太阳辐射管理对整个安第斯冰川地表质量平衡的影响

IF 8.5 1区 地球科学 Q1 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Pub Date : 2024-10-23 DOI:10.1038/s41612-024-00807-x
Alfonso Fernández, Francisco Manquehual-Cheuque, Marcelo Somos-Valenzuela
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摘要

太阳辐射管理(SRM)是一项气候干预战略,旨在通过减少进入的太阳辐射来减缓全球变暖。我们研究了太阳辐射管理对整个安第斯冰川地表质量平衡的潜在影响,因为冰川对南美洲西海岸的下游生态功能至关重要。我们用数值模拟了数千个冰川在整个 21 世纪中对 SRM 和其他气候变化情景的地表质量平衡响应。结果表明,泛安第斯地区的质量平衡为负值,与情景或冰川-气候系统无关。然而,SRM 往往会改变一些地区的年际变化和温度敏感性。我们的研究结果还表明,如果在 20 世纪 80 年代末就实施可持续土地管理,就能有效避免出现今天的负轨迹。安第斯山脉几乎拥有所有的山地水文气候系统,是一个具有全球相关性的研究水资源管理影响的实例。这些发现强调了大幅减排的紧迫性。
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Impact of Solar Radiation Management on Andean glacier-wide surface mass balance
Solar Radiation Management (SRM) is a climate intervention strategy aimed at mitigating global warming by reducing incoming solar radiation. We investigate the potential influence of SRM on Andean glacier-wide surface mass balance, as glaciers are crucial for downstream ecological functions along the west coast of South America. We numerically simulate the surface mass balance response of thousands of glaciers to SRM and other climate change scenarios throughout the 21st century. Results indicate Pan-Andean negative mass balance, irrespective of the scenario or glacier-climate regimes. However, SRM tends to modify interannual variability and temperature sensitivity in several regions. Our findings also suggest that if SRM had been implemented in the late 1980’s, it would have been effective in avoiding the negative trajectory seen today. The Andes feature nearly all mountain hydroclimatic regimes, representing a globally relevant example of SRM impacts. These findings emphasize the urgency of drastic emissions reduction.
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来源期刊
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
8.80
自引率
3.30%
发文量
87
审稿时长
21 weeks
期刊介绍: npj Climate and Atmospheric Science is an open-access journal encompassing the relevant physical, chemical, and biological aspects of atmospheric and climate science. The journal places particular emphasis on regional studies that unveil new insights into specific localities, including examinations of local atmospheric composition, such as aerosols. The range of topics covered by the journal includes climate dynamics, climate variability, weather and climate prediction, climate change, ocean dynamics, weather extremes, air pollution, atmospheric chemistry (including aerosols), the hydrological cycle, and atmosphere–ocean and atmosphere–land interactions. The journal welcomes studies employing a diverse array of methods, including numerical and statistical modeling, the development and application of in situ observational techniques, remote sensing, and the development or evaluation of new reanalyses.
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