货币政策中的性别因素:事件研究设计

IF 4.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Economic Modelling Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI:10.1016/j.econmod.2024.106910
Donata Favaro , Anna Giraldo , Adriano Paggiaro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文评估了中央银行行长的货币政策偏好是否因性别而异。基于通胀率是产出缺口函数的货币政策规则,我们估计了女总裁央行和男总裁央行在这一规则上的差异。利用从 1980 年到 2018 年观察到的 159 个国家的原始数据库,我们采用了事件研究设计,与相关文献相比,这种设计为评估新总统任命后几年内通货膨胀变化的性别差异提供了一种新方法。采用倾向得分匹配的差分策略表明,至少在上任后的头几年,男性央行行长在货币政策上表现得非常保守(鹰派)。相反,女性央行行长则是进步的(鸽派)。这意味着,与产出缺口相比,女性让通货膨胀率波动的幅度更大。
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The gender factor in monetary policy: An event-study design
This article assesses whether central bankers’ monetary policy preferences differ by gender. Based on a monetary policy rule in which the inflation rate is a function of the output gap, we estimated differences in this rule between central banks with female presidents and those with male presidents. Using an original database of 159 countries observed from 1980 to 2018, we adopted an event-study design, which, compared with the related literature, offers a novel approach to evaluate gender differences in inflation changes in the years following a new presidential appointment. A difference-in-differences strategy with propensity score matching showed that men central bank presidents are strongly conservative (hawks) in their monetary policy, at least in the first years after taking office. On the contrary, women central bank presidents are progressive (doves). This implies that women let the inflation rate fluctuate more—in relation to the output gap—than do men.
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来源期刊
Economic Modelling
Economic Modelling ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
8.00
自引率
10.60%
发文量
295
期刊介绍: Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.
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