零下限时的最佳货币政策组合

IF 1.9 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control Pub Date : 2024-11-20 DOI:10.1016/j.jedc.2024.105001
Dario Bonciani , Joonseok Oh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了前瞻性指导和量化宽松政策在 ZLB 时的最佳组合。福利损失函数取决于不同家庭之间的通胀、产出和消费异质性(我们称之为不平等)。如果只关注通胀和产出,中央银行就会过度扩张其资产负债表,从而加剧不平等。前瞻性指导在稳定通胀方面更为有效,而量化宽松政策在稳定产出方面更为有效。因此,这两种工具是互补的。由于这两种工具都不能完全中和不利的需求冲击,因此最佳政策是将两者结合起来,从而缩短 ZLB 持续时间,资产负债表的扩张也比中央银行单独依靠一种政策工具要温和。
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Optimal monetary policy mix at the zero lower bound
We study the optimal mix of forward guidance and quantitative easing at the ZLB. The welfare loss function depends on inflation, output, and consumption heterogeneity (which we label as inequality) between different households. When solely focusing on inflation and output, the central bank excessively expands its balance sheet, thereby increasing inequality. Forward guidance is more effective at stabilising inflation, and quantitative easing at stabilising output. The two tools are, therefore, complementary. Since neither instrument can fully neutralise adverse demand shocks, the optimal policy combines both, resulting in a shorter ZLB duration and milder balance-sheet expansion than if the central bank relied on one policy instrument alone.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
10.50%
发文量
199
期刊介绍: The journal provides an outlet for publication of research concerning all theoretical and empirical aspects of economic dynamics and control as well as the development and use of computational methods in economics and finance. Contributions regarding computational methods may include, but are not restricted to, artificial intelligence, databases, decision support systems, genetic algorithms, modelling languages, neural networks, numerical algorithms for optimization, control and equilibria, parallel computing and qualitative reasoning.
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