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DBSRad-LSTM: DBSCAN Clustering for Load Forecasting in Microgrids Using Radial LSTM 基于径向LSTM的DBSCAN聚类微电网负荷预测
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70162
Fazli khuda, Gan Zengkang, Razaz Waheeb Attar, Tariq Hussain, Khalid Zaman, Chen Wei, Majad Mansoor, Rahat Ullah, Salman Khan

In this study, an innovative approach with enhanced recursive feature clustering for load forecasting in smart solar microgrids by integrating density-based spatial clustering (DBSCAN) and radial basis function neural networks (RBFNN) encoder is proposed. Our methodology is based upon novel density-based clustering with feature recursive forwarding RBFNN-LSTM for high-accuracy micro- and macro-feature learning in temporal data. DBSRad-LSTM performance is evaluated using three distinct datasets: Panama electricity consumption, Italy solar electric load, and a custom dataset tailored for smart grid applications. Through rigorous comparative analysis, our DBSRad-LSTM model outperformed traditional machine learning models such as gated recurrent unit (GRU), long short-term memory (LSTM), and convolutional neural networks (CNN) across several metrics. Specifically, DBSRad-LSTM demonstrated superior performance in terms of accuracy, thereby contributing enhanced load forecasting capabilities. The proposed model integrating RBFN linear functionality with the attention of LSTM and DBSCAN clustering to enhance the learning of temporal data outperformed CNN, SVMCNN, and GRU on Panama power consumption, Italy electric load and bespoke datasets, obtaining a higher R2 value of 0.89 and much lower MSE 0.015, RMSE 0.123, and MAE of 0.009. Achieving a 9%–25% improvement in error metrics and an average 13% better fit. By offering a distinct clustering-based approach that improves on existing methods, this research makes a substantial contribution to the field of smart grid management and opens the door for more precise and effective energy distribution systems.

本文提出了一种基于密度的空间聚类(DBSCAN)和径向基函数神经网络(RBFNN)编码器相结合的基于增强递归特征聚类的智能太阳能微电网负荷预测方法。我们的方法是基于新颖的基于密度的聚类和特征递归转发RBFNN-LSTM,用于在时间数据中高精度的微观和宏观特征学习。DBSRad-LSTM性能使用三个不同的数据集进行评估:巴拿马电力消耗,意大利太阳能电力负荷,以及为智能电网应用量身定制的数据集。通过严格的比较分析,我们的DBSRad-LSTM模型在几个指标上优于传统的机器学习模型,如门控循环单元(GRU)、长短期记忆(LSTM)和卷积神经网络(CNN)。具体来说,DBSRad-LSTM在准确性方面表现出了卓越的性能,从而增强了负载预测能力。该模型将RBFN线性函数与LSTM和DBSCAN聚类的关注相结合,增强了对时间数据的学习,在巴拿马功耗、意大利电力负荷和定制数据集上的表现优于CNN、SVMCNN和GRU, R2值为0.89,MSE为0.015,RMSE为0.123,MAE为0.009。误差指标提高9%-25%,拟合度平均提高13%。通过提供一种独特的基于聚类的方法,改进现有方法,本研究对智能电网管理领域做出了重大贡献,并为更精确、更有效的能源分配系统打开了大门。
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引用次数: 0
Secondary Reserve Capacity Optimisation Considering Uncertainty of Large-Scale Wind Power Under Cold Wave Conditions 寒潮条件下考虑不确定性的大规模风电二次备用容量优化
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-11 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70167
Weixin Yang, Hongshan Zhao, Shiyu Lin, Luyao Zhang

The volatility and intermittency of large-scale wind power grids are prominent under cold wave conditions. The traditional methods for determining reserve capacity are difficult to meet the requirements of grid stability. Therefore, this paper proposed a secondary reserve optimisation method for power systems with large-scale wind power considering cold waves. First, we proposed a wind power forecasting model based on XGBoost-Transformer to describe wind power output during cold waves. Second, a Security-Constrained Dynamic Economic Dispatch (SCDED) model based on robust optimisation is proposed. The model considers the impact of wind power forecast error, load fluctuation range, cold wave weather shock, N-1 thermal unit contingency and N-1 transmission line contingency. A two-stage algorithm based on Benders decomposition is employed to solve the proposed model and determine the secondary reserve capacity. Finally, a large number of experiments were carried out on the IEEE 30-bus system and a regional power grid in northern China. The results show that the Monte Carlo verification success rate of this method can reach up to 100% under cold wave conditions, which is superior to the comparison method. The research results can provide reference for improving the ability of the power grid to resist cold wave shocks.

冷潮条件下大型风电电网的波动性和间歇性突出。传统的备用容量确定方法难以满足电网稳定性的要求。因此,本文提出了一种考虑寒潮的大型风力发电电力系统二次储备优化方法。首先,我们提出了一个基于XGBoost-Transformer的风电预测模型来描述寒潮期间的风电输出。其次,提出了一种基于鲁棒优化的安全约束动态经济调度模型。该模型考虑了风电预测误差、负荷波动范围、寒潮天气冲击、N-1热电机组偶然性和N-1输电线路偶然性的影响。采用基于Benders分解的两阶段算法对模型进行求解,确定二次储备容量。最后,在IEEE 30总线系统和中国北方地区电网上进行了大量实验。结果表明,该方法在寒潮条件下蒙特卡罗验证成功率可达100%,优于对比法。研究结果可为提高电网抵御寒潮冲击的能力提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Deterministic Learning-Based Fast Detection of Sub-Synchronous Oscillations in Wind Power Grid Connection 基于确定性学习的风电并网次同步振荡快速检测
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70163
JiaJue He, Yingxiang Ma, Shuai Zhang, Tianrui Chen, Cong Wang

With the increasing integration of large-scale renewable energy sources into the power grid, the issue of sub-synchronous oscillation (SSO) has become more pronounced, posing a significant threat to the safe and stable operation of the power system. This paper proposes a new method for the early and rapid detection of SSO using deterministic learning theory. A comprehensive database of oscillation patterns is constructed by simulating a variety of conditions that can induce grid oscillations, including wind speed and control parameters. A learning estimator is then developed to identify stable and oscillation dynamics. Furthermore, a knowledge bank for SSOs detection and isolation is also established, using the minimum residual principle, oscillation patterns matching those in the knowledge bank can be detected. Then, based on an example of grid-connected sub-synchronous oscillations in wind turbines are utilized to show the effectiveness of the proposed method. The detection accuracy of SSO is calculated as 94%, and the detection time in this paper is reduced to about 0.023 s.

随着大规模可再生能源并网的不断增加,次同步振荡问题日益突出,对电力系统的安全稳定运行构成重大威胁。本文利用确定性学习理论提出了一种早期快速检测单点登录的新方法。通过模拟风速和控制参数等各种可能诱发网格振荡的条件,建立了一个全面的振荡模式数据库。然后开发了一个学习估计器来识别稳定和振荡动力学。此外,还建立了SSOs检测和隔离知识库,利用最小残差原理,检测出与知识库中振荡模式相匹配的振荡模式。最后,以风力发电机组并网次同步振动为例,验证了该方法的有效性。计算出单点登录的检测准确率为94%,将本文的检测时间缩短至0.023 s左右。
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引用次数: 0
Ultra-Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Digital Twins 基于数字孪生的超短期风电预测
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70155
Aotian Yuan, Hengrui Ma, Changhua Yang, Hui Xiao, Bo Wang, David Wenzhong Gao, Qing La

To address the issue of insufficient consideration of wind turbine physical characteristics and wind farm meteorological features in wind power forecasting, this paper proposes an ultra-short-term wind power prediction model based on digital twin technology. The model constructs a digital twin forecasting framework that integrates a digital-physical model of the wind turbine and a parallel CTransformer-BiGRU model to enhance prediction accuracy. The deep learning module captures spatiotemporal features in the data, while the digital-physical model couples the forecasting process with the actual physical conditions of the wind farm, thereby improving prediction precision. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is validated through experimental tests on a real-world dataset from a wind farm in Xinjiang, China.

针对风电功率预测中对风力机物理特性和风电场气象特性考虑不足的问题,本文提出了一种基于数字孪生技术的超短期风电功率预测模型。该模型构建了一个数字孪生预测框架,该框架将风力机的数字物理模型与CTransformer-BiGRU并联模型相结合,以提高预测精度。深度学习模块捕获数据中的时空特征,而数字物理模型将预测过程与风电场的实际物理条件相结合,从而提高了预测精度。最后,通过对中国新疆某风电场真实数据集的实验测试,验证了所提算法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
RETRACTION: Resilience-Orientated Expansion Planning of Multi-Carrier Microgrid Utilising Bi-Level Technique 缩回:利用双能级技术的多载波微电网弹性扩展规划
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70164

RETRACTION: A. Dehshiri Badi, V. Amir, and S. M. Shariatmadar, “Resilience-Orientated Expansion Planning of Multi-Carrier Microgrid Utilising Bi-Level Technique,” IET Renewable Power Generation no. 18 (2024): 1106–1128, https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.12854.

The above article, published online on 16th September 2023 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com), has been retracted by agreement between the journal editor-in-chief, David Infield; the Institution of Engineering and Technology; and John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

The retraction has been agreed to due to concerns raised by a third party regarding the presence of a paragraph with multiple irrelevant citations in this article. The authors have not responded to our requests for addressing the concern raised. Furthermore, the paragraph that contains multiple irrelevant citations is a textual reproduction from multiple other manuscripts published by different author groups. Accordingly, we cannot vouch for the integrity or reliability of the content and have taken the decision to retract the article. The authors have been informed of the decision to retract the article.

引用本文:A. Dehshiri Badi, V. Amir, S. M. Shariatmadar,“基于双能级技术的多载波微电网弹性扩展规划”,《可再生能源发电》第1期。上述文章于2023年9月16日在线发表在Wiley online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com)上,经主编David Infield同意撤回;工程技术学会;和John Wiley & Sons有限公司。由于第三方对本文中存在的一段有多个不相关引用的担忧,我们同意撤回这篇文章。作者没有回应我们提出的解决问题的要求。此外,包含多个不相关引用的段落是由不同作者小组发表的多个其他手稿的文本复制。因此,我们不能保证内容的完整性或可靠性,并已决定撤回该文章。作者已被告知撤回这篇文章的决定。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis and Impact of Data-Driven Hourly Probability Distribution Functions in Microgrids Day-Ahead Energy Management under Uncertainties: A Case Study in New South Wales, Australia 数据驱动的小时概率分布函数在不确定条件下微电网日前能源管理中的分析与影响:以澳大利亚新南威尔士州为例
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70146
Ayodele Benjamin Esan, Hussain Shareef, Ahmad K. ALAhmad, Oghenewvogaga Oghorada

Microgrids are critical for achieving smart grid objectives, enhancing reliability, resilience, and supplying under-served areas. However, day-ahead scheduling of generating resources remains challenging due to uncertainties inherent in renewable energy systems. Although stochastic optimization addresses uncertainties, conventional probability distribution functions (PDFs) used in scenario generation methods may yield sub-optimal outcomes. This study proposes an improved stochastic optimization method that selects hourly unique PDFs via best-fit criteria derived from forecasting errors. Forecasts for solar irradiance, load demand, and electricity prices were generated using an XGBoost model trained on data from the Australian Electricity Market Operator (2013–2020). Forecast errors were evaluated annually and hourly, testing various PDFs using Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) and Cramer Von-Mises (CvM) goodness-of-fit tests. Unit commitment (UC) and economic dispatch (ED) were then performed using Monte Carlo simulation, with 1000 scenarios reduced to 10 using the backward reduction method (BRM). To benchmark the proposed method, a robust optimization model with an ellipsoidal uncertainty set was implemented. Results showed that the proposed stochastic approach reduced total costs by 9%–39% compared to conventional fixed PDF selections. Compared to the optimal stochastic case, the robust approach incurred a moderate 13% cost overhead but outperformed some other traditional PDF cases. This confirms that while robust optimization offers conservative protection against uncertainty, the proposed data-driven unique PDF selection method delivers better economic performance, making it a valuable tool for microgrid operators and policymakers.

微电网对于实现智能电网目标、增强可靠性、弹性和供应服务不足地区至关重要。然而,由于可再生能源系统固有的不确定性,发电资源的日前调度仍然具有挑战性。虽然随机优化解决了不确定性,但在场景生成方法中使用的传统概率分布函数(pdf)可能会产生次优结果。本文提出了一种改进的随机优化方法,通过预测误差得出的最佳拟合标准来选择每小时唯一的pdf。使用XGBoost模型对太阳辐照度、负荷需求和电价进行预测,该模型对澳大利亚电力市场运营商(2013-2020)的数据进行了训练。预测误差每年和每小时进行评估,使用Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS)和Cramer Von-Mises (CvM)拟合优度检验测试各种pdf文件。然后使用蒙特卡罗模拟进行单元承诺(UC)和经济调度(ED),使用反向约简方法(BRM)将1000个场景减少到10个。为了验证所提出的方法,实现了一个椭球面不确定性集的鲁棒优化模型。结果表明,与传统的固定PDF选择相比,提出的随机方法可降低总成本9%-39%。与最优随机情况相比,鲁棒方法的成本开销为13%,但性能优于其他一些传统的PDF情况。这证实,虽然稳健优化提供了针对不确定性的保守保护,但所提出的数据驱动的独特PDF选择方法提供了更好的经济性能,使其成为微电网运营商和政策制定者的宝贵工具。
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引用次数: 0
RETRACTION: Energy Management of Distribution Network With Inverter-Based Renewable Virtual Power Plant Considering Voltage Security Index 论文题目:考虑电压安全指标的基于逆变器的可再生虚拟电厂配电网能量管理
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70165

RETRACTION: A. Azarhooshang and A. Rezazadeh, “Energy Management of Distribution Network With Inverter-Based Renewable Virtual Power Plant Considering Voltage Security Index,” IET Renewable Power Generation no. 18, (2024): 126–140, https://doi.org/10.1049/rpg2.12902.

The above article, published online on 17th December 2023 in Wiley Online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com), has been retracted by agreement between the journal Editor-in-Chief, David Infield; the Institution of Engineering and Technology; and John Wiley and Sons Ltd.

The retraction has been agreed due to concerns raised by a third party regarding the presence of a paragraph with multiple irrelevant citations in this article. When the authors were asked to clarify these concerns, they did not address them adequately. Furthermore, the paragraph that contains multiple irrelevant citations is a textual reproduction from multiple other manuscripts published by different author groups. Accordingly, we cannot vouch for the integrity or reliability of the content and have taken the decision to retract the article. The authors have been informed of the decision to retract the article, and they disagree with the retraction.

引用本文:A. Azarhooshang和A. Rezazadeh,“考虑电压安全指标的可再生虚拟电厂配电网能量管理”,《可再生能源发电》第1期。上述文章于2023年12月17日在线发表在Wiley online Library (wileyonlinelibrary.com)上,经主编David Infield;工程技术学会;和约翰威利父子有限公司。由于第三方对本文中存在的一段有多个不相关引用的担忧,我们同意撤回这篇文章。当作者被要求澄清这些担忧时,他们没有充分地解决这些问题。此外,包含多个不相关引用的段落是由不同作者小组发表的多个其他手稿的文本复制。因此,我们不能保证内容的完整性或可靠性,并已决定撤回该文章。作者已被告知撤稿的决定,他们不同意撤稿。
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引用次数: 0
Long-Term Comprehensive Risk Assessment of Distribution Transformers Based on Random Forests and Global Climate Models 基于随机森林和全球气候模型的配电变压器长期综合风险评估
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70143
Jie Chen, Wanxing Sheng, Lingyun Gu, Ge Zheng, Yan Wu, Shilei Guan

With the increasing integration of distributed photovoltaics (PV), the risk profile of distribution transformers is becoming increasingly intertwined with meteorological factors. Meanwhile, global climate change has led to a rise in extreme weather events and greater interannual variability in meteorological conditions. As a result, traditional risk assessment methods, based on historical data, struggle to accurately predict future risks. To address this, this study proposes a long-term comprehensive risk assessment method for distribution transformers based on forecasted meteorological data. Firstly, the insulation aging risk of transformers is introduced, with the insulation aging process quantified through the transformer's insulation lifetime. Secondly, a random forest model is employed to enhance the temporal resolution of global climate models predictions. Using these forecasted meteorological data, the load factor of distribution transformers is predicted, generating potential operational scenes for these transformers. On this basis, a comprehensive risk assessment of distribution transformers is carried out by considering insulation lifetime loss, load loss due to transformer outage, and photovoltaic curtailment loss, employing a typical day method for risk evaluation. Finally, a case study of a distribution transformer in Shanghai is conducted to validate the superiority of risk assessment using forecasted data. The study also analyses the impact of PV integration on the overall risk of distribution transformers.

随着分布式光伏发电的日益普及,配电变压器的风险与气象因素的关系日益密切。与此同时,全球气候变化导致极端天气事件增加,气象条件年际变化更大。因此,传统的基于历史数据的风险评估方法难以准确预测未来的风险。针对这一问题,本文提出了一种基于气象预报数据的配电变压器长期综合风险评估方法。首先介绍了变压器的绝缘老化风险,并通过变压器的绝缘寿命来量化绝缘老化过程。其次,采用随机森林模型提高全球气候模式预测的时间分辨率。利用这些气象预报数据,预测配电变压器的负荷系数,生成配电变压器的潜在运行场景。在此基础上,综合考虑绝缘寿命损耗、变压器停电负荷损耗、光伏弃电损耗,采用典型日法进行风险评估,对配电变压器进行综合风险评估。最后,以上海某配电变压器为例,验证了利用预测数据进行风险评估的优越性。研究还分析了光伏并网对配电变压器整体风险的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A Novel Meta-Learning-Based Reinforcement Controller for Voltage Regulation of an Interleaved Boost Converter in Solar Photovoltaic Systems 一种基于元学习的太阳能光伏系统交错升压变换器电压调节强化控制器
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-21 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70156
Wedige Manuj Pamod De Silva, Tharuma Nathan Hari Krishnan, Patrick W. C. Ho, Charles R. Sarimuthu

The increasing integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems into modern power grids highlights the need for advanced control strategies that ensure reliable voltage regulation under variable operating conditions. PV output is highly sensitive to irradiance and temperature fluctuations, which can degrade power quality and compromise grid stability. Conventional reinforcement learning-based controllers, such as deep deterministic policy gradient (DDPG), have shown promise, but their reliance on fixed hyperparameters limits adaptability, leading to performance deterioration during rapid solar variations. This paper proposes a novel adaptive meta-learning-based DDPG (AM-DDPG) controller implemented with a three-leg interleaved DC–DC boost converter for PV voltage regulation. The proposed controller employs a meta-learning mechanism to dynamically adjust key hyperparameters, including learning rate, stability factor, and noise scale, thereby improving responsiveness and adaptability. MATLAB simulations compare AM-DDPG with standard DDPG under slow, fast, and highly variable irradiance and temperature profiles. Results demonstrate that AM-DDPG achieves voltage stabilization within 10 ms, maintains a 566 V output with less than 0.1% deviation, and significantly suppresses voltage ripples. By enhancing dynamic performance and robustness, the proposed approach supports higher PV penetration and improves conversion efficiency. It also strengthens grid integration of renewable energy, contributing to sustainable and resilient low-carbon power systems.

太阳能光伏(PV)系统越来越多地集成到现代电网中,这凸显了对先进控制策略的需求,以确保在可变运行条件下可靠的电压调节。光伏输出对辐照度和温度波动高度敏感,这可能会降低电能质量,损害电网稳定性。传统的基于强化学习的控制器,如深度确定性策略梯度(DDPG),已经显示出前景,但它们对固定超参数的依赖限制了适应性,导致在太阳快速变化时性能下降。本文提出了一种新的基于元学习的自适应DDPG (AM-DDPG)控制器,该控制器采用三腿交错DC-DC升压变换器实现PV电压调节。该控制器采用元学习机制动态调整关键超参数,包括学习率、稳定因子和噪声尺度,从而提高响应性和适应性。MATLAB仿真比较了AM-DDPG和标准DDPG在慢速、快速和高度可变的辐照度和温度曲线下的性能。结果表明,AM-DDPG在10 ms内实现了电压稳定,保持566 V输出,偏差小于0.1%,并显著抑制了电压波动。通过增强动态性能和鲁棒性,该方法支持更高的光伏渗透率并提高转换效率。它还加强了可再生能源的电网整合,为可持续和有弹性的低碳电力系统做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Transient Overvoltage Characteristics and Mapping Relationships of Photovoltaic/PMSG Under Electromagnetic/Electromechanical Models 电磁/机电模型下光伏/PMSG暂态过电压特性及映射关系研究
IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2025-11-19 DOI: 10.1049/rpg2.70160
Shiyun Xu, Shiqi Liu, Shuyan Wang, Jingtian Bi, Tiankai Lan

As the ‘dual carbon’ goals continue to advance in China, the grid-connected scale of new energy power generation equipment such as wind power and photovoltaic power is constantly increasing. Transient overvoltage issues caused by fault disturbances are becoming increasingly frequent, significantly increasing the risk of cascading grid disconnection and equipment damage. Therefore, rapid and accurate assessment of transient overvoltage in new energy systems is of critical importance. This paper first analyses the characteristics of transient overvoltage in new energy sources under both electromagnetic and electromechanical transient models, comparing the trends in key electrical parameters under the two types of models. Then, to combine the advantages of high accuracy in electromagnetic transient models and high speed in electromechanical transient models, this paper uses the Morris global sensitivity analysis method to identify the key influencing factors of transient overvoltage peaks. Subsequently, the QR decomposition-based least squares method is employed to study the mapping relationship between overvoltage peaks in electromagnetic and electromechanical models. Finally, simulation verification confirms the accuracy of the mapping relationship. This method provides important references for system operation and maintenance, and also offers directions for further optimising system performance.

随着中国“双碳”目标的不断推进,风电、光伏等新能源发电设备并网规模不断增加。故障扰动引起的瞬态过电压问题日益频繁,大大增加了级联断网和设备损坏的风险。因此,快速准确地评估新能源系统的暂态过电压至关重要。本文首先分析了新能源在电磁和机电两种暂态模型下的暂态过电压特性,比较了两种模型下关键电气参数的变化趋势。然后,结合电磁暂态模型精度高和机电暂态模型速度快的优点,采用Morris全局灵敏度分析方法识别暂态过电压峰值的关键影响因素。随后,采用基于QR分解的最小二乘法研究了电磁模型和机电模型中过电压峰值之间的映射关系。最后通过仿真验证,验证了映射关系的准确性。该方法为系统运维提供了重要参考,也为进一步优化系统性能提供了方向。
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引用次数: 0
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