{"title":"用于编制一般地震区划图（GSZ）的 Мmax 量值和地震带的其他特征","authors":"V. F. Pisarenko","doi":"10.1134/S1069351324700769","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><b>Abstract</b>—A new probabilistic approach to the problem of estimating the regional maximum possible magnitude and some parameters of seismic impact is proposed. The methodology of its practical application is described, which is based on considering the maximum magnitude in the future time interval <i>T</i> as a random quantity and using its quantile with a given level of confidence as the regional maximum magnitude.</p>","PeriodicalId":602,"journal":{"name":"Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth","volume":"60 5","pages":"836 - 841"},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1134/S1069351324700769.pdf","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Quantiles of Мmax and Other Characteristics of the Seismic Field Used in the Compilation of General Seismic Zoning (GSZ) Maps\",\"authors\":\"V. F. Pisarenko\",\"doi\":\"10.1134/S1069351324700769\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p><b>Abstract</b>—A new probabilistic approach to the problem of estimating the regional maximum possible magnitude and some parameters of seismic impact is proposed. The methodology of its practical application is described, which is based on considering the maximum magnitude in the future time interval <i>T</i> as a random quantity and using its quantile with a given level of confidence as the regional maximum magnitude.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":602,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth\",\"volume\":\"60 5\",\"pages\":\"836 - 841\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1134/S1069351324700769.pdf\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"89\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S1069351324700769\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"地球科学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q4\",\"JCRName\":\"GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://link.springer.com/article/10.1134/S1069351324700769","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q4","JCRName":"GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
摘要 针对估算区域最大可能震级和一些地震影响参数的问题，提出了一种新的概率方法。该方法将未来时间间隔 T 中的最大震级视为随机量，并将其在给定置信度下的量值作为区域最大震级。
Quantiles of Мmax and Other Characteristics of the Seismic Field Used in the Compilation of General Seismic Zoning (GSZ) Maps
Abstract—A new probabilistic approach to the problem of estimating the regional maximum possible magnitude and some parameters of seismic impact is proposed. The methodology of its practical application is described, which is based on considering the maximum magnitude in the future time interval T as a random quantity and using its quantile with a given level of confidence as the regional maximum magnitude.
期刊介绍：
Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth is an international peer reviewed journal that publishes results of original theoretical and experimental research in relevant areas of the physics of the Earth''s interior and applied geophysics. The journal welcomes manuscripts from all countries in the English or Russian language.
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