基于推算的短期突变风速预报技术

IF 2.6 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS IET Renewable Power Generation Pub Date : 2024-10-19 DOI:10.1049/rpg2.13124
Karan Sareen, Bijaya Ketan Panigrahi, Tushar Shikhola, Ravi Nath Tripathi, Ashok Kumar Rajput
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引用次数: 0

摘要

由于风速的间歇性和随机性,以及风速的突然变化,风速预报是一项艰巨而复杂的工作。此外,还需要处理各种可能导致数据缺失的情况,如网络攻击、电力设备意外故障、通信/传感器中断等。本文提出并采用了一种用于风速预报的去噪自动编码器算法,以确保处理缺失的数据信息。下一步,通过变模分解技术对数据进行处理,以减轻噪声并提高模型的预测精度。此外,还将双向长短期记忆深度学习方法与卷积神经网络相结合,以提高预测精度,并准确预测风速的突然/中断变化。最后,研究了实际风速相关数据,以仔细检查预测方法的细致性,尤其是在风速突然/中断变化时。风速预测技术的参数指标显示了在各种条件下改进预测的能力。
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Imputation based wind speed forecasting technique during abrupt changes in short term scenario

It is tough and complex to forecast wind speed due to its intermittent and stochastic nature as well as sudden and abrupt variations in the wind speed. Further, it is required to handle the variety of scenarios e.g. cyber-attacks, unexpected power device malfunction, communication/sensor outages etc. that can cause the missing data.This paper proposes and employs a de-noising autoencoder algorithm for wind speed forecasting to ensure the handling of missing data information. At the next step, the data is processed via variational mode decomposition technique to mitigate the noise and improves the model's prediction accuracy. Furthermore, the bi-directional long-short term memory deep learning approach is tied with convolution neural network to increase prediction accuracy and anticipating the sudden/abrupt changes in wind speed accurately. Finally, actual wind speed related data is examined to scrutinize meticulousness of projected forecast methodology particularly during sudden/abrupt changes in the wind speed. The parameter indicators of the wind speed forecasting technique exhibit the capability of improved predictions under the diversified conditions.

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来源期刊
IET Renewable Power Generation
IET Renewable Power Generation 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
11.50%
发文量
268
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: IET Renewable Power Generation (RPG) brings together the topics of renewable energy technology, power generation and systems integration, with techno-economic issues. All renewable energy generation technologies are within the scope of the journal. Specific technology areas covered by the journal include: Wind power technology and systems Photovoltaics Solar thermal power generation Geothermal energy Fuel cells Wave power Marine current energy Biomass conversion and power generation What differentiates RPG from technology specific journals is a concern with power generation and how the characteristics of the different renewable sources affect electrical power conversion, including power electronic design, integration in to power systems, and techno-economic issues. Other technologies that have a direct role in sustainable power generation such as fuel cells and energy storage are also covered, as are system control approaches such as demand side management, which facilitate the integration of renewable sources into power systems, both large and small. The journal provides a forum for the presentation of new research, development and applications of renewable power generation. Demonstrations and experimentally based research are particularly valued, and modelling studies should as far as possible be validated so as to give confidence that the models are representative of real-world behavior. Research that explores issues where the characteristics of the renewable energy source and their control impact on the power conversion is welcome. Papers covering the wider areas of power system control and operation, including scheduling and protection that are central to the challenge of renewable power integration are particularly encouraged. The journal is technology focused covering design, demonstration, modelling and analysis, but papers covering techno-economic issues are also of interest. Papers presenting new modelling and theory are welcome but this must be relevant to real power systems and power generation. Most papers are expected to include significant novelty of approach or application that has general applicability, and where appropriate include experimental results. Critical reviews of relevant topics are also invited and these would be expected to be comprehensive and fully referenced. Current Special Issue. Call for papers: Power Quality and Protection in Renewable Energy Systems and Microgrids - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_RPG_CFP_PQPRESM.pdf Energy and Rail/Road Transportation Integrated Development - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_RPG_CFP_ERTID.pdf
期刊最新文献
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