Pratyush Agrawal , Adithi R. Upadhya , Srishti S , Mahesh Kalshetty , Padmavati Kulkarni , Meenakshi Kushwaha , V. Sreekanth
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The PM concentration levels were 2.5–4 times higher than the prescribed national ambient standards, while the gaseous criteria pollutants were found to be within the standards (over most of the study area). The performance of the developed LUR models ranged from poor to moderate levels (adjusted-R<sup>2</sup> values of the models were between 0.14 and 0.63). Land use and road-network related variables were found to be the most common predictors of the observed pollution levels. Moderately performing models (11 out of the developed 20) were then used to predict pollution levels at 50 m spatial intervals and to identify the most polluted districts. The advantages and limitations of using the existing regulatory network data for LUR development, and the other probable potential reasons responsible for the underperformance of the developed models are extensively discussed. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
高分辨率空气污染地图可以帮助研究人员和政府更好地描述和减轻特定区域的污染水平。土地利用回归(LUR)建模是一种能够预测高空间分辨率污染水平的统计方法。在本研究中,我们利用印度德里密集(与印度其他地区相比)的监管监测网络提供的污染数据(2019 年),为各种标准污染物建立了简单的线性和可解释的 LUR 模型。在德里观测到的 PM2.5 和 PM10 年平均值分别为 110 μg m-3 和 220 μg m-3。可吸入颗粒物的浓度水平比国家规定的环境标准高出 2.5-4 倍,而气态标准污染物则在标准范围之内(在大部分研究区域)。所开发的 LUR 模型的性能从较差到中等水平不等(模型的调整 R2 值介于 0.14 和 0.63 之间)。研究发现,土地利用和道路网络相关变量是观测到的污染水平最常见的预测因素。然后,利用性能中等的模型(20 个已开发模型中的 11 个)来预测 50 米空间间隔的污染水平,并确定污染最严重的地区。我们广泛讨论了使用现有监管网络数据开发 LUR 的优势和局限性,以及导致所开发模型表现不佳的其他潜在原因。据我们所知,这是印度地区利用监管监测网络数据开发 LUR 模型的少数研究之一。
Development of Land Use Regression (LUR) models and high-resolution spatial mapping of criteria air pollutants: Leveraging Delhi's continuous air monitoring network and remote sensing data
High-resolution air pollution maps can help researchers and governments better characterize and mitigate pollution levels in a given region. Land Use Regression (LUR) modeling is a statistical approach capable of predicting pollution levels at a high spatial resolution. In this study, we used pollution data (for the calendar year 2019) from a dense (compared to other Indian regions) regulatory monitoring network in Delhi, India, to develop simple linear and interpretable LUR models for various criteria pollutants. The observed annual mean PM2.5 and PM10 over Delhi were found to be ∼110 μg m−3 and 220 μg m−3, respectively. The PM concentration levels were 2.5–4 times higher than the prescribed national ambient standards, while the gaseous criteria pollutants were found to be within the standards (over most of the study area). The performance of the developed LUR models ranged from poor to moderate levels (adjusted-R2 values of the models were between 0.14 and 0.63). Land use and road-network related variables were found to be the most common predictors of the observed pollution levels. Moderately performing models (11 out of the developed 20) were then used to predict pollution levels at 50 m spatial intervals and to identify the most polluted districts. The advantages and limitations of using the existing regulatory network data for LUR development, and the other probable potential reasons responsible for the underperformance of the developed models are extensively discussed. To our knowledge, this is one of the few studies carried over Indian region to develop LUR models utilizing regulatory monitoring network data.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics (JASTP) is an international journal concerned with the inter-disciplinary science of the Earth''s atmospheric and space environment, especially the highly varied and highly variable physical phenomena that occur in this natural laboratory and the processes that couple them.
The journal covers the physical processes operating in the troposphere, stratosphere, mesosphere, thermosphere, ionosphere, magnetosphere, the Sun, interplanetary medium, and heliosphere. Phenomena occurring in other "spheres", solar influences on climate, and supporting laboratory measurements are also considered. The journal deals especially with the coupling between the different regions.
Solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and other energetic events on the Sun create interesting and important perturbations in the near-Earth space environment. The physics of such "space weather" is central to the Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics and the journal welcomes papers that lead in the direction of a predictive understanding of the coupled system. Regarding the upper atmosphere, the subjects of aeronomy, geomagnetism and geoelectricity, auroral phenomena, radio wave propagation, and plasma instabilities, are examples within the broad field of solar-terrestrial physics which emphasise the energy exchange between the solar wind, the magnetospheric and ionospheric plasmas, and the neutral gas. In the lower atmosphere, topics covered range from mesoscale to global scale dynamics, to atmospheric electricity, lightning and its effects, and to anthropogenic changes.