了解大学生游客的旅行选择:潜类嵌套对数模型的经济意义

IF 4.6 3区 工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS Research in Transportation Economics Pub Date : 2024-11-21 DOI:10.1016/j.retrec.2024.101494
Heng Zhou , Jiale Qiao , Weiwei Li , Richard Norman , Zhigang Yao
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在大流行后的背景下,对影响大学生游客中长途旅行方式选择的交通属性的深入研究明显不足。本研究以陈述偏好调查数据为基础,通过建立潜类嵌套 logit 模型,同时考虑个人偏好异质性以及长途汽车、普通列车、高速列车和航空公司之间的潜在替代效应,解决了这一疏忽。我们确定了两个不同的潜在细分市场:每个细分市场都显示出独特的旅行偏好,这些偏好通过弹性、首差和支付意愿来衡量。研究发现,影响旅行方式选择的因素包括旅行成本、到达时间、车内时间、服务频率和座位舒适度,而女性对座位舒适度的偏好更高。提前到达时间,即出发前在车站或机场的等待时间,对学生旅客的交通方式选择影响不大。我们的研究结果既支持又挑战了消费者旅行行为的现有理论。这项研究为大学生游客的出行方式选择提供了细致入微的见解,提出了加强低碳公共交通的实用策略,从而促进了交通、旅游和环境的可持续发展。
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Understanding college student tourists' travel choices: Economic implications from latent class nested logit modelling
In the post-pandemic context, there is a notable lack of in-depth investigation on transport attributes influencing college student tourists' mode choices for medium to long-distance journeys. Based on the stated-preference survey data, this study addresses this oversight by developing latent class nested logit models to simultaneously accommodate individuals' preference heterogeneity and the potential substitution effects among coach, normal-speed train, high-speed train, and airline. Two distinct latent market segments were identified: Pro-convenience and Pro-experience, each displaying unique travel preferences measured by elasticity, first difference and willingness-to-pay. Influential factors in mode choice were found to be travel cost, access time, in-vehicle time, service frequency, and seat comfort, while females showing a higher preference for seat comfort. Advance arrival time, defined as the pre-departure waiting period at the station or airport, was found to be an insignificant factor for student travellers' mode choices. Our findings both support and challenge existing theories in consumer travel behaviour. This research provides nuanced insights into college student tourists' mode choices, proposing practical strategies for enhancing low-carbon public transportation, therefore facilitating the transportation, tourism and environmental sustainability.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
2.60%
发文量
59
审稿时长
60 days
期刊介绍: Research in Transportation Economics is a journal devoted to the dissemination of high quality economics research in the field of transportation. The content covers a wide variety of topics relating to the economics aspects of transportation, government regulatory policies regarding transportation, and issues of concern to transportation industry planners. The unifying theme throughout the papers is the application of economic theory and/or applied economic methodologies to transportation questions.
期刊最新文献
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