{"title":"DeepAGS:利用活动、地理和序列信息进行深度学习,预测个人的下一个旅行目的地","authors":"Zhenlin Qin, Pengfei Zhang, Zhenliang Ma","doi":"10.1049/itr2.12554","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Individual mobility is driven by activities and thus restricted geographically, especially for trip destination prediction in public transport. Existing statistical learning based models focus on extracting mobility regularity in predicting an individual's mobility. However, they are limited in modeling varied spatial mobility patterns driven by the same activity (e.g. an individual may travel to different locations for shopping). The paper proposes a deep learning model with activity, geographic and sequential (DeepAGS) information in predicting an individual's next trip destination in public transport. DeepAGS models the semantic features of activity and geography by using word embedding and graph convolutional network. An adaptive neural fusion gate mechanism is proposed to dynamically fuse the mobility activity and geographical information given the current trip information. Besides, DeepAGS uses the gated recurrent unit to capture the temporal mobility regularity. The approach is validated by using a real-world smartcard dataset in urban railway systems and comparing with state-of-the-art models. The results show that the proposed model outperforms its peers in terms of accuracy and robustness by effectively integrating the activity and geographical information relevant to a trip context. Also, we illustrate and verify the working mechanism of the DeepAGS model using the synthetic data constructed using real-world data. The DeepAGS model captures both the activity and geographic information of hidden mobility activities and thus could be potentially applicable to other mobility prediction tasks, such as bus trip destinations and individual GPS locations.</p>","PeriodicalId":50381,"journal":{"name":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12554","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"DeepAGS: Deep learning with activity, geography and sequential information in predicting an individual's next trip destination\",\"authors\":\"Zhenlin Qin, Pengfei Zhang, Zhenliang Ma\",\"doi\":\"10.1049/itr2.12554\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>Individual mobility is driven by activities and thus restricted geographically, especially for trip destination prediction in public transport. Existing statistical learning based models focus on extracting mobility regularity in predicting an individual's mobility. However, they are limited in modeling varied spatial mobility patterns driven by the same activity (e.g. an individual may travel to different locations for shopping). The paper proposes a deep learning model with activity, geographic and sequential (DeepAGS) information in predicting an individual's next trip destination in public transport. DeepAGS models the semantic features of activity and geography by using word embedding and graph convolutional network. An adaptive neural fusion gate mechanism is proposed to dynamically fuse the mobility activity and geographical information given the current trip information. Besides, DeepAGS uses the gated recurrent unit to capture the temporal mobility regularity. The approach is validated by using a real-world smartcard dataset in urban railway systems and comparing with state-of-the-art models. The results show that the proposed model outperforms its peers in terms of accuracy and robustness by effectively integrating the activity and geographical information relevant to a trip context. Also, we illustrate and verify the working mechanism of the DeepAGS model using the synthetic data constructed using real-world data. The DeepAGS model captures both the activity and geographic information of hidden mobility activities and thus could be potentially applicable to other mobility prediction tasks, such as bus trip destinations and individual GPS locations.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":50381,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IET Intelligent Transport Systems\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.3000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1049/itr2.12554\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IET Intelligent Transport Systems\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1049/itr2.12554\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IET Intelligent Transport Systems","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1049/itr2.12554","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, ELECTRICAL & ELECTRONIC","Score":null,"Total":0}
DeepAGS: Deep learning with activity, geography and sequential information in predicting an individual's next trip destination
Individual mobility is driven by activities and thus restricted geographically, especially for trip destination prediction in public transport. Existing statistical learning based models focus on extracting mobility regularity in predicting an individual's mobility. However, they are limited in modeling varied spatial mobility patterns driven by the same activity (e.g. an individual may travel to different locations for shopping). The paper proposes a deep learning model with activity, geographic and sequential (DeepAGS) information in predicting an individual's next trip destination in public transport. DeepAGS models the semantic features of activity and geography by using word embedding and graph convolutional network. An adaptive neural fusion gate mechanism is proposed to dynamically fuse the mobility activity and geographical information given the current trip information. Besides, DeepAGS uses the gated recurrent unit to capture the temporal mobility regularity. The approach is validated by using a real-world smartcard dataset in urban railway systems and comparing with state-of-the-art models. The results show that the proposed model outperforms its peers in terms of accuracy and robustness by effectively integrating the activity and geographical information relevant to a trip context. Also, we illustrate and verify the working mechanism of the DeepAGS model using the synthetic data constructed using real-world data. The DeepAGS model captures both the activity and geographic information of hidden mobility activities and thus could be potentially applicable to other mobility prediction tasks, such as bus trip destinations and individual GPS locations.
期刊介绍:
IET Intelligent Transport Systems is an interdisciplinary journal devoted to research into the practical applications of ITS and infrastructures. The scope of the journal includes the following:
Sustainable traffic solutions
Deployments with enabling technologies
Pervasive monitoring
Applications; demonstrations and evaluation
Economic and behavioural analyses of ITS services and scenario
Data Integration and analytics
Information collection and processing; image processing applications in ITS
ITS aspects of electric vehicles
Autonomous vehicles; connected vehicle systems;
In-vehicle ITS, safety and vulnerable road user aspects
Mobility as a service systems
Traffic management and control
Public transport systems technologies
Fleet and public transport logistics
Emergency and incident management
Demand management and electronic payment systems
Traffic related air pollution management
Policy and institutional issues
Interoperability, standards and architectures
Funding scenarios
Enforcement
Human machine interaction
Education, training and outreach
Current Special Issue Call for papers:
Intelligent Transportation Systems in Smart Cities for Sustainable Environment - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_ITSSCSE.pdf
Sustainably Intelligent Mobility (SIM) - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_SIM.pdf
Traffic Theory and Modelling in the Era of Artificial Intelligence and Big Data (in collaboration with World Congress for Transport Research, WCTR 2019) - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_ITS_CFP_WCTR.pdf