自动化真的会减少工作岗位吗?

Zheng Fang , Soon Hock Kang , Sandra Myo Han May
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摘要

本文利用 2005-2021 年 63 个国家的面板数据和广义矩方法,研究了工业机器人的使用对就业的影响。结果显示,每 10,000 名工人新安装的工业机器人每增加 1%,失业率就会降低 0.037%-0.039%。对男性工人的影响(0.045 %)比对女性工人的影响(0.033 %)更明显,对青年失业率的影响也更大。最后,研究发现,自动化可使中等教育水平人群的失业率降低 0.052%,但对基础教育或高等教育水平人群的影响甚微。
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Does automation really reduce jobs?
Using panel data from 63 countries in 2005–2021 and the generalised method of moments, this paper examines the impact of industrial robot utilisation on employment. Results show a 1 % increase in new industrial robot installations per 10,000 workers reduces the unemployment rate by 0.037 %-0.039 %. The impact is more pronounced for male workers (0.045 %) than female workers (0.033 %), and youth unemployment is more significantly affected. Lastly, automation is found to reduce the unemployment rate by 0.052 % for people with intermediate education, yet with little effect on those with basic or advanced educational attainment.
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