农村摩托车事故中的性别差异:旅行行为影响的神经网络分析。

IF 5.7 1区 工程技术 Q1 ERGONOMICS Accident; analysis and prevention Pub Date : 2024-11-22 DOI:10.1016/j.aap.2024.107840
Ittirit Mohamad
{"title":"农村摩托车事故中的性别差异:旅行行为影响的神经网络分析。","authors":"Ittirit Mohamad","doi":"10.1016/j.aap.2024.107840","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rural road accidents involving motorcycle riders present a formidable challenge to road safety globally. This study offers a comprehensive gender-based comparative analysis of rural road accidents among motorcycle riders, aimed at illuminating factors contributing to accidents and discerning potential gender disparities in accident rates and severity. Employing a sophisticated Neural Network approach, the research delves into the intricate relationship between various variables and accident outcomes, with a specific emphasis on identifying gender-specific patterns. For female riders, the ANN model demonstrates impressive overall accuracy (CA) of 92 %, indicating its capability to correctly classify accident outcomes. Precision, which measures the model’s ability to avoid false positives, stands at a commendable 90.8 %. Moreover, the model exhibits high recall (92 %) and F1 score (88.4 %), indicating its effectiveness in identifying both fatal and non-fatal accidents among female riders. Additionally, the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.132 suggests a moderate level of agreement between the predicted and actual outcomes. Upon further examination, it is evident that the model performs exceptionally well in predicting non-fatal accidents for female riders, achieving a precision, recall, and F1 score of 92 %, 99.9 %, and 95.8 %, respectively. However, its performance in predicting fatalities is relatively lower, with a precision of 75.6 % and recall of 2.6 %, resulting in a lower F1 score of 5.0 %. Despite this disparity, the MCC remains consistent at 0.132, indicating a balanced performance across both classes. The findings reveal valuable insights for policymakers and road safety practitioners, providing avenues for the development of targeted interventions and the enhancement of safety measures for motorcycle riders on rural roads. By addressing the gap in understanding gender-related differences in travel habits and accident risks, this research contributes to ongoing efforts to mitigate the impact of road accidents and promote safer travel environments for all road users.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":6926,"journal":{"name":"Accident; analysis and prevention","volume":"210 ","pages":"Article 107840"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Gender disparities in rural motorcycle accidents: A neural network analysis of travel behavior impact\",\"authors\":\"Ittirit Mohamad\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.aap.2024.107840\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>Rural road accidents involving motorcycle riders present a formidable challenge to road safety globally. This study offers a comprehensive gender-based comparative analysis of rural road accidents among motorcycle riders, aimed at illuminating factors contributing to accidents and discerning potential gender disparities in accident rates and severity. Employing a sophisticated Neural Network approach, the research delves into the intricate relationship between various variables and accident outcomes, with a specific emphasis on identifying gender-specific patterns. For female riders, the ANN model demonstrates impressive overall accuracy (CA) of 92 %, indicating its capability to correctly classify accident outcomes. Precision, which measures the model’s ability to avoid false positives, stands at a commendable 90.8 %. Moreover, the model exhibits high recall (92 %) and F1 score (88.4 %), indicating its effectiveness in identifying both fatal and non-fatal accidents among female riders. Additionally, the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.132 suggests a moderate level of agreement between the predicted and actual outcomes. Upon further examination, it is evident that the model performs exceptionally well in predicting non-fatal accidents for female riders, achieving a precision, recall, and F1 score of 92 %, 99.9 %, and 95.8 %, respectively. However, its performance in predicting fatalities is relatively lower, with a precision of 75.6 % and recall of 2.6 %, resulting in a lower F1 score of 5.0 %. Despite this disparity, the MCC remains consistent at 0.132, indicating a balanced performance across both classes. The findings reveal valuable insights for policymakers and road safety practitioners, providing avenues for the development of targeted interventions and the enhancement of safety measures for motorcycle riders on rural roads. By addressing the gap in understanding gender-related differences in travel habits and accident risks, this research contributes to ongoing efforts to mitigate the impact of road accidents and promote safer travel environments for all road users.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":6926,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Accident; analysis and prevention\",\"volume\":\"210 \",\"pages\":\"Article 107840\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":5.7000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-22\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Accident; analysis and prevention\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"5\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457524003853\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"工程技术\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"ERGONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accident; analysis and prevention","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457524003853","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ERGONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

涉及摩托车骑手的农村道路交通事故是全球道路安全面临的一项严峻挑战。本研究以性别为基础,对农村道路摩托车驾驶员交通事故进行了全面的比较分析,旨在揭示导致事故的因素,并发现事故发生率和严重程度方面潜在的性别差异。研究采用了复杂的神经网络方法,深入探讨了各种变量与事故结果之间错综复杂的关系,并特别强调了识别特定性别的模式。对于女性骑手,ANN 模型的总体准确率(CA)高达 92%,令人印象深刻,这表明该模型有能力对事故结果进行正确分类。精度(衡量模型避免误报的能力)为 90.8%,值得称赞。此外,该模型还表现出较高的召回率(92 %)和 F1 分数(88.4 %),表明其在识别女性骑手的致命和非致命事故方面都很有效。此外,马修斯相关系数(MCC)为 0.132,表明预测结果与实际结果之间具有中等程度的一致性。进一步研究表明,该模型在预测女性骑手的非致命事故方面表现优异,精确度、召回率和 F1 分数分别达到 92%、99.9% 和 95.8%。然而,该模型在预测死亡事故方面的表现相对较差,精确度为 75.6%,召回率为 2.6%,F1 分数较低,为 5.0%。尽管存在这种差异,但 MCC 仍保持在 0.132,表明两个类别的性能均衡。研究结果为政策制定者和道路安全从业人员提供了宝贵的见解,为制定有针对性的干预措施和加强农村道路摩托车驾驶员的安全措施提供了途径。这项研究弥补了人们对出行习惯和事故风险中与性别有关的差异认识上的不足,有助于减轻道路事故的影响,为所有道路使用者提供更安全的出行环境。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
Gender disparities in rural motorcycle accidents: A neural network analysis of travel behavior impact
Rural road accidents involving motorcycle riders present a formidable challenge to road safety globally. This study offers a comprehensive gender-based comparative analysis of rural road accidents among motorcycle riders, aimed at illuminating factors contributing to accidents and discerning potential gender disparities in accident rates and severity. Employing a sophisticated Neural Network approach, the research delves into the intricate relationship between various variables and accident outcomes, with a specific emphasis on identifying gender-specific patterns. For female riders, the ANN model demonstrates impressive overall accuracy (CA) of 92 %, indicating its capability to correctly classify accident outcomes. Precision, which measures the model’s ability to avoid false positives, stands at a commendable 90.8 %. Moreover, the model exhibits high recall (92 %) and F1 score (88.4 %), indicating its effectiveness in identifying both fatal and non-fatal accidents among female riders. Additionally, the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.132 suggests a moderate level of agreement between the predicted and actual outcomes. Upon further examination, it is evident that the model performs exceptionally well in predicting non-fatal accidents for female riders, achieving a precision, recall, and F1 score of 92 %, 99.9 %, and 95.8 %, respectively. However, its performance in predicting fatalities is relatively lower, with a precision of 75.6 % and recall of 2.6 %, resulting in a lower F1 score of 5.0 %. Despite this disparity, the MCC remains consistent at 0.132, indicating a balanced performance across both classes. The findings reveal valuable insights for policymakers and road safety practitioners, providing avenues for the development of targeted interventions and the enhancement of safety measures for motorcycle riders on rural roads. By addressing the gap in understanding gender-related differences in travel habits and accident risks, this research contributes to ongoing efforts to mitigate the impact of road accidents and promote safer travel environments for all road users.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
11.90
自引率
16.90%
发文量
264
审稿时长
48 days
期刊介绍: Accident Analysis & Prevention provides wide coverage of the general areas relating to accidental injury and damage, including the pre-injury and immediate post-injury phases. Published papers deal with medical, legal, economic, educational, behavioral, theoretical or empirical aspects of transportation accidents, as well as with accidents at other sites. Selected topics within the scope of the Journal may include: studies of human, environmental and vehicular factors influencing the occurrence, type and severity of accidents and injury; the design, implementation and evaluation of countermeasures; biomechanics of impact and human tolerance limits to injury; modelling and statistical analysis of accident data; policy, planning and decision-making in safety.
期刊最新文献
Driving against the clock: Investigating the impacts of time pressure on taxi and non-professional drivers’ safety and compliance Spatiotemporal analysis of roadway terrains impact on large truck driver injury severity outcomes using random parameters with heterogeneity in means and variances approach Evaluating the safety impact of mid-block pedestrian signals (MPS) Editorial Board An emergency operation strategy and motion planning method for autonomous vehicle in emergency scenarios
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1