投资者情绪与股市异常:伊斯兰国家的证据

IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pacific-Basin Finance Journal Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI:10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102557
Muhammad A. Cheema , Bayu Arie Fianto
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引用次数: 0

摘要

有关斋月效应的研究认为,穆斯林国家在斋月期间股票回报率较高与投资者情绪较高有关。然而,伊斯兰国家在代表投资者过度自信的霍夫斯泰德个人主义指数(Hofstede Individualism Index)中排名较低。因此,本研究探讨了投资者情绪对两个伊斯兰金融发达地区股市异常现象的影响:马来西亚和印度尼西亚。研究假设,如果马来西亚和印度尼西亚的投资者过于自信,那么在情绪高涨时,股市异常现象会更加强烈。结果显示,在投资者情绪高涨时,股市异常的多头和空头收益相对较低,这表明在情绪高涨时定价过高。此外,在情绪高涨时,短线股的收益相对低于长线股,因为在情绪高涨时,短线股比长线股定价过高。因此,与假设一致,在投资者情绪高涨时,由于短线收益相对低于长线收益,异常股票的长短线收益更强。
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Investor sentiment and stock market anomalies: Evidence from Islamic countries
Studies of the Ramadan effect argue that higher stock returns in Muslim countries during Ramadan relate to higher investor sentiment. However, Islamic countries rank low on the Hofstede Individualism Index, a proxy for investor overconfidence. Therefore, this study examines the impact of investor sentiment on stock market anomalies in two advanced Islamic finance jurisdictions: Malaysia and Indonesia. It hypothesizes that stock market anomalies are stronger following high sentiment if investors in Malaysia and Indonesia are overconfident. The results show that the long and short legs of the stock market anomalies earn relatively low returns following high investor sentiment, indicating overpricing during high sentiment. Moreover, the short leg earns relatively lower returns than the long leg following high sentiment because the short leg is more overpriced than the long leg when sentiment is high. Therefore, consistent with the hypothesis, the long-short returns of anomalies are stronger following high investor sentiment because of the relatively lower returns of the short leg than the long leg.
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来源期刊
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
157
期刊介绍: The Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is aimed at providing a specialized forum for the publication of academic research on capital markets of the Asia-Pacific countries. Primary emphasis will be placed on the highest quality empirical and theoretical research in the following areas: • Market Micro-structure; • Investment and Portfolio Management; • Theories of Market Equilibrium; • Valuation of Financial and Real Assets; • Behavior of Asset Prices in Financial Sectors; • Normative Theory of Financial Management; • Capital Markets of Development; • Market Mechanisms.
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