跨越生命历程的风险态度:来自中国的证据

IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS 中国经济评论 Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI:10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102283
Lingguo Cheng, Yunfeng Lu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在估计中国风险态度的年龄分布,同时解决年龄-时期-队列(APC)识别问题。利用 2011 年至 2019 年具有全国代表性的纵向住户调查数据集,我们在控制年龄和出生队列的同时,用一个影响不同时期风险态度的变量来替代时期效应,从而解决识别问题。我们发现,在中国,人们承担风险的意愿从成年早期到老年几乎呈线性下降。对不同人口或社会经济群体的异质性分析表明,尽管不同群体的下降率差异很大,但所有亚群体都存在负的年龄模式。总体而言,中国风险态度的年龄特征与西方国家的研究结果一致,但在斜率大小上存在很大差异。
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Risk attitudes across the life course: Evidence from China
This study aims to estimate the age profile of risk attitudes in China while addressing the age-period-cohort (APC) identification problem. Using a nationally representative longitudinal household survey dataset from 2011 to 2019, we tackle the identification problem by proxying for the period effect with a variable that affects risk attitudes across periods while controlling for age and birth cohorts. We find that people’s willingness to take risks decreases almost linearly from early adulthood to old age in China. Heterogeneity analyses across demographic or socioeconomic groups reveal that the negative age pattern holds for all subgroups, though the rates of decline vary considerably across groups. In general, the age profile of risk attitudes in China aligns with the findings in Western countries while demonstrating a considerable discrepancy in the slope size.
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来源期刊
中国经济评论
中国经济评论 ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
10.60
自引率
4.40%
发文量
380
期刊介绍: The China Economic Review publishes original works of scholarship which add to the knowledge of the economy of China and to economies as a discipline. We seek, in particular, papers dealing with policy, performance and institutional change. Empirical papers normally use a formal model, a data set, and standard statistical techniques. Submissions are subjected to double-blind peer review.
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