Evaluation of source rocks and prediction of oil and gas resources distribution in Baiyun Sag, Pearl River Mouth Basin, China

By conducting organic geochemical analysis of the samples taken from the drilled wells in Baiyun Sag of Pearl River Mouth Basin, China, the development characteristics of hydrocarbon source rocks in the sag are clarified. Reconstruct the current geothermal field of the sag and restore the tectonic-thermal evolution process to predict the type, scale, and distribution of resources in Baiyun Sag through thermal pressure simulation experiments and numerical simulation. The Baiyun Sag is characterized by the development of Paleogene shallow lacustrine source rocks, which are deposited in a slightly oxidizing environment. The source rocks are mainly composed of terrestrial higher plants, with algae making a certain contribution, and are oil and gas source rocks. Current geothermal field of the sag was reconstructed, in which the range of geothermal gradients is (3.5–5.2) °C/100 m, showing an overall increasing trend from northwest to southeast, with significant differences in geothermal gradients across different sub-sags. Baiyun Sag has undergone two distinct periods of extensional process, the Eocene and Miocene, since the Cenozoic era. These two periods of heating and warming events have been identified, accelerating the maturation and evolution of source rocks. The main body of ancient basal heat flow value reached its highest at 13.82 Ma. The basin modelling results show that the maturity of source rocks is significantly higher in Baiyun main sub-sag than that in other sub-sags. The Eocene Wenchang Formation is currently in the stage of high maturity to over maturity, while the Eocene Enping Formation has reached the stage of maturity to high maturity. The rock thermal simulation experiment shows that the shallow lacustrine mudstone of the Wenchang Formation has a good potential of generating gas from kerogen cracking with high gas yield and long period of gas window. Shallow lacustrine mudstone of the Enping Formation has a good ability to generate light oil, and has ability to generate kerogen cracking gas in the late stage. The gas yield of shallow lacustrine mudstone of the Enping Formation is less than that of shallow lacustrine mudstone of the Wenchang Formation and the delta coal-bearing mudstone of the Enping Formation. The numerical simulation results indicate that the source rocks of Baiyun main sub-sag generate hydrocarbons earlier and have significantly higher hydrocarbon generation intensity than other sub-sags, with an average of about 1 200×10⁴ t/km². Oil and gas resources were mainly distributed in Baiyun main sub-sag and the main source rocks are distributed in the 3^rd and 4^th members of Wenchang Formation. Four favorable zones are selected for the division and evaluation of migration and aggregation units: No.

Panyu 30 nose-shaped structural belt, No.

Liuhua 29 nose-shaped uplift belt and Liwan 3 nose-shaped uplift belt, No.

gentle slope belt of Baiyun east sag, and No.

Baiyun 1 low-uplift.