金融制裁对经济政策不确定性的影响:全球证据

IF 4.8 2区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pacific-Basin Finance Journal Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI:10.1016/j.pacfin.2024.102558
Xue-Ying Liu , Wei He , Hai-Peng Duan , Rui Fan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究基于 1991 年至 2020 年 20 个国家的面板数据,采用差分法实证检验了金融制裁对受制裁国家经济政策不确定性的影响。研究表明,金融制裁显著增加了受制裁国家的经济政策不确定性。这种影响主要是通过增加受制裁国的国家风险、降低其汇率稳定性和限制其国际贸易等机制来实现的。研究还表明,金融制裁对经济政策不确定性的影响在金融全球化程度高、外债负担重的国家更为显著。多边制裁的影响也比单边制裁更为显著。这项研究为应对金融制裁的政策提供了有益的启示。
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The impact of financial sanctions on economic policy uncertainty: Global evidence
Based on panel data from 20 countries from 1991 to 2020, this study uses the difference-in-differences method to empirically test the impact of financial sanctions on economic policy uncertainty in sanctioned countries. The study shows that financial sanctions have significantly increased the economic policy uncertainty of sanctioned countries. This impact is mainly achieved through mechanisms such as increasing the national risk of sanctioned countries, reducing their exchange rate stability, and restricting their international trade. The study also shows that the impact of financial sanctions on economic policy uncertainty is more significant in countries with a high degree of financial globalization and a heavy foreign debt burden. The effect of multilateral sanctions is also more significant than unilateral sanctions. This study provides useful inspiration for policy responses to financial sanctions.
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来源期刊
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal
Pacific-Basin Finance Journal BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
157
期刊介绍: The Pacific-Basin Finance Journal is aimed at providing a specialized forum for the publication of academic research on capital markets of the Asia-Pacific countries. Primary emphasis will be placed on the highest quality empirical and theoretical research in the following areas: • Market Micro-structure; • Investment and Portfolio Management; • Theories of Market Equilibrium; • Valuation of Financial and Real Assets; • Behavior of Asset Prices in Financial Sectors; • Normative Theory of Financial Management; • Capital Markets of Development; • Market Mechanisms.
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