Andrea Genovese, Benjamin H. Lowe, Meletios Bimpizas-Pinis, V.G. Ram
{"title":"规划不受反弹影响的未来","authors":"Andrea Genovese, Benjamin H. Lowe, Meletios Bimpizas-Pinis, V.G. Ram","doi":"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103479","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper argues that attempts to mitigate rebound effects within growth-orientated economic systems are self-defeating. This arises because rebound effects contribute to economic expansion and individual 'welfare' improvements (i.e., they are welcome and even desirable) and they flourish in traditional market systems where resource allocation is conducted in an <em>ex-post</em> fashion. As such, in the context of the transition towards more sustainable societies, we suggest that <em>ex-ante</em> economic planning and coordination mechanisms are needed to help eliminate rebound effects. Specifically, we argue that mechanisms adopted in contemporary supply chains demonstrate the technical feasibility of economic planning. Such techniques, framed within a democratic economic planning architecture, could therefore encourage moves towards a future that allows us to live within biophysical limits. An interdisciplinary research agenda is proposed to this end.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48239,"journal":{"name":"Futures","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":3.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Planning for a future free from rebound effects\",\"authors\":\"Andrea Genovese, Benjamin H. Lowe, Meletios Bimpizas-Pinis, V.G. Ram\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.futures.2024.103479\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>This paper argues that attempts to mitigate rebound effects within growth-orientated economic systems are self-defeating. This arises because rebound effects contribute to economic expansion and individual 'welfare' improvements (i.e., they are welcome and even desirable) and they flourish in traditional market systems where resource allocation is conducted in an <em>ex-post</em> fashion. As such, in the context of the transition towards more sustainable societies, we suggest that <em>ex-ante</em> economic planning and coordination mechanisms are needed to help eliminate rebound effects. Specifically, we argue that mechanisms adopted in contemporary supply chains demonstrate the technical feasibility of economic planning. Such techniques, framed within a democratic economic planning architecture, could therefore encourage moves towards a future that allows us to live within biophysical limits. An interdisciplinary research agenda is proposed to this end.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48239,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Futures\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-09-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Futures\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"91\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328724001629\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"管理学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Futures","FirstCategoryId":"91","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0016328724001629","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"管理学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
This paper argues that attempts to mitigate rebound effects within growth-orientated economic systems are self-defeating. This arises because rebound effects contribute to economic expansion and individual 'welfare' improvements (i.e., they are welcome and even desirable) and they flourish in traditional market systems where resource allocation is conducted in an ex-post fashion. As such, in the context of the transition towards more sustainable societies, we suggest that ex-ante economic planning and coordination mechanisms are needed to help eliminate rebound effects. Specifically, we argue that mechanisms adopted in contemporary supply chains demonstrate the technical feasibility of economic planning. Such techniques, framed within a democratic economic planning architecture, could therefore encourage moves towards a future that allows us to live within biophysical limits. An interdisciplinary research agenda is proposed to this end.
期刊介绍:
Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures