2021-2023 年监测 71 个国家的多波 Omicron 变异疫情状况。

IF 4.3 Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH 中国疾病预防控制中心周报 Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI:10.46234/ccdcw2024.218
Chuanqing Xu, Lianjiao Dai, Songbai Guo, Xiaoyu Zhao, Xiaoling Liu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本专题的已知信息:分析严重急性呼吸系统综合征病毒 2 Omicron 变体及其亚变体出现后的流行病发展特点,以及收入水平不平等对冠状病毒病 2019(COVID-19)病死率的影响,有助于更好地了解新型冠状病毒感染的传播情况:第一波和第二波奥米克隆亚变异株之间的时间间隔中位数为70天(四分位数间距:43.75-91),第二波和第三波之间的时间间隔中位数为87.5天(四分位数间距:49-119),服从对数正态分布。第一波的病死率明显高于第二波和第三波。在流行初期,第一波病死率没有明显的地域差异,而高收入国家的病死率明显低于其他收入国家:我们仍然需要关注 COVID-19 的流行,因为在 Omicron 流行的早期阶段,收入水平的不平等会对病死率产生影响。在大多数国家,病毒株很可能在 2-4 个月后从低流行率转变为高流行率。
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Monitoring the Status of Multi-Wave Omicron Variant Outbreaks - 71 Countries, 2021-2023.

What is already known about this topic?: Analyzing the characteristics of epidemic development after the emergence of the severe acute respiratory syndrome virus 2 Omicron variants with its subvariants and the impact of income level inequalities on the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case-fatality ratio helps to better understand the spread of novel coronavirus infections.

What is added by this report?: The median time interval between the first and second waves of Omicron sub-variants was 70 days (interquartile spacing: 43.75-91), and between the second and third waves was 87.5 days (interquartile spacing: 49-119), which obeyed a lognormal distribution. The case-fatality ratio of the first wave was significantly higher than that of the second and third waves. During the initial epidemic period, there was no significant geographic differences in the case-fatality ratio of the first wave, while the case-fatality ratio in countries with high income levels was significantly lower than in countries with other income levels.

What are the implications for public health practice?: We still need to pay attention to the COVID-19 pandemic, as inequalities in income levels have an impact on the case-fatality ratio during the early stages of Omicron epidemics. In most countries, strains of the virus are likely to move from low to high population prevalence after 2-4 months.

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