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Comments on “Uncertainties in estimating production costs of future nuclear technologies: A model-based analysis of small modular reactors” [Energy 281 (2023) 128204] 关于 "未来核技术生产成本估算的不确定性:基于模型的小型模块化反应堆分析" [能源 281 (2023) 128204] 的评论
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133827
Martin Hjelmeland, Jonas Kristiansen Nøland
This comment aims to provide a critical analysis of the article entitled ”Uncertainties in estimating production costs of future nuclear technologies: A model-based analysis of small modular reactors” [Energy 281 (2023) 128204], which presents a model-based analysis to estimate the future costs of small modular reactors (SMRs). Their work is timely, containing models from production theory that could be used to predict the future cost of nuclear technologies. Nonetheless, it is unfortunate that the article contains a series of unjustified assumptions that severely inflate the results.
本评论旨在对题为 "估算未来核技术生产成本的不确定性:基于模型的小型模块化反应堆分析"[能源 281 (2023) 128204]一文进行了批判性分析。他们的工作非常及时,其中包含的生产理论模型可用于预测核技术的未来成本。然而,令人遗憾的是,文章包含了一系列不合理的假设,严重夸大了结果。
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引用次数: 0
A state-of-the-art review of solar-induced ventilation technology for built environment regulation: Classification, modeling, evaluation, potential and challenges 建筑环境调节中太阳能通风技术的最新研究综述:分类、建模、评估、潜力和挑战
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133949
Yang Cai , Zheng-Yu Shu , Jian-Wei He , Yong-Cai Li , Yuan-Da Cheng , Kai-Liang Huang , Fu-Yun Zhao
<div><div>In the face of escalating environmental challenges and dwindling fossil fuel reserves, the transition to renewable and sustainable energy sources has become a paramount global objective, which has led to a surge in research and application of renewable energy sources. Among them, solar energy utilization has been placed at the forefront of energy conservation revolution owing to its significant advantages in terms of sustainability and environmentally-friendliness. Solar-induced ventilation technology (SVT) is a typical way to integrate clean energy with buildings, considerably enhancing solar energy utilization efficiency while achieving building energy conservation and indoor thermal environment regulation. However, summaries as comprehensive as possible for SVT's application in envelopes are ambiguous in the current academia. Different analytical models, parameters and evaluation indicators need to be reviewed to describe the energy flow transfer and the impact on indoor thermal environment, which makes it indispensable to carry out an comprehensive overview for the latest investigation progress. This article endeavors to carry out an elaborate review of the theoretical analysis and constructive application of SVT from an energy utilization and building thermal environment perspective. Firstly, various types of SVT envelopes are classified simultaneously according to development and innovation in solar energy utilization. Furthermore, four different analytical models, namely, heat transfer model, thermal resistance network model, pressure balance model as well as computational fluid dynamics model, have been summarized, which would be helpful to analyze the thermal performance. Through literature review, this article discusses the impact of numerous parameters on system performance, especially the ventilation effect and thermal environment in buildings, from aspects of geometry, material properties and environmental conditions. In addition, a comprehensive collection of the important evaluation indicators based on the energy, thermal comfort and economic evaluations has been introduced to evaluate the thermal performance and indoor environment regulation capability of SVT envelopes, which provided a clear reference on developing and application SVT for high energy efficiency design towards carbon-neutral building envelopes. Finally, the challenges and potential are pointed out in terms of performance enhancement and the expansion of application scenarios. The results of the survey indicated that due to the development of novel technologies and materials, SVT holds great advantages in mitigating building energy consumption and regulating thermal environment, which shows a diversified development trend and promotes the process of global sustainable development. The review of the current SVT building envelope not only clarified the high feasibility of SVT in promoting passive building ventilation, energy saving and enhancing the level o
面对日益严峻的环境挑战和日益减少的化石燃料储量,向可再生能源和可持续能源过渡已成为一个重要的全球目标,这导致了可再生能源的研究和应用激增。其中,太阳能利用因其具有显著的可持续性和环境友好性优势,已被置于节能革命的前沿。太阳能诱导通风技术(SVT)是清洁能源与建筑相结合的一种典型方式,在实现建筑节能和室内热环境调节的同时,大大提高了太阳能利用效率。然而,目前学术界对SVT在信封中的应用的尽可能全面的总结是模糊的。描述能量流传递及其对室内热环境的影响,需要对不同的分析模型、参数和评价指标进行综述,因此对最新的研究进展进行全面的综述是必不可少的。本文试图从能源利用和建筑热环境的角度对SVT的理论分析和建设性应用进行详细的回顾。首先,根据太阳能利用的发展和创新,对各类SVT包膜进行了同步分类。总结了传热模型、热阻网络模型、压力平衡模型和计算流体力学模型等四种不同的分析模型,有助于分析热工性能。本文通过文献综述,从几何形状、材料性能和环境条件等方面探讨了众多参数对系统性能的影响,特别是对建筑通风效果和热环境的影响。此外,从能源、热舒适和经济评价三个方面综合引入SVT围护结构的重要评价指标,对SVT围护结构的热工性能和室内环境调节能力进行评价,为SVT围护结构的高效节能设计提供了明确的参考。最后,从性能提升和应用场景扩展方面指出了面临的挑战和潜力。调查结果表明,由于新技术和新材料的发展,SVT在降低建筑能耗和调节热环境方面具有很大优势,呈现多元化发展趋势,推动了全球可持续发展的进程。通过对现有SVT建筑围护结构的回顾,不仅明确了SVT在促进建筑被动通风、节能和提升室内热环境水平方面的高度可行性,而且为前沿研究提供了指导和确定了优化方向。
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引用次数: 0
Salt hydrates in renewable energy systems: A thorough review 盐水合物在可再生能源系统中的应用综述
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133808
Mohammad Mustafa Ghafurian , Brian Elmegaard , Peter Weinberger , Ahmad Arabkoohsar
This paper aims to review recent advancements in the utilization, storage, and integration of salt hydrates (SHs) in renewable energy (RE) systems. Initially, the latest review articles on applications of SHs in the energy sector are discussed. Then, various categories of SHs are extensively studied, emphasizing their thermochemical and thermophysical properties. SHs utilized in RE technologies across different temperature ranges alongside limitations like toxicity, corrosion, and cost are reviewed, and the most effective SHs in terms of chemical energy density, and cost-effectiveness at various temperatures are identified. Eventually, challenges, research gaps, and potential future work regarding these SHs are discussed. The study concludes that the most frequently used salts in sustainable energy systems include, but are not limited to, LiOH (0→-1) for temperatures above 150 °C, LiNO2 (1  →  0) for 80 °C to 150 °C, LiOH (1  →  0) for 40 °C to 80 °C, LiCl (2  →  1) for 10 °C to 40 °C, and LiBr (2  →  1) for temperatures below 10 °C. Moreover, the study highlights a significant group of SHs with diverse operating temperatures and high energy densities that have not yet been sufficiently investigated. Economically, the most promising salts are identified as Na2CO3, MgCl2,MgSO4 and Ca(OH)2 due to their low cost per unit of chemical energy.
本文综述了盐水合物在可再生能源系统中的利用、储存和集成方面的最新进展。首先,讨论了SHs在能源领域应用的最新综述文章。然后,广泛研究了各种类型的SHs,重点研究了它们的热化学和热物理性质。回顾了可再生能源技术中在不同温度范围内使用的SHs,以及毒性、腐蚀和成本等限制,并确定了在不同温度下化学能密度和成本效益方面最有效的SHs。最后,讨论了关于这些SHs的挑战、研究差距和潜在的未来工作。该研究得出结论,可持续能源系统中最常用的盐包括但不限于:温度高于150°C时LiOH(0→-1),80°C至150°C时LiNO2(1→0),40°C至80°C时LiOH(1→0),10°C至40°C时LiCl(2→1),温度低于10°C时LiBr(2→1)。此外,该研究还强调了一组具有不同工作温度和高能量密度的SHs尚未得到充分研究。从经济上讲,最有前途的盐被确定为Na2CO3、MgCl2、MgSO4和Ca(OH)2,因为它们的单位化学能成本低。
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引用次数: 0
High temperature heat pumps for industrial heating processes using water as refrigerant 使用水作为制冷剂的工业加热过程高温热泵
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133847
Ruzhu Wang, Hongzhi Yan, Di Wu, Jiatong Jiang, Yixiu Dong
High-temperature heat pumps (HTHPs) provide a promising approach to reducing CO2 emissions in industrial heating applications. However, developing large-scale, high-temperature-output, and large temperature-lift heat pumps that utilize low-GWP refrigerants remains a challenge. Natural working fluids, particularly water, show potential due to their exceptional thermodynamic properties and environmental friendliness. Our findings indicate that by employing water as a refrigerant, high-temperature heat pumps can achieve a significant temperature lift of up to 100 °C while maintaining a satisfactory coefficient of performance (COP). Additionally, these systems demonstrate high flexibility, enabling them to operate as closed-cycles, hybrid closed and open cycles, or hybrid vapor compression and absorption systems. Furthermore, we identify feasible matching strategies for industrial high-temperature heat pumps, focusing on working fluids, components, and cycle structures, with variables such as compressor type, heating temperature, and capacity. Through this research, we highlight the unique performance advantages of water across a 100 °C temperature range and propose detailed design sketches centered on water, capable of achieving large temperature lifts and high-temperature outputs. These include compression cycles, absorption cycles, and mechanical vapor compression cycles, with particular attention to closed and open cycle combinations. Moreover, we emphasize the research gap in current industrial heat pump technologies, providing a forward-looking technological perspective on heat pumps as a key component in further industrial decarbonization.
高温热泵(HTHPs)为减少工业加热应用中的二氧化碳排放提供了一种前景广阔的方法。然而,开发使用低全球升温潜能值制冷剂的大规模、高温输出和大温升热泵仍然是一项挑战。天然工作流体,尤其是水,因其卓越的热力学特性和环境友好性而显示出潜力。我们的研究结果表明,通过使用水作为制冷剂,高温热泵可以在保持令人满意的性能系数(COP)的同时,实现高达 100 °C 的大幅温度提升。此外,这些系统还具有很高的灵活性,可以作为闭式循环、闭式和开式混合循环或蒸汽压缩和吸收式混合系统运行。此外,我们还确定了工业高温热泵的可行匹配策略,重点关注工作流体、组件和循环结构,以及压缩机类型、加热温度和容量等变量。通过这项研究,我们强调了水在 100 °C 温度范围内的独特性能优势,并提出了以水为中心的详细设计草图,能够实现较大的温度提升和高温输出。其中包括压缩循环、吸收循环和机械蒸汽压缩循环,并特别关注封闭循环和开放循环的组合。此外,我们还强调了当前工业热泵技术的研究空白,为热泵作为进一步工业脱碳的关键组成部分提供了前瞻性的技术视角。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of flexible coal power and battery energy storage system in supporting renewable energy 评估支持可再生能源的灵活煤电和电池储能系统
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133805
Boqiang Lin, Zhiwei Liu
The use of renewable energy sources (RES) is expected to increase, potentially leading to volatility in the power system. Therefore, flexible power is essential to address this challenge. In China, two viable options for providing flexible power are battery energy storage systems (BESS) and flexibility modification of coal power units. This study introduces a framework to evaluate the costs of power system flexibility under varying RES shares on an hourly basis, comparing flexible coal power and BESS across several scenarios. In the short term, flexible coal power proves to be more advantageous than BESS, but BESS shows greater promise in the long run. The study suggests that while coal power will continue to play a critical role in the near future, it should gradually be phased out by reducing its utilization hours. Meanwhile, BESS should receive greater focus for long-term energy strategy. This study underscores the importance of maintaining power system stability throughout the low-carbon transition and highlights the need to balance short-term and long-term strategies for flexible power.
可再生能源(RES)的使用预计会增加,这可能会导致电力系统的波动。因此,灵活供电对于应对这一挑战至关重要。在中国,提供灵活电力的两个可行方案是电池储能系统 (BESS) 和煤电机组灵活性改造。本研究引入了一个框架,以每小时为基础评估不同可再生能源比例下电力系统灵活性的成本,并在多个方案中对灵活煤电和 BESS 进行了比较。从短期来看,灵活的煤电比 BESS 更具优势,但从长期来看,BESS 更有前途。研究表明,虽然煤电在不久的将来仍将发挥关键作用,但应通过减少利用小时数来逐步淘汰煤电。同时,长期能源战略应更加重视 BESS。这项研究强调了在整个低碳转型过程中保持电力系统稳定的重要性,并突出了平衡灵活电力的短期和长期战略的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
Collaborative strategy towards a resilient urban energy system: Evidence from a tripartite evolutionary game model 建立弹性城市能源系统的合作战略:来自三方进化博弈模型的证据
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133818
Hang Lv , Qiong Wu , Hongbo Ren , Qifen Li , Weisheng Zhou
Extreme natural disasters are occurring with increasing frequency worldwide, posing unprecedented challenges to urban energy systems. In this study, an evolutionary game approach is employed to examine the interactive behavior among the grid, virtual power plant operators, and users, focusing on enhancing the resilience of urban energy systems. The impact of long-term power system development on the simulation outcomes has been examined. Key parameters in the game model are determined through numerical simulation. The evolutionary stabilization strategies of individual actors and the system have been analyzed holistically. According to the simulation results, as the benefit per unit of load restoration increases from 40 to 1000, all three parties increasingly prioritize resilience in their decision-making processes. Notably, when the benefit per unit of load restoration is 40, grid firms tend to disregard resilience. To enhance power system resilience, especially in the context of a high percentage of renewable energy generation, the utility grid should prioritize managing the integration of renewable energy into the grid. Moreover, there is a growing public interest in participating in dynamic demand response programs for incentives. In addition, within certain parameters, the objective of increasing renewable energy consumption may conflict with the aim of improving power system resilience. Virtual power plant operators are unlikely to introduce new renewable energy projects if the return is below 0.0325 Yuan/kWh. This study may offer strategic recommendations for enhancing long-term power system resilience, providing valuable insights for practical and realistic planning.
极端自然灾害在全球范围内日益频繁地发生,给城市能源系统带来了前所未有的挑战。本研究采用了进化博弈方法来研究电网、虚拟发电厂运营商和用户之间的互动行为,重点是提高城市能源系统的抗灾能力。研究还考察了长期电力系统发展对模拟结果的影响。游戏模型中的关键参数是通过数值模拟确定的。对单个参与者和系统的演化稳定策略进行了整体分析。根据模拟结果,随着单位负荷恢复效益从 40 增加到 1000,三方在决策过程中都会越来越优先考虑恢复能力。值得注意的是,当单位负荷恢复效益为 40 时,电网公司倾向于忽视抗灾能力。为了提高电力系统的恢复能力,尤其是在可再生能源发电比例较高的情况下,公用事业电网应优先管理可再生能源并入电网的问题。此外,公众对参与动态需求响应计划以获得奖励的兴趣日益浓厚。此外,在某些参数范围内,增加可再生能源消费的目标可能与提高电力系统恢复能力的目标相冲突。如果回报率低于 0.0325 元/千瓦时,虚拟电厂运营商不太可能引入新的可再生能源项目。本研究可为提高电力系统的长期恢复能力提供战略建议,为制定切实可行的规划提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Exploration on deep pulverized coal activation and ultra-low NOx emission strategies with novel purifying-combustion technology 新型净化燃烧技术的深煤粉活化和超低氮氧化物排放策略探索
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133814
Kun Su , Ziqu Ouyang , Shuyun Li , Qisi Chen , Hongshuai Wang , Hongliang Ding , Wenyu Wang
Under the strategic objectives of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality, increasingly stringent NOx emission standard was hard to meet in coal-fired boilers, and it was imperative to develop clean coal combustion technologies. As a novel combustion technology, purifying-combustion technology had good prospects in NOx emission reduction, and pulverized coal modification and modified fuel combustion occurred in purifying burner and down-fired combustor (DFC) respectively with this technology. The novelty of this study was associated with a first-time systematical analysis of the advantage of purifying burner in deep pulverized coal activation and the matching relationship of multistage combustion air in reduction region of DFC. Experiments were performed in 30 kW purifying-combustion test rig to investigate the two-stage modification characteristics of pulverized coal in purifying burner and the difference in influence of reducing intensity on combustion and NOx emission characteristics at different reduction region lengths and the influence of staged air distribution on them in DFC. Two-stage purifying burner demonstrated greater advantages in improving particle properties of pulverized coal compared to single-stage self-preheating burner: specific surface area, pore volume, pore diameter, density of carbon defect structure and fuel-N conversion rate increased from 19.01 m3/g, 29.15 mm3/g, 4.34 nm, 3.93 and 52.96 % to 34.39 m3/g, 42.49 mm3/g, 4.57 nm, 4.41 and 66.43 %, respectively. In DFC, increasing reducing intensity in reduction region or extending its length reduced NOx emission, albeit at the expense of combustion efficiency (η). Decreasing reducing intensity resulted in decrease of η difference and increase of NOx emission difference between different lengths. Staged air distribution in reduction region promoted clean and efficient combustion, and increasing staged air ratio to ∞ realized minimal NOx emission of 39.50 mg/m3 with η of 99.23 %.
在 "碳调峰 "和 "碳中和 "的战略目标下,燃煤锅炉难以满足日益严格的氮氧化物排放标准,发展洁净煤燃烧技术势在必行。作为一种新型燃烧技术,净化燃烧技术在氮氧化物减排方面具有良好的前景,净化燃烧器和下燃式燃烧器(DFC)分别采用该技术进行煤粉改性和燃料改性燃烧。本研究的新颖之处在于首次系统分析了净化燃烧器在煤粉深度活化中的优势以及多级助燃空气在 DFC 还原区的匹配关系。在 30 kW 净化燃烧试验台架上进行了实验,研究了煤粉在净化燃烧器中的两级改性特性、不同还原区长度下还原强度对燃烧和氮氧化物排放特性的影响差异,以及 DFC 中分级配风对其的影响。与单级自预热燃烧器相比,两级净化燃烧器在改善煤粉颗粒特性方面表现出更大的优势:比表面积、孔体积、孔直径、碳缺陷结构密度和燃料-N 转化率分别从 19.01 m3/g、29.15 mm3/g、4.34 nm、3.93 和 52.96 % 增加到 34.39 m3/g、42.49 mm3/g、4.57 nm、4.41 和 66.43 %。在 DFC 中,增加还原区的还原强度或延长其长度可减少氮氧化物的排放,但会降低燃烧效率 (η)。降低还原强度导致不同长度之间的η差减小,氮氧化物排放差增大。还原区的分段配风促进了清洁高效燃烧,将分段配风比增加到 ∞ 时,氮氧化物排放量最小,为 39.50 毫克/立方米,η 为 99.23%。
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引用次数: 0
Computationally efficient assessment of fuel economy of multi-modes and multi-gears hybrid electric vehicles: A hyper rapid dynamic programming approach 多模式、多齿轮混合动力电动汽车燃油经济性的高效计算评估:超快速动态程序设计方法
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133811
Yunge Zou , Yalian Yang , Yuxin Zhang , Changdong Liu
The powertrain configuration, sizing, and control are multi-dimensional intertwined. Synergy optimization of these three dimensions can yield the greatest benefits. However, the huge computational load limits its implementation. Especially for multi-modes and multi-gears (MMMG) transmissions. Thus, a more efficient optimization method with acceptable accuracy is urgently required. In this study, a near-global optimal method, called Hyper-Rapid Dynamic Programming (HR-DP), is proposed and discussed. The computation time is significantly reduced by optimization of candidate state and control domains, identification of optimal efficiency operating points, and parallel computation approaches. Subsequently, a thorough comparison of the HR-DP, Rapid-DP and DP methods was performed across various driving cycles. Compared to the DP algorithm, the computational efficiency is boosted by a factor of about 100,000, while the fuel consumption error is limited to 1.5 % in Real-world driving cycle (RWDC). Moreover, the HR-DP, in conjunction with particle swarm optimization (PSO), is employed for the first time to optimize essential sizing for MMMG configuration. The MMMG configuration with optimal sizing is demonstrated to be most energy-efficient, with 7.70%–10.6 % fuel-savings achieved, compared to the Toyota Prius. Therefore, HR-DP is well-suited for the design and optimization of HEV transmission configurations and sizing, significantly accelerating the development progress.
动力总成的配置、大小和控制是多维度相互交织的。对这三个方面进行协同优化可以产生最大的效益。然而,巨大的计算负荷限制了其实施。特别是对于多模式和多齿轮(MMMG)变速器。因此,迫切需要一种更高效、精度可接受的优化方法。本研究提出并讨论了一种近全局优化方法,称为超快速动态编程(HR-DP)。通过优化候选状态和控制域、识别最佳效率运行点和并行计算方法,计算时间大大缩短。随后,在各种驾驶循环中对 HR-DP、Rapid-DP 和 DP 方法进行了全面比较。与 DP 算法相比,计算效率提高了约 100,000 倍,而在真实世界驾驶循环(RWDC)中,油耗误差被限制在 1.5%。此外,HR-DP 与粒子群优化(PSO)相结合,首次用于优化 MMMG 配置的基本尺寸。结果表明,与丰田普锐斯(Toyota Prius)相比,具有最佳尺寸的 MMMG 配置最为节能,可节省 7.70%-10.6% 的燃油。因此,HR-DP 非常适合设计和优化混合动力汽车变速器的配置和尺寸,大大加快了开发进度。
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引用次数: 0
Economic benefits for the metallurgical industry from co-combusting pyrolysis gas from waste 废物热解气体联合燃烧为冶金工业带来的经济效益
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133782
Magdalena Skrzyniarz , Marcin Sajdak , Anna Biniek-Poskart , Andrzej Skibiński , Artur Maroszek , Paweł Niegodajew , Monika Zajemska
The paper presents some benefits that can be gained in the metallurgical industry from utilizing pyrolysis gas obtained from biomass and plastic waste, in particular in a pusher type reheating furnace. The typical fuel composition that normally involves a mixture of natural gas and coke oven gas was modified by introducing a 9–16 % share of pyrolysis gas. The materials used in the production of the pyrolysis gas were alder and pine chips, as well as polypropene waste. For all these materials, the contents of carbon, hydrogen, nitrogen, sulfur and oxygen were experimentally estimated on a test stand for solid fuel conversion in a stationary bed at the temperature of 600 °C. The design capacity of the furnace was 90 t/h and the installed power of the furnace was 72.3 MW. Based on data gained from the rolling mill of a steel mill located in Poland, analysis of the profitability of using pyrolysis gas for co-combustion with coke oven gas and natural gas in an industrial heating furnace was carried out. As a result, a significant benefit can be achieved, namely reduced production costs of the analyzed steel company by utilizing pyrolysis gas, leading to an increase in the attractiveness of the plant's products. Plastic waste and biomass are employed as energy sources in the suggested technology, therefore using them as feedstock for the pyrolysis reactor combined with the pusher type metallurgical reheating furnace is a potential proposal for the future.
本文介绍了在冶金工业中利用从生物质和塑料废料中获得的热解气体所能带来的一些益处,特别是在推杆式再加热炉中。典型的燃料成分通常包括天然气和焦炉煤气的混合物,通过引入 9-16% 的热解气体,对这种燃料成分进行了改良。用于生产热解气体的材料有桤木和松木屑,以及聚丙烯废料。所有这些材料的碳、氢、氮、硫和氧含量都是在 600 °C 固定床固体燃料转化试验台上通过实验估算出来的。该炉的设计产能为 90 吨/小时,装机功率为 72.3 兆瓦。根据从波兰一家钢厂的轧钢厂获得的数据,对在工业加热炉中使用热解气体与焦炉煤气和天然气共燃的盈利能力进行了分析。分析结果表明,利用热解气体可以获得巨大收益,即降低被分析钢铁公司的生产成本,从而提高工厂产品的吸引力。在建议的技术中,塑料废料和生物质被用作能源,因此,将它们用作热解反应器的原料并与推杆式冶金再加热炉相结合是未来的一个潜在建议。
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引用次数: 0
Household, sociodemographic, building and land cover factors affecting residential summer electricity consumption: A systematic statistical study in Phoenix, AZ 影响住宅夏季用电量的家庭、社会人口、建筑和土地覆盖因素:亚利桑那州凤凰城的系统统计研究
IF 9 1区 工程技术 Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2024-11-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.133819
Edwin Alejandro Ramírez-Aguilar , David J. Sailor , Elizabeth A. Wentz
Understanding determinants of residential electricity consumption is crucial for urban sustainability efforts for planners and policy makers to develop targeted strategies to lower energy use, reduce greenhouse gas emissions, and to increase community resilience. This study presents a systematic approach to build an interpretable multivariate linear model, addressing challenges like outlier detection, multicollinearity, non-normality, and heteroscedasticity. Using 2019 summer residential electricity data for 426 census tracts in Phoenix and 30 variables, the approach involves (1) addressing multicollinearity and regression outliers through Variance Inflation Factor and studentized residual analysis, (2) comparing an automatic variable selection method with Ridge, Lasso, and Elastic Net regression, (3) evaluating the final model, and (4) interpreting variable effects. Critical findings reveal multicollinearity in land cover and racial variables, while 21 census tracts on the urban periphery exhibit outliers with unique features. Variable selection demonstrates the significance of household and building information in influencing residential electricity consumption. Household variables alone account for 84 % of electricity usage variation. Incorporating building information and land cover variables reduces errors by 35 % and 26 % respectively, emphasizing the significance of including household characteristics as predictors or control variables when modeling electricity consumption. A final model with 93 % explanatory power enables precise predictions.
了解住宅用电量的决定因素对于城市可持续发展工作至关重要,有助于规划者和政策制定者制定有针对性的战略,以降低能源使用、减少温室气体排放并提高社区的抗灾能力。本研究提出了一种建立可解释的多元线性模型的系统方法,解决了离群点检测、多重共线性、非正态性和异方差性等难题。利用菲尼克斯市 426 个普查区的 2019 年夏季居民用电数据和 30 个变量,该方法包括:(1)通过方差膨胀因子和学生化残差分析解决多重共线性和回归异常值问题;(2)比较自动变量选择方法与 Ridge、Lasso 和 Elastic Net 回归;(3)评估最终模型;以及(4)解释变量效应。重要发现揭示了土地覆被和种族变量的多重共线性,而城市边缘的 21 个人口普查区则表现出具有独特特征的异常值。变量选择表明,住户和建筑物信息对住宅用电量的影响非常重要。仅住户变量就占用电量变化的 84%。加入建筑信息和土地覆盖变量后,误差分别减少了 35% 和 26%,这强调了在建立用电模型时将家庭特征作为预测变量或控制变量的重要性。最终模型的解释力为 93%,能够进行精确预测。
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