改造后的 CCS 技术可提高经济性、安全性和公平性,实现电力行业的零碳排放

IF 10.1 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Applied Energy Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI:10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124803
Wenlong Zhou , Wenrong Fan , Rujia Lan , Wenlong Su , Jing-Li Fan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

利用碳捕集与封存(CCS)技术改造现有化石燃料发电厂可以减少碳排放,同时避免搁浅资产,这对于促进全球电力行业的公正转型非常重要。尽管一些研究探讨了改造后的 CCS 技术的成本效益和减排潜力,但考虑到多种技术类型,对全链改造后的 CCS 技术进行详细的系统建模还需要进一步研究。在此,我们建立了一个小时分辨率的跨时空动态电力系统优化模型,详细考虑了燃煤电厂和燃气电厂的三种改造CCS技术,以及11种发电技术和两种储能技术,并应用该模型评估了改造CCS技术在实现中国电力行业碳中和中的作用。结果表明,与没有改造CCS的电力系统相比,改造CCS的高度发展可使中国电力行业未来的装机容量和发电需求分别减少605GW或10.5%(2040年)和0.17PWh或0.9%(2060年)。到 2060 年,由于新建电厂相关成本的节省和潜在电力短缺的减少,系统脱碳成本和电力供应成本将分别累计下降 6.2-8.2% 和 2.1-2.6%,此外还可避免大型燃煤发电搁浅资产。所开发的模型可为其他国家提供参考,在中国,或许在其他以煤电为主的经济体,应加强提倡发展改造型 CCS 的政策。
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Retrofitted CCS technologies enhance economy, security, and equity in achieving carbon zero in power sector
Retrofitting existing fossil fuel power plants with carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology could reduce carbon emissions while avoiding stranded asset, which will be important in facilitating a just transition of the global power sector. Although some studies have explored the cost-effectiveness and abatement potential of retrofitted CCS technologies, elaborate system modeling of full-chain retrofitted CCS technologies considering multiple technology types requires further research. Here, we developed an hourly-resolution intertemporal dynamic power system optimization model that elaborately considers three retrofitted CCS technologies for coal-fired and gas-fired power plant in addition to eleven power generation technologies and two energy storage technologies and applied it to evaluate the role of retrofitted CCS technologies in achieving carbon neutrality in China's power sector. The results show that, compared with no retrofitted CCS power system, the high development of retrofitted CCS can reduce the future installed capacity and power generation demand of China's power sector by up to 605GW or 10.5 % (in 2040) and 0.17 PWh or 0.9 % (in 2060), respectively. The cumulative system decarbonization costs and electricity supply costs will decrease 6.2–8.2 % and 2.1–2.6 % by 2060, respectively, due to the savings in related costs of newly built plants and reduction in potential power shortages, in addition to avoidance of large coal-fired power stranded assets. The developed model could be a reference for other countries, and in China and perhaps in other economies with coal-dominant power systems, policies advocating the development of retrofitted CCS should be strengthened.
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来源期刊
Applied Energy
Applied Energy 工程技术-工程:化工
CiteScore
21.20
自引率
10.70%
发文量
1830
审稿时长
41 days
期刊介绍: Applied Energy serves as a platform for sharing innovations, research, development, and demonstrations in energy conversion, conservation, and sustainable energy systems. The journal covers topics such as optimal energy resource use, environmental pollutant mitigation, and energy process analysis. It welcomes original papers, review articles, technical notes, and letters to the editor. Authors are encouraged to submit manuscripts that bridge the gap between research, development, and implementation. The journal addresses a wide spectrum of topics, including fossil and renewable energy technologies, energy economics, and environmental impacts. Applied Energy also explores modeling and forecasting, conservation strategies, and the social and economic implications of energy policies, including climate change mitigation. It is complemented by the open-access journal Advances in Applied Energy.
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