揭示能源消费多样化的必要条件和充分条件

IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Energy Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI:10.1016/j.energy.2024.133601
Emad Kazemzadeh , José Alberto Fuinhas , Narges Salehnia , Nuno Silva , Magdalena Radulescu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了研究 65 个国家在 2019 年期间的能源消费多样化情况,本研究采用了香农-维纳指数(SWI)、必要条件分析法(NCA)和模糊集定性比较分析法(FsQCA)。根据 NCA 模型,除 FSI 外,所有变量都具备能源消费多样化(ECD)的必要条件。高能源消耗多样化的 FsQCA 模型确定了四种适当的配置,包括高人类发展、高绿色增长、全球创新以及较低的城市化水平或脆弱国家的存在。其中一个值得注意的解决方案是,较高的全球创新水平与较低的城市化水平相结合,会导致较高的幼儿发展水平,其一致性得分为 93%。相反,该模型确定了三种足以导致低 ECD 的配置,通常包括较高的城市化水平、脆弱国家以及较低的创新和绿色增长水平。其中最重要的一种配置的一致性得分高达 81%,即城市化水平提高而绿色增长和全球创新水平降低会导致低 ECD。研究结果表明,政策制定者应加强创新生态系统,重点发展人力资本,以提高能源多样性。此外,还应努力打击腐败、稳定治理和加强监督,以确保加大对清洁能源的投资。
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Revealing the essential and sufficient conditions for the energy consumption diversification
To investigate the diversification of energy consumption in 65 countries during 2019, this study utilizes the Shannon-Wiener index (SWI), Necessary Condition Analysis (NCA), and Fuzzy Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (FsQCA). According to the NCA model, all variables, except FSI, have the necessary conditions for the energy consumption diversification (ECD). The fsQCA model for high ECD identifies four adequate configurations that involve a combination of high human development, high green growth, global innovation, and either lower levels of urbanization or the presence of fragile states. One notable solution, with a consistency score of 93 %, is that a higher level of global innovation combined with lower levels of urbanization leads to higher ECD. Conversely, the model identifies three configurations sufficient for low ECD, which typically include higher levels of urbanization, fragile states, and lower levels of innovation and green growth. One of the most significant of these, with a consistency score of 81 %, is that increasing urbanization while decreasing green growth and global innovation leads to low ECD. According to the research findings, policymakers should strengthen the innovation ecosystem and focus on developing human capital to enhance energy diversity. Additionally, efforts should be made to combat corruption, stabilize governance, and improve oversight to ensure greater investment in clean energy.
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来源期刊
Energy
Energy 工程技术-能源与燃料
CiteScore
15.30
自引率
14.40%
发文量
0
审稿时长
14.2 weeks
期刊介绍: Energy is a multidisciplinary, international journal that publishes research and analysis in the field of energy engineering. Our aim is to become a leading peer-reviewed platform and a trusted source of information for energy-related topics. The journal covers a range of areas including mechanical engineering, thermal sciences, and energy analysis. We are particularly interested in research on energy modelling, prediction, integrated energy systems, planning, and management. Additionally, we welcome papers on energy conservation, efficiency, biomass and bioenergy, renewable energy, electricity supply and demand, energy storage, buildings, and economic and policy issues. These topics should align with our broader multidisciplinary focus.
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