{"title":"影响血管肉瘤患者预后的风险因素分析:一项回顾性研究。","authors":"Yezhou Li, Leilei Tian, Dajun Sun","doi":"10.62347/SOUY1346","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study aimed to identify prognostic factors influencing the survival of angiosarcoma patients and to explore the relationship between peripheral blood indicators and patient prognosis. A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data collected from 105 angiosarcoma patients treated at China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University from January 2004 to April 2019, with an additional 50 patients included as external validation cohort. The median survival time for the study cohort was 1395 days, with 66.7% of patients (n=70) dying during the follow-up period. Significant differences were observed between the survival and death groups in age (P=0.022), primary tumor site (P=0.013), tumor size (P=0.008), and metastasis (P=0.018). Analysis of peripheral blood indicators showed that white blood cell (WBC) (P=0.006), platelet (PLT) (P=0.019), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (P<0.001), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) (P=0.036) were significantly lower in the survival group, while lymphocyte (LYM) (P<0.001), albumin (ALB) (P<0.001), and prognostic nutritional index (PIN) (P<0.001) were significantly higher in the survival group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified SII (P=0.049, HR=0.551, 95% CI: 0.304-0.998), primary tumor site (P=0.001, HR=0.405, 95% CI: 0.235-0.699), metastasis (P=0.029, HR=1.864, 95% CI: 1.066-3.26), and chemotherapy (P=0.004, HR=0.434, 95% CI: 0.245-0.768) as independent prognostic factors affecting patients' 5-year survival. A nomogram model constructed based on these factors demonstrated high accuracy and stability in predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.836, 0.837, and 0.803, respectively, as validated by calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. External validation further confirmed the model's reliability. Additionally, significant interactions were found between SII and primary tumor site (P=0.005) as well as chemotherapy (P=0.045). In conclusion, SII, primary tumor site, metastasis, and chemotherapy are crucial prognostic factors for angiosarcoma, and the developed nomogram provides a reliable tool for predicting survival outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":7437,"journal":{"name":"American journal of cancer research","volume":"14 10","pages":"5061-5078"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11560824/pdf/","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Analysis of risk factors affecting the prognosis of angiosarcoma patients: a retrospective study.\",\"authors\":\"Yezhou Li, Leilei Tian, Dajun Sun\",\"doi\":\"10.62347/SOUY1346\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><p>This study aimed to identify prognostic factors influencing the survival of angiosarcoma patients and to explore the relationship between peripheral blood indicators and patient prognosis. A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data collected from 105 angiosarcoma patients treated at China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University from January 2004 to April 2019, with an additional 50 patients included as external validation cohort. The median survival time for the study cohort was 1395 days, with 66.7% of patients (n=70) dying during the follow-up period. Significant differences were observed between the survival and death groups in age (P=0.022), primary tumor site (P=0.013), tumor size (P=0.008), and metastasis (P=0.018). Analysis of peripheral blood indicators showed that white blood cell (WBC) (P=0.006), platelet (PLT) (P=0.019), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (P<0.001), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) (P=0.036) were significantly lower in the survival group, while lymphocyte (LYM) (P<0.001), albumin (ALB) (P<0.001), and prognostic nutritional index (PIN) (P<0.001) were significantly higher in the survival group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified SII (P=0.049, HR=0.551, 95% CI: 0.304-0.998), primary tumor site (P=0.001, HR=0.405, 95% CI: 0.235-0.699), metastasis (P=0.029, HR=1.864, 95% CI: 1.066-3.26), and chemotherapy (P=0.004, HR=0.434, 95% CI: 0.245-0.768) as independent prognostic factors affecting patients' 5-year survival. A nomogram model constructed based on these factors demonstrated high accuracy and stability in predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.836, 0.837, and 0.803, respectively, as validated by calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. External validation further confirmed the model's reliability. Additionally, significant interactions were found between SII and primary tumor site (P=0.005) as well as chemotherapy (P=0.045). In conclusion, SII, primary tumor site, metastasis, and chemotherapy are crucial prognostic factors for angiosarcoma, and the developed nomogram provides a reliable tool for predicting survival outcomes.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":7437,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"American journal of cancer research\",\"volume\":\"14 10\",\"pages\":\"5061-5078\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":3.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-10-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11560824/pdf/\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"American journal of cancer research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"3\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.62347/SOUY1346\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"医学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"2024/1/1 0:00:00\",\"PubModel\":\"eCollection\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ONCOLOGY\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"American journal of cancer research","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.62347/SOUY1346","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2024/1/1 0:00:00","PubModel":"eCollection","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ONCOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
Analysis of risk factors affecting the prognosis of angiosarcoma patients: a retrospective study.
This study aimed to identify prognostic factors influencing the survival of angiosarcoma patients and to explore the relationship between peripheral blood indicators and patient prognosis. A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data collected from 105 angiosarcoma patients treated at China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University from January 2004 to April 2019, with an additional 50 patients included as external validation cohort. The median survival time for the study cohort was 1395 days, with 66.7% of patients (n=70) dying during the follow-up period. Significant differences were observed between the survival and death groups in age (P=0.022), primary tumor site (P=0.013), tumor size (P=0.008), and metastasis (P=0.018). Analysis of peripheral blood indicators showed that white blood cell (WBC) (P=0.006), platelet (PLT) (P=0.019), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) (P<0.001), and systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) (P=0.036) were significantly lower in the survival group, while lymphocyte (LYM) (P<0.001), albumin (ALB) (P<0.001), and prognostic nutritional index (PIN) (P<0.001) were significantly higher in the survival group. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified SII (P=0.049, HR=0.551, 95% CI: 0.304-0.998), primary tumor site (P=0.001, HR=0.405, 95% CI: 0.235-0.699), metastasis (P=0.029, HR=1.864, 95% CI: 1.066-3.26), and chemotherapy (P=0.004, HR=0.434, 95% CI: 0.245-0.768) as independent prognostic factors affecting patients' 5-year survival. A nomogram model constructed based on these factors demonstrated high accuracy and stability in predicting 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.836, 0.837, and 0.803, respectively, as validated by calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. External validation further confirmed the model's reliability. Additionally, significant interactions were found between SII and primary tumor site (P=0.005) as well as chemotherapy (P=0.045). In conclusion, SII, primary tumor site, metastasis, and chemotherapy are crucial prognostic factors for angiosarcoma, and the developed nomogram provides a reliable tool for predicting survival outcomes.
期刊介绍:
The American Journal of Cancer Research (AJCR) (ISSN 2156-6976), is an independent open access, online only journal to facilitate rapid dissemination of novel discoveries in basic science and treatment of cancer. It was founded by a group of scientists for cancer research and clinical academic oncologists from around the world, who are devoted to the promotion and advancement of our understanding of the cancer and its treatment. The scope of AJCR is intended to encompass that of multi-disciplinary researchers from any scientific discipline where the primary focus of the research is to increase and integrate knowledge about etiology and molecular mechanisms of carcinogenesis with the ultimate aim of advancing the cure and prevention of this increasingly devastating disease. To achieve these aims AJCR will publish review articles, original articles and new techniques in cancer research and therapy. It will also publish hypothesis, case reports and letter to the editor. Unlike most other open access online journals, AJCR will keep most of the traditional features of paper print that we are all familiar with, such as continuous volume, issue numbers, as well as continuous page numbers to retain our comfortable familiarity towards an academic journal.