Cardiometabolic characteristics of weight cycling: results from a mid-South regional comprehensive health care system

Objective

The objective of this study was to determine the unique clinical and cardiometabolic risk characteristics of weight-cyclers and identify differences between weight-cyclers and individuals with other weight-change trajectories.

Methods

A deidentified database of 1,428,204 Vanderbilt University Medical Center patients from 1997 to 2020 was included based on having ≥5 years of recorded weights. Patients with a history of malignant neoplasm, bariatric surgery, implausible BMI (e.g., <15 or >80 kg/m²), or missing documented height were excluded, yielding 83,261 participants categorized by weight trajectory, i.e., weight-stable, weight-gainer, weight-loser, or weight-cycler, based on criteria of ≥5% weight-change thresholds. Additionally, quartiles of average successive weight variability were evaluated to determine the effect of absolute differences among successive weight values.

Results

Over half (55%) of participants were weight-cyclers, 23% were weight-gainers, 12% were weight-losers, and 10% were weight-stable over 5 years. Although baseline BMI did not differ among groups, weight-cyclers were more likely to have lower high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and higher blood glucose and triglyceride levels and to have been prescribed antihypertensive, dyslipidemia, and/or antidiabetic therapies. They were also younger and more likely to be smokers. Participants with the greatest weight variability (i.e., highest quartile of average successive weight variability) had higher cardiometabolic risk scores.

Conclusions

Weight cycling was highly prevalent but yielded no meaningful overall change in body weight after 5 years. These findings support a paradigm shift in weight management in individuals with overweight/obesity toward reducing cardiometabolic risk with or without weight loss.