通过深度学习时空建模预测全球碳浓度。

IF 8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Journal of Environmental Management Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI:10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122922
Marc Semper, Manuel Curado, Jose F Vicent
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引用次数: 0

摘要

鉴于全球减缓气候变化的紧迫性,一项关键行动是制定有效的降低碳浓度政策。为此,一个影响因素是对碳浓度趋势的准确预测。现有的时空相关性以及影响因素的多样性为准确模拟这些趋势带来了重要挑战。本研究提出了基于深度学习的不同策略,旨在预测全球二氧化碳和甲烷的浓度。为此,我们使用卫星观测数据进行为期 6 个月的预测,覆盖全球各个地理区域。此外,还整合了补充环境变量,以提高拟议模型的预测能力。结果表明,预测的准确性很高,尤其是基于图形神经网络的模型,再次证明了深度学习技术在预测二氧化碳和甲烷浓度方面的巨大潜力。同样,通过纳入动态和静态信息,基于深度学习的模型在准确预测碳浓度方面的有效性也得到了证明。
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Global forecasting of carbon concentration through a deep learning spatiotemporal modeling.

Given the global urgency to mitigate climate change, a key action is the development of effective carbon concentration reduction policies. To this end, an influential factor is the availability of accurate predictions of carbon concentration trends. The existing spatiotemporal correlation as well as the diversity of influential factors, pose important challenges in accurately modeling these trends. In this work, different strategies based on deep learning are proposed with the aim of predicting global carbon dioxide and methane concentrations. For this purpose, satellite observations are used for six-month projections, covering geographical regions that span the globe. In addition, complementary environmental variables are integrated to improve the predictive capacity of the proposed models. The results obtained demonstrate the high accuracy of the predictions, in particular of models based on graphical neural networks, reaffirming the great potential of deep learning techniques in predicting carbon dioxide and methane concentrations. Likewise, the effectiveness of models based on deep learning to accurately predict carbon concentrations by incorporating dynamic and static information is demonstrated.

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来源期刊
Journal of Environmental Management
Journal of Environmental Management 环境科学-环境科学
CiteScore
13.70
自引率
5.70%
发文量
2477
审稿时长
84 days
期刊介绍: The Journal of Environmental Management is a journal for the publication of peer reviewed, original research for all aspects of management and the managed use of the environment, both natural and man-made.Critical review articles are also welcome; submission of these is strongly encouraged.
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