将信息流行病的传播与大众传媒背景下的自我隔离考虑结合起来

IF 2.3 3区 物理与天体物理 Q2 PHYSICS, MULTIDISCIPLINARY Physics Letters A Pub Date : 2024-10-30 DOI:10.1016/j.physleta.2024.130016
Dan Yang , Kunwei Chen , Wei Zhang , Teng Wang , Jiajun Xian , Nan Meng , Wei Wang , Ming Liu , Jinlin Ye
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引用次数: 0

摘要

现代社交媒体可以在大流行病期间促进流行病相关信息的传播,从而提高个人的流行病意识。然而,目前的研究较少强调这种意识所激发的自我隔离行为,而这种行为对于长期的流行病应对至关重要。因此,我们提出了一个信息-流行病传播耦合模型,将大众媒体的影响和自我隔离行为结合起来。利用微观马尔可夫链方法,我们对模型进行了分析,确定了流行阈值,并研究了导致交织动态的参数。实验表明,自我隔离能有效提高流行阈值并缩小爆发范围。此外,更强的大众媒体扩散增强了自我隔离对流行病传播的抑制作用。信息扩散影响存在一个元临界点,只有当超过这个临界点时,信息扩散才会提高疫情阈值,但大众媒体的存在可以消除这个临界点。这项研究强调了大众传媒和自我隔离在控制流行病中的关键作用,为预防策略提供了宝贵的启示。
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Coupled information-epidemic spreading with consideration of self-isolation in the context of mass media
Modern social media can facilitate the diffusion of epidemic-related information during pandemics, thereby enhancing individual epidemic awareness. However, current research places less emphasis on self-isolation behaviors stimulated by such awareness, which are crucial for long-term epidemic response. Thus, we propose a coupled information-epidemic spreading model that incorporates the impact of mass media and self-isolation behaviors. Using the Microscopic Markov Chain Approach, we analyze the model, determine the epidemic threshold, and investigate parameters contributing to intertwined dynamics. Experiments show that self-isolation effectively raises the epidemic threshold and reduces outbreak scope. Besides, stronger mass media diffusion enhances self-isolation's inhibitory effect on epidemic spread. There exists a meta-critical point in information diffusion impact; only when exceeding it does information diffusion increase the epidemic threshold, but mass media presence can eliminate this point. This research underscores the critical role of mass media and self-isolation in controlling epidemics, offering valuable insights for prevention strategies.
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来源期刊
Physics Letters A
Physics Letters A 物理-物理:综合
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
3.80%
发文量
493
审稿时长
30 days
期刊介绍: Physics Letters A offers an exciting publication outlet for novel and frontier physics. It encourages the submission of new research on: condensed matter physics, theoretical physics, nonlinear science, statistical physics, mathematical and computational physics, general and cross-disciplinary physics (including foundations), atomic, molecular and cluster physics, plasma and fluid physics, optical physics, biological physics and nanoscience. No articles on High Energy and Nuclear Physics are published in Physics Letters A. The journal''s high standard and wide dissemination ensures a broad readership amongst the physics community. Rapid publication times and flexible length restrictions give Physics Letters A the edge over other journals in the field.
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