使用比较风险评估方法计算 2015 至 2021 年泰国人因酒精导致的死亡人数。

IF 3 Q2 SUBSTANCE ABUSE Alcohol (Hanover, York County, Pa.) Pub Date : 2024-11-14 DOI:10.1111/acer.15489
Jiraluck Nontarak, Jürgen Rehm, Pol Rovira, Sawitri Assanangkornchai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

背景:酒精导致的死亡率是监测酒精消费对健康影响的一项重要健康指标。本研究旨在估算 2015-2021 年期间泰国 15 岁及以上人口中每年因酒精致死的人数和比率:死亡率数据来自基于 ICD-10 的国家死亡登记。我们在全球疾病负担研究的总体框架内使用了酒精比较风险评估的标准方法,并使用了根据暴露得出的酒精致死率以及与终生禁酒者相比的相对风险作为反事实。采用年龄标准化方法调整死亡率,死亡率按病因、年龄组和性别计算:据估计,每年因酒精导致的死亡人数为 20039 人(男性:17726 人[占泰国人口年死亡总数的 6.50%],女性:2312 人[1.11%])。从 2015 年到 2019 年,年龄标准化酒精致死率从每 10 万人 33.8 例持续上升到 37.5 例,2020 年和 2021 年分别略微下降到 34.5 例和 35.3 例。饮酒导致的三大主要死因是道路伤害、肝硬化和其他肝病以及其他意外伤害:结论:酒精仍然是泰国人可预防的重要死因。2015 年至 2019 年,酒精导致的死亡率有所上升,但 2020 年和 2021 年有所下降,这可能是冠状病毒大流行和封锁措施所致。应采取适合当地文化、具有成本效益的干预措施来控制饮酒,特别是在经常因外部原因受伤且死亡率较高的年轻人中。
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Alcohol-attributable deaths in Thai people from 2015 to 2021 using the comparative risk assessment approach.

Background: The alcohol-attributable mortality rate is an important health indicator for surveillance of health-related impacts of alcohol consumption. This study aimed to estimate the annual number and rate of alcohol-attributable deaths among the Thai population aged 15 years and over during 2015-2021.

Methods: Mortality data were drawn from the National Death Registry based on ICD-10. We used the standard methodology of comparative risk assessments for alcohol within the general framework of the Global Burden of Disease Studies and used alcohol-attributable fractions, derived from exposure, and relative risk compared to lifetime abstainers as the counterfactual. Age-standardization was used to adjust mortality rates which were calculated by cause, age group, and sex.

Results: The estimated annual number of alcohol-attributable deaths was 20,039 (men: 17,726 [6.50% of total annual deaths of the Thai population] and women: 2312 [1.11%]). The age-standardized alcohol-attributable mortality rates continuously increased from 33.8 to 37.5 deaths per 100,000 population from 2015 to 2019 and slightly decreased to 34.5 and 35.3 in 2020 and 2021, respectively. The three leading causes of death attributed to alcohol consumption were road injuries, cirrhosis and other liver diseases, and other unintentional injuries.

Conclusion: Alcohol remains an important preventable cause of death among Thais. The alcohol-attributable mortality rate increased from 2015 to 2019 but declined in 2020 and 2021, possibly due to the coronavirus pandemic and lockdown measures. Culturally appropriate, cost-effective interventions should be used to control alcohol accessibility, particularly among young people who frequently sustain injuries from external causes and have high mortality rates.

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