结合电网时间序列测量中的异常点和变化点检测,获取更好的负荷估计值

IF 4.8 2区 工程技术 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks Pub Date : 2024-10-15 DOI:10.1016/j.segan.2024.101540
{"title":"结合电网时间序列测量中的异常点和变化点检测,获取更好的负荷估计值","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.segan.2024.101540","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper we present novel methodology for automatic anomaly and switch event filtering to improve load estimation in power grid systems. By leveraging unsupervised methods with supervised optimization, our approach prioritizes interpretability while ensuring robust and generalizable performance on unseen data. Through experimentation, a combination of binary segmentation for change point detection and statistical process control for anomaly detection emerges as the most effective strategy, specifically when ensembled in a novel sequential manner. Results indicate the clear wasted potential when filtering is not applied. The automatic load estimation is also fairly accurate, with approximately 90% of estimates falling within a 10% error margin, with only a single significant failure in both the minimum and maximum load estimates across 60 measurements in the test set. Our methodology’s interpretability makes it particularly suitable for critical infrastructure planning, thereby enhancing decision-making processes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":56142,"journal":{"name":"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Acquiring better load estimates by combining anomaly and change point detection in power grid time-series measurements\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.segan.2024.101540\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>In this paper we present novel methodology for automatic anomaly and switch event filtering to improve load estimation in power grid systems. By leveraging unsupervised methods with supervised optimization, our approach prioritizes interpretability while ensuring robust and generalizable performance on unseen data. Through experimentation, a combination of binary segmentation for change point detection and statistical process control for anomaly detection emerges as the most effective strategy, specifically when ensembled in a novel sequential manner. Results indicate the clear wasted potential when filtering is not applied. The automatic load estimation is also fairly accurate, with approximately 90% of estimates falling within a 10% error margin, with only a single significant failure in both the minimum and maximum load estimates across 60 measurements in the test set. Our methodology’s interpretability makes it particularly suitable for critical infrastructure planning, thereby enhancing decision-making processes.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":56142,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":4.8000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352467724002698\",\"RegionNum\":2,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ENERGY & FUELS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352467724002698","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ENERGY & FUELS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们提出了自动过滤异常和开关事件的新方法,以改进电网系统中的负荷估算。通过利用无监督方法和有监督优化,我们的方法优先考虑了可解释性,同时确保了在未见数据上的稳健性和通用性。通过实验,二进制分割法检测变化点和统计过程控制法检测异常点的组合成为最有效的策略,特别是以新颖的顺序方式进行组合时。结果表明,如果不使用过滤功能,显然会浪费潜力。自动负载估计也相当准确,约 90% 的估计值误差在 10% 以内,在测试集中的 60 次测量中,只有一次在最小和最大负载估计中出现重大失误。我们的方法具有可解释性,因此特别适用于关键基础设施规划,从而加强决策过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Acquiring better load estimates by combining anomaly and change point detection in power grid time-series measurements
In this paper we present novel methodology for automatic anomaly and switch event filtering to improve load estimation in power grid systems. By leveraging unsupervised methods with supervised optimization, our approach prioritizes interpretability while ensuring robust and generalizable performance on unseen data. Through experimentation, a combination of binary segmentation for change point detection and statistical process control for anomaly detection emerges as the most effective strategy, specifically when ensembled in a novel sequential manner. Results indicate the clear wasted potential when filtering is not applied. The automatic load estimation is also fairly accurate, with approximately 90% of estimates falling within a 10% error margin, with only a single significant failure in both the minimum and maximum load estimates across 60 measurements in the test set. Our methodology’s interpretability makes it particularly suitable for critical infrastructure planning, thereby enhancing decision-making processes.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks
Sustainable Energy Grids & Networks Energy-Energy Engineering and Power Technology
CiteScore
7.90
自引率
13.00%
发文量
206
审稿时长
49 days
期刊介绍: Sustainable Energy, Grids and Networks (SEGAN)is an international peer-reviewed publication for theoretical and applied research dealing with energy, information grids and power networks, including smart grids from super to micro grid scales. SEGAN welcomes papers describing fundamental advances in mathematical, statistical or computational methods with application to power and energy systems, as well as papers on applications, computation and modeling in the areas of electrical and energy systems with coupled information and communication technologies.
期刊最新文献
Secured energy data transaction for prosumers under diverse cyberattack scenarios Investigating the long-term benefits of EU electricity highways: The case of the Green Aegean Interconnector Blockchain-enabled transformation: Decentralized planning and secure peer-to-peer trading in local energy networks Integrated real-time dispatch of power and gas systems Two-stage low-carbon economic dispatch of an integrated energy system considering flexible decoupling of electricity and heat on sides of source and load
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1