伊朗农民应对干旱危机:如何减轻干旱的后果?

IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-10-18 DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104910
Moslem Savari , Bagher Khaleghi , Abbas Sheheytavi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化(CC)是一个不可否认的全球现象,影响着包括伊朗在内的各个地区。气候变化的主要因素包括温室气体增加、气温升高和降水模式波动,预计在不久的将来会显著降低农作物产量。为此,确定有效的适应战略对于减轻这些不利影响至关重要。本研究调查了环境价值观、风险认知和心理距离在影响伊朗农民对气候变化的适应策略中的作用。通过多阶段分层抽样法,从伊朗西南部舒什塔尔县选取了 390 位农民作为样本。利用结构方程模型(SEM),分析揭示了环境价值观(生物圈、利他和利己)、信念、风险认知、心理距离和农民对 CC 的适应反应之间复杂的相互关系。此外,研究结果表明,研究变量解释了农民适应行为中 67.6% 的变异,其中对 CC 的信念是影响最大的因素。这些研究结果不仅丰富了现有文献,还为政策制定者提供了可操作的见解,以促进农民采取适应性策略。
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Iranian farmers' response to the drought crisis: How can the consequences of drought be reduced?
Climate change (CC) is an undeniable global phenomenon, impacting various regions, including Iran. Key components of CC, including the increase in greenhouse gases, rising temperatures, and fluctuations in precipitation patterns, are expected to significantly reduce agricultural crop yields in the near future. In response, identifying effective adaptation strategies is critical for mitigating these adverse effects. This study investigates the role of environmental values, risk perception, and psychological distance in shaping Iranian farmers’ adaptation strategies to CC. A sample of 390 farmers from Shushtar County in southwestern Iran was selected through a multi-stage stratified sampling method. Using structural equation modeling (SEM), the analysis revealed complex interrelationships between environmental values (biospheric, altruistic, and egoistic), beliefs, risk perception, psychological distance, and farmers' adaptation responses to CC. Furthermore, the results indicated that the study variables explain 67.6 % of the variance in farmers' adaptive behaviors, with belief in CC emerging as the most influential factor. These findings not only enrich the current body of literature but also provide actionable insights for policymakers to foster adaptive strategies among farmers.
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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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