术前血清胱抑素 C 是影响肾细胞癌患者存活率的独立预后因素

IF 4.3 3区 材料科学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC ACS Applied Electronic Materials Pub Date : 2024-09-23 eCollection Date: 2024-01-01 DOI:10.7150/jca.97711
Hui Ma, Peipei Wang, Zhao Hou, Huiyu Zhou, Dingyang Lv, Fan Cui, Weibing Shuang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本研究旨在评估肾细胞癌(RCC)患者术前血清胱抑素 C(Cys-C)的预后意义。研究方法我们分析了在本院接受部分或根治性肾切除术的 624 例 RCC 患者的临床病理数据和随访信息。使用 X-tile 软件确定了 Cys-C 的最佳临界值。采用 Kaplan-Meier 法和对数秩检验对包括总生存期(OS)和癌症特异性生存期(CSS)在内的生存结果进行了评估。为避免过度拟合和共线性,我们使用基于 LASSO 的多变量 Cox 回归分析来确定 OS 和 CSS 的独立预测因素。使用随时间变化的接收者操作特征曲线(ROC)和曲线下面积(AUC)评估了已建立模型(包括术前血清 Cys-C)的预测准确性。结果显示中位随访期为 40 个月。术前血清 Cys-C 水平的最佳临界值为 0.95 mg/L。与低 Cys-C 组相比,高 Cys-C 组患者的 OS 和 CSS 明显更短。多变量 Cox 回归分析表明,术前血清 Cys-C 水平升高是肾切除术后 RCC 患者的独立不良预测因素。调整所有协变量后,术前血清 Cys-C 水平高与较差的 OS 相关(危险比 [HR]:2.254;95% 置信区间 [CI]:1.144, 4.440):1.144,4.439;P = 0.019)和 CSS(HR:3.621;95% CI:1.386,9.456;P = 0.009)。时间依赖性 ROC 分析表明,我们的模型(包括术前血清 Cys-C)在预测生存准确性方面表现良好。结论术前血清 Cys-C 水平是肾切除术 RCC 患者 OS 和 CSS 的有效预后指标。
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Preoperative Serum Cystatin C as an Independent Prognostic Factor for Survival in Patients with Renal Cell Carcinoma.

Purpose: This study aims to evaluate the prognostic significance of preoperative serum cystatin C (Cys-C) in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). Methods: We analyzed clinicopathological data and follow-up information of 624 RCC patients who underwent partial or radical nephrectomy at our institution. The optimal cutoff value of Cys-C was determined using X-tile software. Survival outcomes, including overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), were evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. To avoid overfitting and collinearity, we used LASSO-based multivariable Cox regression analysis to identify independent predictors of OS and CSS. The predictive accuracy of the established model, including preoperative serum Cys-C, was evaluated using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the area under the curve (AUC). Results: The median follow-up period was 40 months. The optimal cutoff value of preoperative serum Cys-C levels was 0.95 mg/L. Compared with the low Cys-C group, patients in the high Cys-C group had significantly shorter OS and CSS. Multivariable Cox regression analysis indicated that elevated preoperative serum Cys-C level was an independent adverse predictor for RCC patients post-nephrectomy. After adjusting for all covariates, high preoperative serum Cys-C level was associated with worse OS (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.254; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.144, 4.439; P = 0.019) and CSS (HR: 3.621; 95% CI: 1.386, 9.456; P = 0.009). Time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated that our model, including preoperative serum Cys-C, performed well in predicting accuracy of survival. Conclusions: Preoperative serum Cys-C level is an effective prognostic indicator for OS and CSS in RCC patients undergoing nephrectomy.

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