瑞士与高温有关的急诊入院人数的风险、可归因比例和可归因人数。

IF 4.6 Q2 MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS ACS Applied Bio Materials Pub Date : 2024-10-07 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.3389/ijph.2024.1607349
Florian Schulte, Martin Röösli, Martina S Ragettli
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:我们使用临床相关指标评估了瑞士高温与急诊入院率(EHA)之间的关系:我们使用临床相关指标评估了瑞士高温与急诊入院率(EHA)之间的关系:采用分布式滞后非线性模型,我们调查了 1998 年 5 月至 2019 年 9 月期间不同疾病组、不同年龄段和不同性别的气温与入院率之间的关系。我们估算了中度(29°C)和极端(34°C)日最高气温相对于疾病特定最适温度的相对风险(RR),并计算了高温日和随后一周的可归因分数(AF)。我们还计算了与高温相关的 EHA 总次数:我们将 31,387 例(95% 置信区间:21,567-40,408)EHA 归因于高于最佳温度,占总数的 1.1%(0.7%-1.4%)。极端气温增加了精神疾病、传染病和神经系统疾病的 EHA 风险。我们观察到,极端高温导致脱水(85.9%,95% CI:82.4%-88.8%)和急性肾损伤(AKI,56.1%,95% CI:45.3%-64.7%)的 AFs 特别高。虽然EHA风险一般随年龄增长而增加,但我们也发现儿童(0-15岁)感染传染病和年轻成人(15-64岁)急性肾损伤的RR较高:结论:炎热的天气增加了瑞士的 EHA 风险。因此,需要采取全面的临床和公共卫生应对措施。
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Risk, Attributable Fraction and Attributable Number of Cause-Specific Heat-Related Emergency Hospital Admissions in Switzerland.

Objectives: We assessed the relationship between heat and emergency hospital admissions (EHAs) in Switzerland using clinically relevant metrics.

Methods: Applying distributed lag non-linear models, we investigated temperature-admission associations between May and September 1998-2019 for various disease groups, by age class and gender. We estimated the relative risk (RR) for moderate (29°C) and extreme (34°C) daily maximum temperatures relative to disease-specific optimum temperature, and calculated attributable fractions (AFs) for hot days and the following week. We also calculated the total number of heat-related EHAs.

Results: We attributed 31,387 (95% confidence interval: 21,567-40,408) EHAs to above-optimal temperatures, 1.1% (0.7%-1.4%) of the total. Extreme temperatures increased the EHA risk for mental, infectious and neurological diseases. We observed particularly high AFs due to extreme heat for dehydration (85.9%, 95% CI: 82.4%-88.8%) and acute kidney injury (AKI, 56.1%, 95% CI: 45.3%-64.7%). While EHA risk generally increased with age, we also found high RRs for infectious diseases in children (0-15 years) and AKI in young adults (15-64 years).

Conclusion: Hot weather increases the EHA risk in Switzerland. Therefore a comprehensive clinical and public health response is needed.

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来源期刊
ACS Applied Bio Materials
ACS Applied Bio Materials Chemistry-Chemistry (all)
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
2.10%
发文量
464
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