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Off the books, away from the market: Clan culture and female labor force participation
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102312
Feng Huang , Haichun Ye , Jing Zhang
This study examines the persistent impact of historical Chinese clan culture on contemporary female labor force participation. Using the hand-collected genealogy data from China, we find that traditional clan-based gender biases significantly suppress women's employment, with the husband's clan heritage strongly influencing the wife's work decisions. The gender bias embedded in Chinese clan culture is the primary driver linking clan heritage to reduced female labor force participation. While women from clan-oriented backgrounds exhibit labor market advantages, these are primarily driven by self-selection into the workforce rather than direct causal effects.
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引用次数: 0
Can higher education improve egalitarian gender role attitudes? Evidence from China 高等教育能否改善平等的性别角色态度?来自中国的证据
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102311
Lifang Zhang , Jiusheng Zhu
Egalitarian gender role attitudes are crucial for empowering women across household, labor market, and political spheres; however, the evolution of these attitudes remains underexplored. This study examines the impact of higher education on gender role attitudes using a quasi-natural experiment based on China's higher education expansion. The data are obtained from the China Family Panel Studies. Our results reveal that this expansion considerably enhanced higher education attainment for men and women; however, the effects on gender role attitudes are asymmetric. While higher education positively influences women's career-related gender norms, it does not substantially impact their marriage-related attitudes or men's gender role attitudes. Moreover, attaining higher education also improves women's career-related gender equality behaviors. Further analysis indicates that these divergent impacts are attributable to patriarchal Confucian culture, educated women's superior labor market performance, and the lack of gender equality education. We also consider the role of marriage-matching patterns, whereby women tend to marry partners with higher education and greater earnings, which reinforces traditional gender roles in marriage.
平等的性别角色态度对于增强妇女在家庭、劳动力市场和政治领域的权能至关重要;然而,这些态度的演变过程仍未得到充分探讨。本研究利用基于中国高等教育扩张的准自然实验,探讨了高等教育对性别角色态度的影响。数据来自中国家庭面板研究。研究结果表明,高等教育扩招大大提高了男性和女性的受教育程度,但对性别角色态度的影响是不对称的。虽然高等教育对女性与职业相关的性别规范有积极影响,但对她们与婚姻相关的态度或男性的性别角色态度并无实质性影响。此外,接受高等教育也会改善女性与职业相关的性别平等行为。进一步的分析表明,这些不同的影响可归因于重男轻女的儒家文化、受过教育的女性在劳动力市场上的优异表现以及性别平等教育的缺失。我们还考虑了婚姻匹配模式的作用,即女性倾向于与教育程度更高、收入更高的伴侣结婚,这强化了婚姻中的传统性别角色。
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引用次数: 0
Trade sanctions and Global Value Chains: A China–South Africa perspective
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102300
Randolph Luca Bruno , Maria Cipollina , Silvia Dal Bianco
China has been an important trade partner for many African countries, and in particular for South Africa, whose trade volume with China has increased significantly over the past decades. Changes of global trade and Global Value Chains (GVCs) dynamics as response of increasing trade sanctions bring substantial economic challenges for both countries directly involved and countries not directly involved by sanctions. On the one hand, trade sanctions have direct effects on sanctioned countries. On the other, sanctions can have significant indirect effects on countries not involved, as a consequence of trade diversion, changes in comparative advantages, and geopolitical realignment. The paper provides an empirical assessment of Global Value Chains’ re-organization by China and African countries in the age of trade sanctions. It explores and quantifies the intertwined relationship between trade sanctions, GVCs participation, and Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), with a focus on the dyad China–South Africa in a comparative perspective vis-á-vis other Chinese trade partners. The analysis is based on a purpose-built dataset covering GVCs participation indexes on 66 origin and destination countries for 68 industries (ISIC Rev.4) over the period 2005–2018. A simplified evolutionary model shows how the indirect effect of sanctions on forward GVCs could be positive and sizable, the mechanism being the displacement of (heterogeneous) inefficient firms with (heterogeneous) more efficient ones; while the indirect effect of sanctions on backward GVCs is indeterminate. By zooming onto the China–South Africa relations, the paper sheds new light on the consequences of sanctions, as perceived from both buyer’s (backward) and seller’s (forward) perspective, in a so-called South–South trade partnership.
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引用次数: 0
Present bias, mental budget constraint, and the payday consumption cycle
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102306
Yonghao Xu , Juanjuan Meng , Yu Zhang , Jeffrey Koo
This study investigates the phenomenon of household consumption rising and then dropping after payday, even in the absence of liquidity constraints. Utilizing data from a large bank, we document two findings that jointly provide a rationale for such payday consumption cycle. First, we find that consumption surges around payday only among groups exhibiting strong present bias. Second, we identify the presence of mental budget constraints, where a plausibly exogenous payday surge in consumption predicts a decrease in consumption three and four weeks later, even in the absence of liquidity constraints. These findings suggest that present bias together with mental budget constraints provide an explanation for the payday consumption cycle.
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引用次数: 0
Digitalization and pollution: Evidence from South Africa 数字化与污染:南非的证据
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102266
Yueling Wei , Hongsheng Zhang , Zihan Zhao
Drawing on OECD Inter-Country Input-Output Database and Carbon Dioxide Emissions Embodied in International Trade Database from 2000 to 2018, this study measures the level of industrial digitalization of 44 industries in South Africa from the input side and empirically analyzes the effect of industrial digitalization on CO2 emissions. The results show that industrial digitalization significantly reduces the intensity of CO2 emissions in production. The effect of industrial digitalization on CO2 emissions exhibits more prominent for the tertiary industry and those industries with high digital skills. The digital inputs from foreign countries have a greater impact on CO2 emissions than domestic digital inputs. Industrial digitalization reduces CO2 emissions through two mechanisms: increasing productivity and optimizing the factor input structure. Furthermore, we compare South Africa with other four BRICS countries and find that significant emission reduction effects are observed through industrial digitalization in Brazil, South Africa and China. These findings carry important practical implications for industrial digital transformation and sustainable development in developing countries, particularly in promoting eco-friendly production and enhancing the quality of economic development in African nations.
本研究利用经合组织(OECD)2000-2018年国家间投入产出数据库和国际贸易中体现的二氧化碳排放数据库,从投入端测算南非44个行业的工业数字化水平,并实证分析工业数字化对二氧化碳排放的影响。结果表明,工业数字化大大降低了生产过程中的二氧化碳排放强度。工业数字化对二氧化碳排放的影响在第三产业和数字化技能较高的产业表现得更为突出。与国内数字化投入相比,来自国外的数字化投入对二氧化碳排放的影响更大。工业数字化通过两种机制减少二氧化碳排放:提高生产率和优化要素投入结构。此外,我们还将南非与其他四个金砖国家进行了比较,发现巴西、南非和中国的工业数字化具有显著的减排效果。这些发现对发展中国家的工业数字化转型和可持续发展具有重要的现实意义,特别是在促进生态友好型生产和提高非洲国家经济发展质量方面。
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引用次数: 0
Can data elements enhance urban innovation? Evidence from China 数据要素能否促进城市创新?来自中国的证据
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102307
Changbiao Zhong , Chao Zhang
Empowering urban innovation is particularly crucial in the new development paradigm. The capacity of data elements to drive urban innovation is a significant issue that warrants exploration. Based on the panel data of Chinese cities from 2011 to 2021, we empirically estimate the effect of data elements on urban innovation using a two-way fixed-effects panel model and analyze the influencing mechanism using a mediated-effects model. The study finds that data elements significantly enhance urban innovation capacity, and this conclusion remains valid after a series of rigorous tests for robustness. The results of the mechanism analysis indicate that data elements can boost urban innovation capacity by promoting the integration of manufacturing and service industries, increasing urban entrepreneurial activity, and enhancing urban digital finance. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that data elements have a more significant impact on enhancing the innovation capacity of cities in eastern China, high-level cities, and cities with high levels of science and education. The findings of this study provide valuable guidance for formulating policies aimed at promoting the data elements market and enhancing urban innovation vitality.
在新的发展模式中,增强城市创新能力尤为重要。数据要素推动城市创新的能力是一个值得探讨的重要问题。基于 2011-2021 年中国城市面板数据,我们采用双向固定效应面板模型实证估计了数据要素对城市创新的影响,并采用中介效应模型分析了影响机制。研究发现,数据要素能显著提升城市创新能力,这一结论在经过一系列严格的稳健性检验后仍然有效。机制分析的结果表明,数据要素可以通过促进制造业与服务业的融合、提高城市创业活动以及加强城市数字金融来提升城市创新能力。异质性分析表明,数据要素对提升中国东部城市、高水平城市和高科教水平城市的创新能力具有更显著的影响。本研究的结论为制定促进数据要素市场发展、增强城市创新活力的政策提供了有价值的指导。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal taxation, differential mortality, and endogenous human capital accumulation in China 中国的最优税收、不同死亡率和内生人力资本积累
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102297
Ye Chen , Cagri S. Kumru , Yurui Zhang
This paper analyzes the optimal tax combination using a model that incorporates differential mortality and human capital accumulation. We calculate the optimal combinations of the capital income tax, consumption tax, and progressive labor income tax rates for the Chinese economy under four different model settings: a standard life-cycle model without human capital accumulation (NHC), an NHC model with differential mortality (NHC+DM), a life-cycle model with human capital accumulation (HC), and an HC model with differential mortality (HC+DM). Our results of implementing the optimal capital income tax rates in the Chinese economy are 8.1%, 7.9%, 2.6%, and 15.4%, respectively. The optimal labor income tax includes a 41.6% marginal tax rate with a 98,010 yuan fixed deduction, a 21.0% marginal tax rate with a 97,253 yuan deduction, a 3.1% marginal tax rate with a 96,225 yuan deduction, and an 18.5% marginal tax rate with a 97,535 yuan deduction, respectively. In a nutshell, we find that the optimal tax bundles under each model are different for China. It would be better to incorporate both human capital accumulation and differential mortality for a more comprehensive model for optimal taxation analysis in China.
本文通过一个包含不同死亡率和人力资本积累的模型来分析最优税率组合。我们计算了中国经济在四种不同模型设置下资本所得税、消费税和累进劳动所得税税率的最优组合:不包含人力资本积累的标准生命周期模型(NHC)、包含差异死亡率的 NHC 模型(NHC+DM)、包含人力资本积累的生命周期模型(HC)以及包含差异死亡率的 HC 模型(HC+DM)。在中国经济中实施最优资本所得税率的结果分别为 8.1%、7.9%、2.6% 和 15.4%。最优劳动所得税的边际税率为 41.6%,固定扣除额为 98010 元;边际税率为 21.0%,扣除额为 97253 元;边际税率为 3.1%,扣除额为 96225 元;边际税率为 18.5%,扣除额为 97535 元。总之,我们发现在每种模式下,中国的最优税率组合是不同的。如果能同时考虑人力资本积累和死亡率差异,将更有利于建立一个更全面的中国最优税收分析模型。
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引用次数: 0
Dual effects of automation on economy and environment: Evidence from A-share listed enterprises in China 自动化对经济和环境的双重影响:来自中国 A 股上市企业的证据
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102308
Zhenhua Zhang , Yunpeng Zhang , Huangbin Wu , Shunfeng Song , Yuxi Pan , Yanchao Feng
The “technology dividend” brought by the development of artificial intelligence (AI) can optimize the allocation of resource within enterprises, provide a new model for enterprises to achieve sustainable development, and create a new power source for enterprise economic development and pollution reduction. Although the advantages and disadvantages of AI have been widely discussed, few studies have explored whether it can play the dual effects on economy and environment from the perspective of enterprises. Considering the difficulty of measuring AI indicators, this paper attempts to explore the impact of automation, as a key underlying technology of AI, on enterprise economic performance and environmental performance, and rationally infer the dual impact of AI. We use panel data from China's Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2009 to 2021 to reveal the dual effects of automation. The benchmark regression results show that automation can boost both enterprise economic and environmental performance. The result is still credible after a series of robustness tests and causal identification. Moreover, we find that the economic performance is stronger in non-heavily polluted enterprises. The dual effects of automation are more significant in areas with low environmental regulations and areas with high levels of industrial digitalization and digital industrialization. The mechanism analysis results show that automation can play the dual effects through the cost-effectiveness channel, the capital-labor substitution channel, and the energy-saving and emission reduction channel.
人工智能(AI)发展带来的 "技术红利 "可以优化企业内部资源配置,为企业实现可持续发展提供新模式,为企业经济发展和污染减排创造新的动力源。虽然人工智能的优缺点已被广泛讨论,但很少有研究从企业角度探讨人工智能能否发挥经济和环境的双重效应。考虑到人工智能指标难以衡量,本文试图探讨作为人工智能关键底层技术的自动化对企业经济绩效和环境绩效的影响,合理推断人工智能的双重影响。我们利用 2009 年至 2021 年中国沪深 A 股上市公司的面板数据,揭示了自动化的双重影响。基准回归结果表明,自动化可以同时提升企业的经济绩效和环境绩效。经过一系列稳健性检验和因果识别后,结果仍然可信。此外,我们还发现,非重度污染企业的经济绩效更强。自动化的双重效应在环境法规较少的地区以及工业数字化和数字工业化水平较高的地区更为显著。机理分析结果表明,自动化可以通过成本效益渠道、资本-劳动力替代渠道和节能减排渠道发挥双重效应。
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引用次数: 0
The paradox of decelerated technology importation and accelerated innovation in China: Insights from national technology development zones 中国技术引进减速与创新加速的悖论:国家技术开发区的启示
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102303
Wenyin Cheng , Bo Meng , Yuning Gao , David Dollar
Although technology importation has traditionally been viewed as the main pathway for innovation catch-up in developing countries, a paradox has emerged in China following the 2008 financial crisis: innovation boom amidst a slowdown in technology importation. To unravel this paradox, using firm-level data, we delve into the promotional and distortive effect of National Technology Development Zones (NTZs) on innovation. We documented a promotional effect of NTZs on local firm innovation measured by both patent quantity and quality from 1995 to 2013, and observed a post-crisis distortive effect on patent quality. Drawing from technological learning theories, we further explored the underlying mechanisms—autonomous development and technology importation—which both contributed to the promotional effect. Concerning the distortive effect, both mechanisms are contributing factors, with technology importation having a more pronounced negative effect. Furthermore, creative capacity of autonomous development and tangible technology importation are more significantly associated with this negative impact compared to their counterparts (absorptive capacity and intangible technology importation). Our study sheds new light on the innovation progress of China against the backdrop of escalating technology protectionism.
尽管技术引进历来被视为发展中国家创新赶超的主要途径,但 2008 年金融危机之后,中国出现了一个悖论:在技术引进放缓的同时,创新却蓬勃发展。为了解开这一悖论,我们利用企业层面的数据,深入研究了国家技术开发区(NTZs)对创新的促进和扭曲效应。从1995年到2013年,我们记录了国家技术开发区对以专利数量和质量衡量的本地企业创新的促进效应,并观察到危机后对专利质量的扭曲效应。借鉴技术学习理论,我们进一步探讨了自主开发和技术引进这两种促进效应的内在机制。关于扭曲效应,两种机制都是促成因素,其中技术引进的负面效应更为明显。此外,与同类机制(吸收能力和无形技术引进)相比,自主发展的创造能力和有形技术引进与这种负面影响的关系更为显著。在技术保护主义不断升级的背景下,我们的研究为中国的创新进步提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of monthly minimum wages on the labor market 月最低工资对劳动力市场的影响
IF 5.2 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2024.102310
Zhengxiong Yang , Mingwei Liu , Shiwei Zhang , Chenxi Yin
We explore the labor market impact of monthly minimum wages utilizing a model suitable for countries adopting monthly, weekly, or daily wage benchmarks. Our findings indicate that, in the absence of overtime regulations, an increase in monthly minimum wages will increase working hours and hourly wages and increase (or decrease) employment when the firm has high (or low) monopsony power. When incorporating overtime alongside its associated compensation, the implications of monthly minimum wages become contingent on the prevailing overtime premiums. We validate these assertions using microdata from China.
我们利用一个适用于采用月、周或日工资基准的国家的模型,探讨了月最低工资对劳动力市场的影响。我们的研究结果表明,在没有加班规定的情况下,当企业具有较高或较低的垄断力量时,月最低工资的提高将增加工作时间和小时工资,并增加(或减少)就业。如果将加班费与相关报酬一并考虑,月最低工资的影响将取决于现行的加班费。我们利用中国的微观数据验证了这些论断。
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引用次数: 0
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中国经济评论
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