规划不受反弹影响的未来

IF 3 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS Futures Pub Date : 2024-09-25 DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2024.103479
Andrea Genovese, Benjamin H. Lowe, Meletios Bimpizas-Pinis, V.G. Ram
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文认为,在以增长为导向的经济体系中试图缓解反弹效应是自取灭亡。这是因为反弹效应有助于经济扩张和个人 "福利 "的改善(即,反弹效应是受欢迎的,甚至是可取的),而且反弹效应在以事后方式进行资源分配的传统市场体系中十分盛行。因此,在向更可持续的社会过渡的背景下,我们建议需要事前经济规划和协调机制来帮助消除反弹效应。具体而言,我们认为当代供应链中采用的机制证明了经济规划在技术上的可行性。因此,在民主的经济规划架构下,这些技术可以鼓励我们迈向在生物物理限制范围内生活的未来。为此,我们提出了一个跨学科研究议程。
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Planning for a future free from rebound effects
This paper argues that attempts to mitigate rebound effects within growth-orientated economic systems are self-defeating. This arises because rebound effects contribute to economic expansion and individual 'welfare' improvements (i.e., they are welcome and even desirable) and they flourish in traditional market systems where resource allocation is conducted in an ex-post fashion. As such, in the context of the transition towards more sustainable societies, we suggest that ex-ante economic planning and coordination mechanisms are needed to help eliminate rebound effects. Specifically, we argue that mechanisms adopted in contemporary supply chains demonstrate the technical feasibility of economic planning. Such techniques, framed within a democratic economic planning architecture, could therefore encourage moves towards a future that allows us to live within biophysical limits. An interdisciplinary research agenda is proposed to this end.
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来源期刊
Futures
Futures Multiple-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures
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