如何认识和衡量阶段性城市化对生态环境质量的影响?中国 19 个城市群的实证案例研究

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-11-02 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123845
Anmeng Sha , Jianjun Zhang , Yujie Pan , Shouguo Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

快速城市化给全球大多数大城市的生态环境质量(EEQ)带来了巨大压力,但生态环境质量如何准确应对阶段性城市化仍不清楚。本研究通过对中国 19 个城市群的生态环境质量和城市化水平进行量化,并利用多种遥感和社会经济数据,试图阐明生态环境质量与城市发展阶段之间的关系。通过各城市化阶段 EEQ 变化趋势的差异,分析了导致不同响应模式的原因。结论如下1) 随着城市化水平提高 207%,总体 EEQ 略有波动,但在城市化水平较高的地区,EEQ 明显下降。2) 在微观尺度上发现 EEQ 与城市化呈负相关(PMMCC = -0.25),在宏观尺度上提出了 EEQ 随城市化水平提高 "上升-下降-恢复 "的响应模式。3)城市化前后的生态改善主导了城市群 EEQ 从下降到恢复的转变。该研究有助于理解城市化发展过程中 EEQ 的演化规律,为城市可持续发展政策的制定提供理论依据。
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How to recognize and measure the impact of phasing urbanization on eco-environment quality: An empirical case study of 19 urban agglomerations in China
Rapid urbanization has exerted substantial pressure on eco-environmental quality (EEQ) in most big cities worldwide, yet the precise manner in which EEQ responds to phasing urbanization remains unclear. This study endeavors to illuminate the relationship between EEQ and the stages of urban development by quantifying EEQ and urbanization levels across 19 urban agglomerations in China, leveraging the insights garnered from multiple remote sensing and social-economic data. The reasons leading to different response patterns were analyzed through the differences in the trends of EEQ at each urbanization stage. The conclusions are as follows. 1) With a 207 % increase in the urbanization level, the overall EEQ fluctuated slightly, but it decreased significantly in areas with a high urbanization level. 2) EEQ was found to be negatively correlated with urbanization at the microscopic scale (PMMCC = −0.25), and the response pattern of “rise - fall - recovery” of EEQ with increasing urbanization levels was proposed at the macroscopic scale. 3) Ecological improvement of pre- and post-urbanized areas dominate the shift of urban agglomerations EEQ from fall to recovery. This study can help to understand the evolutionary pattern of EEQ in urbanization development and provide a theoretical basis for the formulation of sustainable urban development policies.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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