观察能源生产碳排放与经济条件之间的相互作用,可以考虑发电量、强度和一天中的时间。

IF 5.8 3区 环境科学与生态学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environmental Science and Pollution Research Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI:10.1007/s11356-024-35422-z
Xingrui Zhang, Shuai Xu, Yunpeng Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

管理地区发电的碳排放需要解决许多细微的关系。然而,目前有关能源与经济关系的研究仅利用季度和年度数据,关注长期关系,却忽视了时间关系。本研究以得克萨斯州为背景,利用 2007 年至 2020 年间每 15 分钟的数据,得出生命周期排放量、排放因子和能源产生量的月度时间序列。研究还将每天划分为三个部分(0:00-8:00、8:00-16:00 和 16:00-24:00),以便将精度降低到小时级别。脉冲响应分析表明:(1) 就业状况通过影响发电量来影响排放量,而人口状况(由房产价格反映的人口数量)往往通过影响电力的碳强度来影响排放量;(2) 0:00-8:00 期间产生的排放量与其他时间段产生的排放量相比,对地区经济状况波动的反应不同,其影响来自发电量波动或排放因素冲击。研究结果的更广泛意义在于强调特定时间段的分析,并同时考虑能源生产和排放因素,从而优化政策实施结果。
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Observing the interaction between energy generation carbon emissions and economic conditions could consider generation, intensity, and times of the day.

Management of carbon emissions of regional electricity generation involves resolving much nuanced relationships. However, current studies pertaining to the relationship between energy and the economy utilize only quarterly and annual data and focus on the long-run relationship but are oblivious to temporal associations. This study takes the context of the State of Texas and utilizes per 15 min of data between 2007 and 2020 to derive the monthly time series of life-cycle emissions, emissions factor, and energy generation. The study also divides each day into three portions (0:00-8:00, 8:00-16:00, and 16:00-24:00) in order to descend precision down to the hourly level. Impulse-response analysis indicates that (1) employment conditions impact emissions by affecting the amount of electric energy generated, while demographic (population as reflected by property price) tends to impact emissions by affecting the carbon intensity of electricity, and (2) the emissions produced during 0:00-8:00 display different reaction to fluctuation of regional economic conditions compared to emissions produced during other periods, the effect emanates from either energy generation fluctuation or emissions factor shocks. The broader implication of the findings lies in an emphasis on time-interval-specific analysis and concurrent consideration of both energy generation and emissions factors that can lead to optimized policy implementation results.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
17.20%
发文量
6549
审稿时长
3.8 months
期刊介绍: Environmental Science and Pollution Research (ESPR) serves the international community in all areas of Environmental Science and related subjects with emphasis on chemical compounds. This includes: - Terrestrial Biology and Ecology - Aquatic Biology and Ecology - Atmospheric Chemistry - Environmental Microbiology/Biobased Energy Sources - Phytoremediation and Ecosystem Restoration - Environmental Analyses and Monitoring - Assessment of Risks and Interactions of Pollutants in the Environment - Conservation Biology and Sustainable Agriculture - Impact of Chemicals/Pollutants on Human and Animal Health It reports from a broad interdisciplinary outlook.
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