Lenard Rüde , Moritz Wussow , Miguel Heleno , Gunther Gust , Dirk Neumann
{"title":"根据现实世界的拓扑结构和土地覆盖数据估算配电网络长度和资本投资需求","authors":"Lenard Rüde , Moritz Wussow , Miguel Heleno , Gunther Gust , Dirk Neumann","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114368","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green technologies such as solar photovoltaic systems and electric vehicles play a fundamental role in the global decarbonization effort. To enable their diffusion, electricity distribution networks need to be upgraded, which is a complex and expensive endeavor. However, utilities face budgetary constraints and seek to reduce planning uncertainty. Here, we utilize 7,527 real-world grid topologies and land cover data to develop a model for estimating conductor and capital investment needs for electrifying a specific area. Our work yields three main contributions: First, we demonstrate the important role of land cover data in power line planning. We show that, for medium and large networks, distinct methodologies are needed due to the significant impact of land cover, particularly buildings and roads. Second, we introduce a parsimonious model of power line length and identify the number of consumption points as the primary determinant of network investment costs. Third, we present a cost assessment model tailored for regulators and investors, offering valuable insights for network planning, policymaking, due diligence, and research. Our work highlights the importance of combining land cover data and operations research algorithms in distribution network planning and provides policymakers with a tool to ensure cost-efficient network expansion.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"195 ","pages":"Article 114368"},"PeriodicalIF":9.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Estimating electrical distribution network length and capital investment needs from real-world topologies and land cover data\",\"authors\":\"Lenard Rüde , Moritz Wussow , Miguel Heleno , Gunther Gust , Dirk Neumann\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114368\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Green technologies such as solar photovoltaic systems and electric vehicles play a fundamental role in the global decarbonization effort. To enable their diffusion, electricity distribution networks need to be upgraded, which is a complex and expensive endeavor. However, utilities face budgetary constraints and seek to reduce planning uncertainty. Here, we utilize 7,527 real-world grid topologies and land cover data to develop a model for estimating conductor and capital investment needs for electrifying a specific area. Our work yields three main contributions: First, we demonstrate the important role of land cover data in power line planning. We show that, for medium and large networks, distinct methodologies are needed due to the significant impact of land cover, particularly buildings and roads. Second, we introduce a parsimonious model of power line length and identify the number of consumption points as the primary determinant of network investment costs. Third, we present a cost assessment model tailored for regulators and investors, offering valuable insights for network planning, policymaking, due diligence, and research. Our work highlights the importance of combining land cover data and operations research algorithms in distribution network planning and provides policymakers with a tool to ensure cost-efficient network expansion.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":11672,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Energy Policy\",\"volume\":\"195 \",\"pages\":\"Article 114368\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-05\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Energy Policy\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421524003884\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Policy","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421524003884","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Estimating electrical distribution network length and capital investment needs from real-world topologies and land cover data
Green technologies such as solar photovoltaic systems and electric vehicles play a fundamental role in the global decarbonization effort. To enable their diffusion, electricity distribution networks need to be upgraded, which is a complex and expensive endeavor. However, utilities face budgetary constraints and seek to reduce planning uncertainty. Here, we utilize 7,527 real-world grid topologies and land cover data to develop a model for estimating conductor and capital investment needs for electrifying a specific area. Our work yields three main contributions: First, we demonstrate the important role of land cover data in power line planning. We show that, for medium and large networks, distinct methodologies are needed due to the significant impact of land cover, particularly buildings and roads. Second, we introduce a parsimonious model of power line length and identify the number of consumption points as the primary determinant of network investment costs. Third, we present a cost assessment model tailored for regulators and investors, offering valuable insights for network planning, policymaking, due diligence, and research. Our work highlights the importance of combining land cover data and operations research algorithms in distribution network planning and provides policymakers with a tool to ensure cost-efficient network expansion.
期刊介绍:
Energy policy is the manner in which a given entity (often governmental) has decided to address issues of energy development including energy conversion, distribution and use as well as reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in order to contribute to climate change mitigation. The attributes of energy policy may include legislation, international treaties, incentives to investment, guidelines for energy conservation, taxation and other public policy techniques.
Energy policy is closely related to climate change policy because totalled worldwide the energy sector emits more greenhouse gas than other sectors.