{"title":"通过对抗策略预测轴承在不同条件下剩余使用寿命的两阶段新方法","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ress.2024.110602","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>It is critical to accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings to avoid severe accidents and financial losses in the industry. Nevertheless, accurately determining the initial prediction time (IPT) continues to pose a challenge, and significant differences in the data distribution of bearings under different operating conditions are frequently overlooked. To deal with these problems, we propose a novel two-stage method based on the adversarial strategy for RUL prediction of bearings under variable conditions. Firstly, we create reliable health indicators in an unsupervised manner by recording the coded characteristics of the bearing’s state of health. Secondly, an adaptive threshold method based on rate-of-change (ATMROC) is developed to perform accurate health state classification. Finally, we propose a RUL prediction network based on the attention depth-gated recurrent unit with domain invariance (DIADGRU) to handle the inconsistent distribution of degradation features under different operating conditions. Experiments of RUL prediction on PHM2012 and XITU-SY datasets are implemented, and the promising results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54500,"journal":{"name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":9.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A novel two-stage method via adversarial strategy for remaining useful life prediction of bearings under variable conditions\",\"authors\":\"\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.ress.2024.110602\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>It is critical to accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings to avoid severe accidents and financial losses in the industry. Nevertheless, accurately determining the initial prediction time (IPT) continues to pose a challenge, and significant differences in the data distribution of bearings under different operating conditions are frequently overlooked. To deal with these problems, we propose a novel two-stage method based on the adversarial strategy for RUL prediction of bearings under variable conditions. Firstly, we create reliable health indicators in an unsupervised manner by recording the coded characteristics of the bearing’s state of health. Secondly, an adaptive threshold method based on rate-of-change (ATMROC) is developed to perform accurate health state classification. Finally, we propose a RUL prediction network based on the attention depth-gated recurrent unit with domain invariance (DIADGRU) to handle the inconsistent distribution of degradation features under different operating conditions. Experiments of RUL prediction on PHM2012 and XITU-SY datasets are implemented, and the promising results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":54500,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Reliability Engineering & System Safety\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":9.4000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Reliability Engineering & System Safety\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024006732\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832024006732","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, INDUSTRIAL","Score":null,"Total":0}
A novel two-stage method via adversarial strategy for remaining useful life prediction of bearings under variable conditions
It is critical to accurately predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings to avoid severe accidents and financial losses in the industry. Nevertheless, accurately determining the initial prediction time (IPT) continues to pose a challenge, and significant differences in the data distribution of bearings under different operating conditions are frequently overlooked. To deal with these problems, we propose a novel two-stage method based on the adversarial strategy for RUL prediction of bearings under variable conditions. Firstly, we create reliable health indicators in an unsupervised manner by recording the coded characteristics of the bearing’s state of health. Secondly, an adaptive threshold method based on rate-of-change (ATMROC) is developed to perform accurate health state classification. Finally, we propose a RUL prediction network based on the attention depth-gated recurrent unit with domain invariance (DIADGRU) to handle the inconsistent distribution of degradation features under different operating conditions. Experiments of RUL prediction on PHM2012 and XITU-SY datasets are implemented, and the promising results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method.
期刊介绍:
Elsevier publishes Reliability Engineering & System Safety in association with the European Safety and Reliability Association and the Safety Engineering and Risk Analysis Division. The international journal is devoted to developing and applying methods to enhance the safety and reliability of complex technological systems, like nuclear power plants, chemical plants, hazardous waste facilities, space systems, offshore and maritime systems, transportation systems, constructed infrastructure, and manufacturing plants. The journal normally publishes only articles that involve the analysis of substantive problems related to the reliability of complex systems or present techniques and/or theoretical results that have a discernable relationship to the solution of such problems. An important aim is to balance academic material and practical applications.