基于区域大气成分再分析数据集的 2016-2020 年夏季中国上空臭氧变率及相关天气模式的影响

IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Atmospheric Environment Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120919
Xingxia Kou , Zhen Peng , Yi Gao , Xiao Han , Meigen Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

臭氧(O3)污染不仅取决于排放量,还与当时的气象条件密切相关,是中国的一个主要问题。在中国 "十三五 "期间实施排放控制的背景下,研究了 2016-2020 年期间同步环流的变化以及与之相关的夏季臭氧变化。与以往研究中常用的观测和数值模式不同,本研究采用了空间(45 千米)和时间(1 小时)分辨率更高的区域大气成分再分析数据集,其中 O3 及其主要前体物、排放和气象被联合同化,以减少不确定性的影响。利用这一连续和优化的数据集,通过一种客观的环流分类方法,探讨了 2016-2020 年期间中国上空区域性同步变化对 O3 年际变化的影响。一方面,从臭氧变率的角度看,臭氧浓度呈上升趋势。与夏季污染较轻的长江三角洲、珠江三角洲和四川盆地相比,京津冀和汾渭平原地区的夏季臭氧污染更为严重,超过 3 级的天数频率趋于 50%左右。另一方面,从气象条件驱动的 O3 变率来看,同步环流模式出现了明显的年际变化,在京津冀和汾渭平原,约一半的 C 型发生伴随着 O3 污染事件(即 52.73% 和 45.65%),而在长三角和珠三角,伴随 C 型的污染事件要少得多(即 2.78% 和 0.59%)。此外,根据气象贡献的定量评估,同步环流的年际变化对改变 BTH、YRD、PRD、FWP 和 SCB 的 O3 变率的贡献达 13%-31%。因此,2016-2020年中国上空O3的年际变化与O3前体物的规定密切相关。这项工作有助于了解中国上空 O3 在排放法规和气象条件影响下的变化。
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Ozone variability and the impacts of associated synoptic patterns over China during summer 2016–2020 based on a regional atmospheric composition reanalysis dataset
Ozone (O3) pollution, which not only depends on emissions but is also closely related to prevailing meteorological conditions, is a major concern in China. In the context of China's emission controls imposed during the 13th Five-Year Plan, the variations of synoptic circulations and associated summertime O3 variations were investigated during 2016–2020. Different from the common use in previous studies of observations and numerical models, a regional atmospheric composition reanalysis dataset at a refined spatial (45 km) and temporal (1 h) resolution was applied here, in which O3 and its major precursors, emissions, and meteorology were jointly assimilated to reduce the impacts of uncertainty. With this continuous and optimal dataset, the impacts of regional synoptic variations on O3 interannual variability were explored through an objective circulation classification approach during 2016–2020 over China. On the one hand, from the perspective of O3 variability, increasing trends of O3 levels were detected. Compared to the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), Pearl River Delta (PRD), and Sichuan Basin (SCB) with less summer pollution, the Beijing–Tianjin–Hebei (BTH) and Fenwei Plain (FWP) regions had more severe summer O3 pollution with the frequency of days exceeding Grade 3 tends to be around 50%. On the other hand, from the perspective of O3 variability driven by meteorological conditions, obvious interannual variations of synoptic circulation patterns occurred, and about half of type C occurrences were accompanied by O3 pollution episodes in BTH and FWP (i.e., 52.73% and 45.65%), while far fewer pollution episodes occurred with type C in YRD and PRD (i.e., 2.78% and 0.59%). In addition, according to the quantitative assessment of the meteorological contribution, the contribution of interannual variations of synoptic circulations to changing the O3 variability amounted to 13%–31% in BTH, YRD, PRD, FWP, and SCB. Therefore, the interannual variability of O3 from 2016 to 2020 over China was closely linked with the regulations of O3 precursors. This work provides an understanding of O3 variation under the impacts of emission regulations and meteorological conditions over China.
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来源期刊
Atmospheric Environment
Atmospheric Environment 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
8.00%
发文量
458
审稿时长
53 days
期刊介绍: Atmospheric Environment has an open access mirror journal Atmospheric Environment: X, sharing the same aims and scope, editorial team, submission system and rigorous peer review. Atmospheric Environment is the international journal for scientists in different disciplines related to atmospheric composition and its impacts. The journal publishes scientific articles with atmospheric relevance of emissions and depositions of gaseous and particulate compounds, chemical processes and physical effects in the atmosphere, as well as impacts of the changing atmospheric composition on human health, air quality, climate change, and ecosystems.
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