了解疫苗犹豫不决导致的流行病振荡。

IF 2.6 4区 工程技术 Q1 Mathematics Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering Pub Date : 2024-08-09 DOI:10.3934/mbe.2024299
Anthony Morciglio, R K P Zia, James M Hyman, Yi Jiang
{"title":"了解疫苗犹豫不决导致的流行病振荡。","authors":"Anthony Morciglio, R K P Zia, James M Hyman, Yi Jiang","doi":"10.3934/mbe.2024299","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Vaccine hesitancy threatens to reverse the progress in tackling vaccine-preventable diseases. We used an $ SIS $ model with a game theory model for vaccination and parameters from the COVID-19 pandemic to study how vaccine hesitancy impacts epidemic dynamics. The system showed three asymptotic behaviors: total rejection of vaccinations, complete acceptance, and oscillations. With increasing fear of infection, stable endemic states become periodic oscillations. Our results suggest that managing fear of infection relative to vaccination is vital to successful mass vaccinations.</p>","PeriodicalId":49870,"journal":{"name":"Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering","volume":"21 8","pages":"6829-6846"},"PeriodicalIF":2.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-08-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Understanding the oscillations of an epidemic due to vaccine hesitancy.\",\"authors\":\"Anthony Morciglio, R K P Zia, James M Hyman, Yi Jiang\",\"doi\":\"10.3934/mbe.2024299\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>Vaccine hesitancy threatens to reverse the progress in tackling vaccine-preventable diseases. We used an $ SIS $ model with a game theory model for vaccination and parameters from the COVID-19 pandemic to study how vaccine hesitancy impacts epidemic dynamics. The system showed three asymptotic behaviors: total rejection of vaccinations, complete acceptance, and oscillations. With increasing fear of infection, stable endemic states become periodic oscillations. Our results suggest that managing fear of infection relative to vaccination is vital to successful mass vaccinations.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49870,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering\",\"volume\":\"21 8\",\"pages\":\"6829-6846\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-08-09\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2024299\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"Mathematics\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2024299","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"Mathematics","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

疫苗犹豫不决有可能逆转在应对疫苗可预防疾病方面取得的进展。我们使用了一个带有疫苗接种博弈论模型和 COVID-19 大流行病参数的 SIS 模型,来研究疫苗犹豫对流行病动态的影响。该系统表现出三种渐进行为:完全拒绝接受疫苗、完全接受和振荡。随着对感染恐惧的增加,稳定的流行状态变成了周期性振荡。我们的研究结果表明,管理相对于疫苗接种的感染恐惧对于成功的大规模疫苗接种至关重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Understanding the oscillations of an epidemic due to vaccine hesitancy.

Vaccine hesitancy threatens to reverse the progress in tackling vaccine-preventable diseases. We used an $ SIS $ model with a game theory model for vaccination and parameters from the COVID-19 pandemic to study how vaccine hesitancy impacts epidemic dynamics. The system showed three asymptotic behaviors: total rejection of vaccinations, complete acceptance, and oscillations. With increasing fear of infection, stable endemic states become periodic oscillations. Our results suggest that managing fear of infection relative to vaccination is vital to successful mass vaccinations.

求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 工程技术-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
3.90
自引率
7.70%
发文量
586
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍: Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering (MBE) is an interdisciplinary Open Access journal promoting cutting-edge research, technology transfer and knowledge translation about complex data and information processing. MBE publishes Research articles (long and original research); Communications (short and novel research); Expository papers; Technology Transfer and Knowledge Translation reports (description of new technologies and products); Announcements and Industrial Progress and News (announcements and even advertisement, including major conferences).
期刊最新文献
Multiscale modelling of hepatitis B virus at cell level of organization. Global sensitivity analysis and uncertainty quantification for a mathematical model of dry anaerobic digestion in plug-flow reactors. Depression-induced changes in directed functional brain networks: A source-space resting-state EEG study. Mathematical modeling of infectious diseases and the impact of vaccination strategies. Retraction notice to "A novel architecture design for artificial intelligence-assisted culture conservation management system" [Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering 20(6) (2023) 9693-9711].
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1