1970-2023 年孟加拉国牛结核病发生和负担的系统回顾和荟萃分析。

IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q3 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Epidemiology and Infection Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI:10.1017/S0950268824001328
Sk Shaheenur Islam, Konstantinos Pateras, S M Lutful Kabir, Polychronis Kostoulas, Michael P Ward, A K M Anisur Rahman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们的目的是估算孟加拉国牛结核病的总体表观流行率、真实流行率以及空间、时间和检测特异性负担。我们在 PubMed、Web of Science、Scopus、Google Scholar 和 BanglaJOL 上检索了 1970 年 1 月 1 日至 2023 年 6 月 23 日期间孟加拉国的牛结核病出版物。在筛选出的 142 篇文章中,对 22 篇(15.5%)进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析。牛结核病的估计流行率为 7%。根据尾褶试验和单次皮内比较结核菌素试验得出的贝叶斯集合平均牛结核病表面流行率分别为 7.83% 和 9.89%,而真正的集合平均流行率分别为 10.39% 和 10.48%。建议对发病率较高的地区采取有针对性的干预措施,以有效减轻这些地区的牛结核病负担。孟加拉国目前采用的诊断方法可能无法准确反映牛结核病的负担。我们的研究结果突出表明,需要更好的诊断工具和补充检测方法,以确保准确诊断和监测。应优先考虑获得 "真实 "流行率估计值,并对误诊偏差进行校正,而不是仅仅依赖表面流行率。低估牛结核病负担会导致资源分配不足,并阻碍有效控制措施的实施。
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A systematic review and meta-analysis of bovine tuberculosis occurrence and burden in Bangladesh, 1970-2023.

We aimed to estimate the overall apparent prevalence, true prevalence, and the spatial, temporal, and test-specific burden of bovine tuberculosis in Bangladesh. PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus, Google Scholar, and BanglaJOL were searched for bovine tuberculosis publications in Bangladesh from 1 January 1970 to 23 June 2023. Of 142 articles screened, systematic review and meta-analysis were performed on 22 (15.5%) articles. The apparent estimated bovine tuberculosis prevalence was 7%. The apparent Bayesian pooled mean bovine tuberculosis prevalences based on caudal fold test and single intradermal comparative tuberculin test were 7.83% and 9.89%, respectively, and the true pooled mean prevalences were 10.39% and 10.48%, respectively. Targeted interventions are recommended for districts with higher prevalence to effectively reduce the bovine tuberculosis burden in those areas. Current diagnostic practices employed in Bangladesh may not accurately reflect the bovine tuberculosis burden. Our findings highlight the need for better diagnostic tools and supplemental testing methods to ensure accurate diagnosis and surveillance. Efforts should prioritize obtaining 'true' prevalence estimates corrected for misclassification bias, rather than relying solely on apparent prevalence. Underestimating the bovine tuberculosis burden could result in inadequate resource allocation and hinder the implementation of effective control measures.

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来源期刊
Epidemiology and Infection
Epidemiology and Infection 医学-传染病学
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
2.40%
发文量
366
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: Epidemiology & Infection publishes original reports and reviews on all aspects of infection in humans and animals. Particular emphasis is given to the epidemiology, prevention and control of infectious diseases. The scope covers the zoonoses, outbreaks, food hygiene, vaccine studies, statistics and the clinical, social and public-health aspects of infectious disease, as well as some tropical infections. It has become the key international periodical in which to find the latest reports on recently discovered infections and new technology. For those concerned with policy and planning for the control of infections, the papers on mathematical modelling of epidemics caused by historical, current and emergent infections are of particular value.
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