2022 年欧洲西南部上空创纪录的高温热浪及其内在机制

IF 6.1 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES Weather and Climate Extremes Pub Date : 2024-10-01 DOI:10.1016/j.wace.2024.100729
Jeong-Hun Kim , So-Hyun Nam , Maeng-Ki Kim , Roberto Serrano-Notivoli , Ernesto Tejedor
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引用次数: 0

摘要

最近,全球热浪(HWs)的强度和频率都有所增加。特别是在 2022 年,欧洲受到了前所未有的热浪的严重影响,在欧洲和西班牙分别造成约 61 672 人和 11 324 人死亡。在这项研究中,我们调查了欧洲西南部(SWEU)HWs 的机制,以确定典型 HWs 与 2022 年发生的极端 HWs 之间的差异。我们的研究结果表明,2022 年的西南欧高温事件与对流层低层因高压异常而形成的强热穹丘密切相关,尤其是在两个时段(6 月 9 日至 18 日和 7 月 8 日至 19 日)。对能量预算和热力学方程的分析揭示了这两个时段西南太平洋大学上空热穹放大的基本过程。我们还发现,对流层上部的异常大气阻塞与湾流 SST 的放大密切相关,这导致了有利于 2022 年西南欧-HWs 的大气环流模式。模拟实验进一步证实了这一点。因此,我们的研究结果强调了湾流 SST 的放大可以引发有利于西南太平洋极端 HWs 的大气环流模式,从而加深了我们对极端 HWs 背后机理的理解。最后,我们的研究结果将有助于改进西南欧-HWs 在亚季节时间尺度上的预报,以及全球气候模式的未来预测。
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The 2022 record-high heat waves over southwestern Europe and their underlying mechanism
Recently, the intensity and frequency of heat waves (HWs) have been increased worldwide. Particularly in 2022, Europe was severely affected by unprecedented HWs, which caused approximately 61,672 deaths and 11,324 deaths in Europe and Spain, respectively. In this study, we investigate the mechanisms of the HWs in southwestern Europe (SWEU) to identify the differences between typical HWs and the extreme HWs that occurred in 2022. Our results showed that the SWEU events in 2022 were strongly related to robust heat domes that developed in the lower troposphere due to high-pressure anomalies especially during two periods (9–18 June and 8–19 July). Analyses of the energy budget and thermodynamic equation revealed the processes underlying the amplification of the heat domes over SWEU during both periods. We also discovered that abnormal atmospheric blocking in the upper troposphere was closely associated with the amplification of the Gulf Stream SST, which caused an atmospheric circulation pattern favorable for the 2022 SWEU-HWs. This was further confirmed by modeling experiments. Therefore, our results emphasize that a Gulf Stream SST amplification can trigger an atmospheric circulation pattern favorable for extreme HWs in SWEU, enhancing our understanding of the mechanism behind extreme HWs. Finally, our findings will help improving the forecasting of SWEU-HWs on a sub-seasonal time scale, as well as future projections in global climate models.
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来源期刊
Weather and Climate Extremes
Weather and Climate Extremes Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
11.00
自引率
7.50%
发文量
102
审稿时长
33 weeks
期刊介绍: Weather and Climate Extremes Target Audience: Academics Decision makers International development agencies Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) Civil society Focus Areas: Research in weather and climate extremes Monitoring and early warning systems Assessment of vulnerability and impacts Developing and implementing intervention policies Effective risk management and adaptation practices Engagement of local communities in adopting coping strategies Information and communication strategies tailored to local and regional needs and circumstances
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