{"title":"零下限时的最佳货币政策组合","authors":"Dario Bonciani , Joonseok Oh","doi":"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.105001","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the optimal mix of forward guidance and quantitative easing at the ZLB. The welfare loss function depends on inflation, output, and consumption heterogeneity (which we label as <em>inequality</em>) between different households. When solely focusing on inflation and output, the central bank excessively expands its balance sheet, thereby increasing inequality. Forward guidance is more effective at stabilising inflation, and quantitative easing at stabilising output. The two tools are, therefore, complementary. Since neither instrument can fully neutralise adverse demand shocks, the optimal policy combines both, resulting in a shorter ZLB duration and milder balance-sheet expansion than if the central bank relied on one policy instrument alone.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48314,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","volume":"170 ","pages":"Article 105001"},"PeriodicalIF":1.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Optimal monetary policy mix at the zero lower bound\",\"authors\":\"Dario Bonciani , Joonseok Oh\",\"doi\":\"10.1016/j.jedc.2024.105001\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<div><div>We study the optimal mix of forward guidance and quantitative easing at the ZLB. The welfare loss function depends on inflation, output, and consumption heterogeneity (which we label as <em>inequality</em>) between different households. When solely focusing on inflation and output, the central bank excessively expands its balance sheet, thereby increasing inequality. Forward guidance is more effective at stabilising inflation, and quantitative easing at stabilising output. The two tools are, therefore, complementary. Since neither instrument can fully neutralise adverse demand shocks, the optimal policy combines both, resulting in a shorter ZLB duration and milder balance-sheet expansion than if the central bank relied on one policy instrument alone.</div></div>\",\"PeriodicalId\":48314,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control\",\"volume\":\"170 \",\"pages\":\"Article 105001\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-11-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924001933\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165188924001933","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
Optimal monetary policy mix at the zero lower bound
We study the optimal mix of forward guidance and quantitative easing at the ZLB. The welfare loss function depends on inflation, output, and consumption heterogeneity (which we label as inequality) between different households. When solely focusing on inflation and output, the central bank excessively expands its balance sheet, thereby increasing inequality. Forward guidance is more effective at stabilising inflation, and quantitative easing at stabilising output. The two tools are, therefore, complementary. Since neither instrument can fully neutralise adverse demand shocks, the optimal policy combines both, resulting in a shorter ZLB duration and milder balance-sheet expansion than if the central bank relied on one policy instrument alone.
期刊介绍:
The journal provides an outlet for publication of research concerning all theoretical and empirical aspects of economic dynamics and control as well as the development and use of computational methods in economics and finance. Contributions regarding computational methods may include, but are not restricted to, artificial intelligence, databases, decision support systems, genetic algorithms, modelling languages, neural networks, numerical algorithms for optimization, control and equilibria, parallel computing and qualitative reasoning.