks to publish innovative, hypothesis-driven, and impactful research that explores the entire environment, including the atmosphere, lithosphere, hydrosphere, biosphere, and anthroposphere. The journal's updated Aims & Scope emphasizes the importance of interdisciplinary environmental research with broad impact. Priority is given to studies that advance fundamental understanding and explore the interconnectedness of multiple environmental spheres. Field studies are preferred, while laboratory experiments must demonstrate significant methodological advancements or mechanistic insights with direct relevance to the environment.
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